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  • #1
  • First Post: Edited Dec 15, 2024 1:35pm Dec 10, 2024 11:27pm | Edited Dec 15, 2024 1:35pm
This corner is dedicated to market analysis by the following (main) tools:
Volume Profile
VWAP
Order Book (L2 data/Depth of market) - any order flow tools are welcome, my preference is Bookmap.

Market analysis is not restricted, meaning anyone can share and analyze any market, whether it is currency pairs, commodities, indices or stocks. All are welcome to participate.

Financial advice and trading recommendations are strictly prohibited; each person will speak for himself.

If you are interested in this approach for analysis and trading but don't have the proper knowledge, here are my educational recommendations:
1. Bookmap - understanding the order book, market liquidity and the relationship between market participants.
Link to website: https://bookmap.com/en
Link to educational material: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLzaGy-3oukoTzNavr17vZreoFkkzB3T_P
2. Trader Dale - understanding volume profile and VWAP
Link to website: https://www.trader-dale.com/
Link to educational material: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FGAmaUCOlLM&list=PLeqqhqnIoka_igHTotDcAI3aEQgKJEDB6&index=8&t=3157s
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s9kWkBu1YB4&list=PLeqqhqnIoka_igHTotDcAI3aEQgKJEDB6&index=12
3. Orderflows (Michael Valtos) - understanding the footprint chart
Link to website: https://www.orderflows.com/
Link to educational material: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bDwAUJiozL8&t=2s
  • #2
  • Dec 14, 2024 5:16am Dec 14, 2024 5:16am

Price levels for potential trades

(1) Gold Futures - rotation setup
After the period of consolidation (from 26th Nov to 8th Dec) where buyers accumulation could be seen and after closing the gap of the contract switch, where a cluster of stops were triggered (seen in Bookmap, which can be interpreted as manipulation), price broke through the range to reach 2,750 where it found sellers who previously left volume, therefore sellers were able to defend their level.
Currently, I see a pullback to the consolidation range, expecting buyers to defend their positions. I see a solid confluence with the volume and the first lower deviation of the monthly VWAP, which could act as support for the buyers. If sellers have the strength to break this level, or in case of manipulation, I see volume around 2,630 which makes a solid confluence with the first lower deviation of the quarterly VWAP.
My sentiment for Gold is bullish.

(2) Silver Futures - trend setup
After testing support around 30, with a bullish reaction, I see a solid confluence with the volume and the first lower deviation of the quarterly VWAP. Expecting buyers to defend their move.
My sentiment for Silver is bullish.

(3) Copper Futures - trend and rotation setup
Interest in keeping price above 4. This indicates to me strong demand and support from buyers, seen also in order flow.
I see very good confluences on the volume around 4.2 with the first lower devations of the monthly and quarterly VWAP. Buyers are expected to act strongly.
My sentiment for Copper is bullish.

(4) Dow Jones E-mini - trend setup
The upward movement of the quarterly VWAP indicates to me a strong uptrend, looking for entries on pullbacks.
I see good confluence with VWAP on the volume around 43,550.
My sentiment for Dow Jones is bullish.
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  • #3
  • Dec 15, 2024 8:19am Dec 15, 2024 8:19am
I totally agree with your analysis about Gold Futures.
From my point of view,the price retest around 2645-2652 area before it reaches 2630 area.
If the price can't break 2645-2652,the price movement will change to accumulation or distribution.

G
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  • #4
  • Dec 15, 2024 10:29am Dec 15, 2024 10:29am
Quoting giselle1723
I totally agree with your analysis about Gold Futures. From my point of view,the price retest around 2645-2652 area before it reaches 2630 area. If the price can't break 2645-2652,the price movement will change to accumulation or distribution. G {image} {image} {image}
Yeah, and with the CVD showing divergence I think we can firmly speak of probability. However, we should keep close attention to manipulation. In a setting like this, with high probability, I noticed the larger players like to create confusion with false moves. All in all, I think we have very good bullish opportunities at hand.
  • #5
  • Dec 16, 2024 7:31am Dec 16, 2024 7:31am
So far so good.
In Gold I see strong buyers with a positive delta. High liquidity on the offers is pulled, which may signify the intent to drive price higher, as sellers are not actually planning on getting filled. I also see solid support from the bids.
In Silver I see strong buyers as well, despite large offers getting filled. There is an order at 31.9 with 300+ contracts which makes a confluence with the monthly VWAP, so I should keep an eye on that.
In Copper I see a bit of a headscratcher as there is a lack of buyers in the range, with high liquidity on the bids down to 4.1, however, buyers are coming in strong as we speak, lifting the delta. I'll let it run until I see something different.
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  • #6
  • Dec 17, 2024 12:28am Dec 17, 2024 12:28am
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  • #7
  • Dec 17, 2024 4:17am Dec 17, 2024 4:17am
Quoting giselle1723
{image}
Can you elaborate the "High probability to fall due to +3000 delta"? Do you mean that it's likely the larger players will want to take on stops liquidity because of such buying?
  • #8
  • Dec 17, 2024 5:36am Dec 17, 2024 5:36am
By the looks of it, I would say there is evident manipulation in Gold, which was expected.
For now, it looks like larger players are forcing price downwards to get filled at lower levels. Orders on 650 will most likely get filled, however, there is also a cluster down to 630. For me, this is a tricky environment and I will wait for stability.
My sentiment on Gold is still bullish.
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  • #9
  • Dec 17, 2024 5:48am Dec 17, 2024 5:48am
In Silver I see pretty much the same thing: icebergs, layering on the bids, forcing price to long term liquidity.
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  • #10
  • Dec 17, 2024 8:11am Dec 17, 2024 8:11am
Quoting duksi
{quote} Can you elaborate the "High probability to fall due to +3000 delta"? Do you mean that it's likely the larger players will want to take on stops liquidity because of such buying?
This is just my short-term interpretation of Order Flow.
As you know,the price movement changed to downward movement from 12/12.
12/12 total Delta=-1023 Bearish candle Distribution started
12/13 total Delta=+5516 Bearish candle
12/16 total Delta=+2856 weak Bullish candle

Why the price didn't rise on 12/13,even though the delta is positive? You already understand, heavy Buying absorption occurred,which indicates a lot of Limit sell orders were placed around the top area. Same things happened around the top area yesterday. Besides,the volume decreased hard compared to 12/13.
I interpreted this situation as the consolidation phase has started,and very short-term bias is downward.

The price reached 2645 area as I posted yesterday,lets see what happens next!

G
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  • #11
  • Jan 10, 2025 6:43am Jan 10, 2025 6:43am
Bullish bias in the first quarter of the year for metals. This would make a VWAP setup for potential entries on pullbacks.
I see decent opportunities in Copper and Silver.
USD/JPY and USD/CHF look promising as well.
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  • #12
  • Jan 18, 2025 4:10am Jan 18, 2025 4:10am

GOLD


After seeing signs of bullish recovery, I was looking for a long entry. Now, FOMO tends to create stop runs which are clearly visible on those downward wicks. I waited for a pullback on the quarterly VWAP, which showed a confluence with the previous quarter being broken to the upside, therefore a retest was expected. We can see one more stop run just below the VWAP before the bullish continuation, where I entered long.

Furthermore, after breaking the range from 26th Nov. to 9th Dec. for the second time, we see a retest and volume on the resistence before the bullish continuation. This indicates to me accumulation of buyers on the pullback, and with higher lows showing buying pressure, I think it is good to consider adding to the position.

I see two decent pullback areas where I can add to the position, the first is between the weekly VWAP (white) and the first upper deviation of the quarterly, it also combines with solid volume. The second one would be a deeper pullback to the actual rotation before the continuation, which is a confluence to the quarterly VWAP.
Now, because we see a strong bullish move, I would consider the first possibility as high probability, but will definitely watch out for those stop runs.
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  • #13
  • Jan 18, 2025 4:44am Jan 18, 2025 4:44am


SILVER


We see something similar to Gold. After breaking through 30.47, large volume is left above the resistence followed by bullish momentum. Afterwards, we see a pullback and accumulation on the resistence before a bullish continuation. This indicates to me that the intention is on the bullish side.
Furthermore, price reacted to the previous quarterly VWAP, making a pullback for a good long opportunity from the area between the weekly and quarterly VWAP.

Now, although I'm definitely considering a long position from the current level, I would set my TP on the volume above as price did not make a pullback to it yet and I expect sellers to step in again. Regardless of bullish strength, I expect sellers to react to that volume and go short from there. May be a bit of a tricky environment overall but I will keep a close eye on these opportunities.
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  • #14
  • Jan 18, 2025 4:59am Jan 18, 2025 4:59am

COPPER


I see a decent long opportunity in Copper as well. Buyers accumulation on resistence indicates to me that they want to reclaim the support level. However, I must be extra careful with this one as there might be a lot of stop runs and false breakouts due to this intent.
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  • #15
  • Jan 23, 2025 6:44am Jan 23, 2025 6:44am

EU50

Long-term view; Yearly VWAP.
Looking to get long on pullback areas.
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  • #16
  • Jan 23, 2025 6:48am Jan 23, 2025 6:48am

DE30

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  • #17
  • Jan 31, 2025 5:04pm Jan 31, 2025 5:04pm
Quoting duksi
EU50 Долгосрочный взгляд; Годовой VWAP. Ищу длинную позицию на откатных участках. {image} {image}
The author is completely right if he chose the range marked with a red rectangle to enter BUY - this Volume Profile screen fully corresponds to option 1.2. MetaCluster schemas.

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See for yourself...

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Here are a few examples of how the same version of the Scheme works on the BTC-USD pair on different timeframes.

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The MetaCluster scheme is universal - its variants work on any assets and timeframes.
In my next posts I will describe other options for the Scheme and the principles of analysis with them in more detail.
  • #18
  • Mar 4, 2025 8:13am Mar 4, 2025 8:13am
Quoting duksi
This corner is dedicated to market analysis by the following (main) tools: Volume Profile VWAP Order Book (L2 data/Depth of market) - any order flow tools are welcome, my preference is Bookmap. Market analysis is not restricted, meaning anyone can share and analyze any market, whether it is currency pairs, commodities, indices or stocks. All are welcome to participate. Financial advice and trading recommendations are strictly prohibited; each person will speak for himself. If you are interested in this approach for analysis and trading but don't...
I am a follower of Michael Valtos Orderflows,i have watched alot of his videos and i can say he has good systems in Footprint charting.The only problem is i have read many bad reviews in comments sections about him no responding to clients after they buy his products,which made me hesitate to purchase,however i say again his eductaional videos are good.
  • #19
  • Mar 5, 2025 3:39pm Mar 5, 2025 3:39pm
Quoting duksi
This corner is dedicated to market analysis by the following (main) tools: Volume Profile VWAP Order Book (L2 data/Depth of market) - any order flow tools are welcome, my preference is Bookmap. Market analysis is not restricted, meaning anyone can share and analyze any market, whether it is currency pairs, commodities, indices or stocks. All are welcome to participate. Financial advice and trading recommendations are strictly prohibited; each person will speak for himself. If you are interested in this approach for analysis and trading but don't...
I am a follower of Michael Valtos Orderflows,i have watched alot of his videos and i can say he has good systems in Footprint charting.The only problem is i have read many bad reviews in comments sections about him no responding to clients after they buy his products,which made me hesitate to purchase,however i say again his eductaional videos are good.
  • #20
  • Last Post: Aug 7, 2025 4:34am Aug 7, 2025 4:34am
Bullish probability for Silver.
(The software is ATAS)
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