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The Swamp

  • #120,321
  • Jan 8, 2025 8:40pm Jan 8, 2025 8:40pm
Quoting gatorinla
The ea has broken out. The b/o R may support. But it can still run to the aqua line. My stops are green. Since the week through the 6h is bullish.. I will hold it for a bit.. The 1h ect is still bullish. The 4h bearish at 1.6756
It sucks sometimes.. At the high last hour i was up 4%.. I had to risk that to hold my long. But I'm in the game now. My original risk is negative
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,322
  • Jan 8, 2025 10:52pm Jan 8, 2025 10:52pm
How often do breakouts fail? I dont know. But lets say its 50/50.. The bounce off the failed b/o should be larger. That leaves a 50% chance of getting a larger move opposite. I think b/o fail more than 50% but cant prove it.
https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threa...akouts.330283/
add in some adr, or opposite of trend direction (trading in the trend direction can help).. And you may get a winning formula.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,323
  • Jan 8, 2025 11:28pm Jan 8, 2025 11:28pm
I will hit one of these 68X trades this month
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,324
  • Jan 9, 2025 4:41am Jan 9, 2025 4:41am
Quoting gatorinla
I will hit one of these 68X trades this month {image}
Not today though.. I was stopped this one

Today GBP may be attracted to 1.2342 later.. It has completed a day adr and a wk range. A possible short there. No call to long..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,325
  • Jan 9, 2025 4:53am Jan 9, 2025 4:53am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Not today though.. I was stopped this one Today GBP may be attracted to 1.2342 later.. It has completed a day adr and a wk range. A possible short there. No call to long.. {image}
GBP bears want to stay under 2281x..
If not 2342 may pull to test the b/o point 2330. The trend is down, pa is below 2330.. So its bearish.. But it may need to retest 2330. 2342 could help.. 2281.x can start to support.. Or it can be R... The wk and day have made their average. Beware of your surroundings
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,326
  • Jan 9, 2025 4:58am Jan 9, 2025 4:58am
@gatorinla you are still around?.
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #120,327
  • Jan 9, 2025 5:03am Jan 9, 2025 5:03am
Bulls may a little move..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,328
  • Jan 9, 2025 5:56am Jan 9, 2025 5:56am
I think we will see a strong dollar until Trump takes office on the 20th. After that we will see. Next week may bring some serious volatility.
  • #120,329
  • Jan 9, 2025 6:02am Jan 9, 2025 6:02am
Quoting gatorinla
Bulls may a little move.. {image}
who breaks next? 2305 or 2281?
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,330
  • Jan 9, 2025 6:07am Jan 9, 2025 6:07am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} who breaks next? 2305 or 2281? {image}
Since I'm short from 2360 I'm hoping it's 2281
  • #120,331
  • Jan 9, 2025 6:15am Jan 9, 2025 6:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} who breaks next? 2305 or 2281? {image}
UP
  • #120,332
  • Jan 9, 2025 6:18am Jan 9, 2025 6:18am
Quoting charlienoble
I think we will see a strong dollar until Trump takes office on the 20th. After that we will see. Next week may bring some serious volatility.
The Fed chair Powell said he was staying. If he is fired, and a nut like Larry Kudlow
is the nominee. Expect the bond market to tank the stock market.
Then you will see some nervous people, and window jumping. Everything I heard so far is inflationary. Hopefully some adults will take the keys from grandpa
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,333
  • Jan 9, 2025 6:19am Jan 9, 2025 6:19am
Quoting charlienoble
{quote} Since I'm short from 2360 I'm hoping it's 2281
Its hereditary
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,334
  • Jan 9, 2025 6:20am Jan 9, 2025 6:20am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} UP
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  • #120,335
  • Jan 9, 2025 6:23am Jan 9, 2025 6:23am
Somebody is right. Up or down. Testing both is an option..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,336
  • Jan 9, 2025 6:29am Jan 9, 2025 6:29am
with no news today pairs are likely to get pushed around from both sides
  • #120,337
  • Jan 9, 2025 6:31am Jan 9, 2025 6:31am
Eu is already sitting on the LC 0301x.. soft R may be 0305x/06..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,338
  • Jan 9, 2025 6:35am Jan 9, 2025 6:35am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} {image}
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  • #120,339
  • Jan 9, 2025 6:38am Jan 9, 2025 6:38am
Quoting gatorinla
Eu is already sitting on the LC 0301x.. soft R may be 0305x/06..
I didnt get the entry at 0355.. The tp was 0302.
I still have that entry pending. Tp may change. If the tp is not so good. I may not take the trade
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #120,340
  • Edited 6:40pm Jan 9, 2025 6:40am | Edited 6:40pm
Quoting gatorinla
Somebody is right. Up or down. Testing both is an option..
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eurusd is far from the equilibrium point and ready to climb to the hills
usdchf is pretty high in the skies time to to hawk down
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