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Only EURUSD

The EUR/USD has declined to 1.0240 after breaking through the 1.0300 level with significant momentum, reaching as low as 1.0211 during a volatile week.

Currently, there is potential for consolidation between the 1.0200 significant support level and the 1.0273 resistance. However, the 1.0255 monthly S1 level, now acting as resistance, may limit buyer momentum. A break below 1.0211/00 could lead to further declines towards the 1.0155 monthly S2 level.

Should the pair manage to rise above 1.0273, retracements to 1.0300/12 and 1.0325/31 are possible within the broader downward trend.

Happy weekend!


Weekly volatility (range) 127 pips

Option expiries for Monday: 1.0475 (EU4.09b), 1.0300 (EU3.35b), 1.0200 (EU2.98b) Source: financialjuice.com

Significant news - US PPI, US CPI, US Retail Sales, US Industrial Production, US Housing Starts Number.


Weekly chart with yearly support and resistance

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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4 hours
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
Quoting GainingBucks
{quote} If things turn around quickly next week you may be right, and I hope that you are, but the candles and MACD haven’t turned around yet. {image}
.

I think for the MACD to change there must be a significant upward push. Although I don't tend to rely much on MACD changes in and of itself.
GOOD LUCK!
The EUR/USD experienced a sharp decline this morning after hitting 1.0250. Current resistance has capped any potential upward movement, and the pair has now reached the Friday low of 1.0211. If it trades below this level, there could be further downside movement towards 1.0200. If the bulls fail to push the price higher from here, the pair might continue to fall towards the next support level at 1.0155.

Happy week!


Daily volatility (range) 58 pips

Option expiries for Monday: 1.0475 (EU4.09b), 1.0300 (EU3.35b), 1.0200 (EU2.98b) Source: financialjuice.com

1 hour
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
FX option expiries for 13 jan 25 - 10am New York cut
- 1.0200 (€3.9bn)
- 1.0250 (€2.5bn)
- 1.0300 (€5.1bn)
- 1.0310 ((€2.4bn)
- 1.0325 (€526m)
- 1.0375 (€3.4bn)

if the price goes below 1.02 today before the NewYork cut then I think it will be blood bath for this pair because there are huge options expiring for this pair on Tuesday and Wednesday

FX option expiries for 14 jan 25 - 10am New York cut
- 1.0200 (€2.6bn)

FX option expiries for 15 jan 25 - 10am New York cut
- 1.0200 (€2.1bn)
I'm sure it will retrace, but in the bigger picture this thing can't even come up for air. I've been milking this thing like a prized cow

Just a side not but as an European this is just sad but expected and i don't think i can see any improvements in the near future, too many problem and too many structural problems. China and the US will just leave us in the dust, even with their own problems, they are on another league. Maybe I'm just too pessimistic idk
Quoting Polimini
I'm sure it will retrace, but in the bigger picture this thing can't even come up for air. I've been milking this thing like a prized cow Just a side not but as an European this is just sad but expected and i don't think i can see any improvements in the near future, too many problem and too many structural problems. China and the US will just leave us in the dust, even with their own problems, they are on another league. Maybe I'm just too pessimistic idk
It retraces now but below 1.0211 previous low. The drop can be swift. Hold on your chair!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
Today, the EURUSD pair dropped sharply below 1.0211 in the early London session due to a strong US Non-Farm Payrolls report. It continued to fall, hitting a new two-year low below 1.0200, influenced by risk-aversion, hawkish Fed expectations, and dovish ECB comments. Later in the US open, it traded around key technical levels, including a significant long-term 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the lows of September 2022 to the highs of July 2023.

For now the pair is anticipated to face continued bearish pressure, potentially testing the weekly support at 1.0155, with immediate resistance at 1.0231 & 1.0250 zone.

Have a great rest of the day!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
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We learn new things daily
eurusd h4
we are close to resistance

trendlines
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  • Post #9,630
  • Quote
  • Edited Jan 14, 1:34am Jan 13, 11:38pm (15 hr ago) | Edited Jan 14, 1:34am
The EUR/USD rose past the 1.0250 resistance level following news of a soft pace to Trump's tariffs, but it later fell back due to lack of sustained trader interest. It appears the pair might now trade within a range, with resistance at 1.0277 and support at the psychologically important 1.0200. Should it surpass this resistance, the next targets could be the weekly pivot at 1.0295 and then 1.0300. If the EUR/USD declines further, it may test the lows around 1.0177.

Green pips!


Daily volatility (range) 64 pips

Option expiries for Tuesday: 1.0200 (EU2.71b), 1.0500 (EU1.18b), 1.0400 (EU727.1m) Source: financialjuice.com

Significant news - US PPI

1 hour
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Possible drop to 1.0200 or lower below 1.0238 - 30 min chart
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President Trump's economic team is considering a gradual increase in tariffs for china and European goods in order to control inflation
Eur/usd bulls are expected to take advantage
Looks like the bull has left the building!
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Quoting Js3mwtRc
Looks like the bull has left the building!
Waiting game for PPI news, 14.30 today
Quoting ayodeyleh
{quote} Waiting game for PPI news, 14.30 today
Yes its going to be interesting to see. Until then scalping allowed!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
Finally some bad USD news PPI
Consistency is key
Quoting death-wish
{quote} its not bad news for USD, let the dust settle before making trades
Red is bad. It did not meet expectations and that’s been rare for usd lately no matter what news it has been. Is it devastating? No and I didn’t say it was. I also don’t trade based on it.
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Consistency is key
Quoting GainingBucks
{quote} Red is bad. It did not meet expectations and that’s been rare for usd lately no matter what news it has been. Is it devastating? No and I didn’t say it was. I also don’t trade based on it. {image}
ya bad figures however think bulls struggling
I got short short 2 contracts on the March 6E futures at 1.03 this morning. I'd prefer to caterpillar my way to riches and hold on, adding contracts to a winning position. This scalping business is no joke! Can be stressful at times
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD rose past the 1.0250 resistance level following news of a soft pace to Trump's tariffs, but it later fell back due to lack of sustained trader interest. It appears the pair might now trade within a range, with resistance at 1.0277 and support at the psychologically important 1.0200. Should it surpass this resistance, the next targets could be the weekly pivot at 1.0295 and then 1.0300. If the EUR/USD declines further, it may test the lows around 1.0177. Green pips! Daily volatility (range) 64 pips Option...
1.0238 survived. Lets see now!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} 1.0238 survived. Lets see now! {image}
Done with weekly R1. A retrace to 1.0250 from here or from 1.0300/06/12 should be next.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
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