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The Swamp

  • #119,761
  • Dec 11, 2024 8:51pm Dec 11, 2024 8:51pm
Lots of news coming that may affect the eu.. Above 0529-30 may run up, but it may be R below . Below 0500 can be bearish below to test 0485. Above 0500 may test 529.. The day closed below 0500 so I have to go with that for now. A sustained drop below 0485 leans bearish to me. The CHF news happens before the 12h closes. It may stretch this small range






















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  • #119,762
  • Dec 11, 2024 9:01pm Dec 11, 2024 9:01pm
A little wedge..
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  • #119,763
  • Dec 12, 2024 5:12am Dec 12, 2024 5:12am
Quoting gatorinla
A little wedge.. {image}
See chart.. But now 0510 may resist or support. Its been to 0528. if 0510 becomes resistance, than a break below 0485 may run to 0447ish. The week range and day range is there. It could go more. But may run back to 0590. 0500.5 may be finished its relevance
NEWS is decent to move pa.
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  • #119,764
  • Dec 12, 2024 5:22am Dec 12, 2024 5:22am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} See chart.. But now 0510 may resist or support. Its been to 0528. if 0510 becomes resistance, than a break below 0485 may run to 0447ish. The week range and day range is there. It could go more. But may run back to 0590. 0500.5 may be finished its relevance NEWS is decent to move pa. {image}
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  • #119,765
  • Dec 12, 2024 7:26am Dec 12, 2024 7:26am
Pesky tradictory line.
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  • #119,766
  • Dec 12, 2024 7:39am Dec 12, 2024 7:39am
Assuming the 023x trajectory is right. PA may stay below 0560 now.
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  • #119,767
  • Dec 12, 2024 8:04am Dec 12, 2024 8:04am
That trajectory line is supporting. The last h close is a 4h-8h close. It being below 0485 is bearish to me. The trajectory line may be broken. I will assume it will be and pa reaches 0447 area or more. It still may be attracted to 0490 the next 2hs.. But to fall, it may place the lc close below the trajectory line.
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  • #119,768
  • Dec 12, 2024 8:14am Dec 12, 2024 8:14am
another bite at the apple
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  • #119,769
  • Dec 12, 2024 8:23am Dec 12, 2024 8:23am
better lines
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  • #119,770
  • Dec 12, 2024 8:42am Dec 12, 2024 8:42am
That trajectory is sure acting like it wants to be a trend line.
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  • #119,771
  • Dec 12, 2024 1:05pm Dec 12, 2024 1:05pm
Can it get adr today? less than 3 hours left
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  • #119,772
  • Edited 8:54pm Dec 12, 2024 1:56pm | Edited 8:54pm
I exited a few here at 0474. Possibly replace them tonight/tomorrow. 0510 0516 or 0528.
With 12 days left, to get to the month average at 1.023x.. That's about 19.5 pips averaged a day in drop. Yesterday had a high about 0530. -19.5 can reach 0510. So it will concentrate on shorting 0510 and 17. But that ship may have sailed.
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  • #119,773
  • Dec 12, 2024 8:55pm Dec 12, 2024 8:55pm
Quoting gatorinla
I exited a few here at 0474. Possibly replace them tonight/tomorrow. 0510 0516 or 0528.
With 12 days left, to get to the month average at 1.023x.. That's about 19.5 pips averaged a day in drop. Yesterday had a high about 0530. -19.5 can reach 0510. So i will concentrate on shorting 0510 and 17. But that ship may have sailed. If it does not bounce, we may see 039x this week.
The current upper end to the 1.0230 trajectory may keep pa below 0550
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  • #119,774
  • Dec 12, 2024 9:05pm Dec 12, 2024 9:05pm
The last hour closed below that trajectory line. To the left one can see a previous low being tested. I dont know for sure. but I think this will fall. I hope to get some entries 0510/17. But it dont look good atm. 0473 may attract. 0465 with 73 may turn into resistance.. PA is below them. The week average range at 0447.
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  • #119,775
  • Dec 13, 2024 6:17am Dec 13, 2024 6:17am
Quoting gatorinla
The last hour closed below that trajectory line. To the left one can see a previous low being tested. I dont know for sure. but I think this will fall. I hope to get some entries 0510/17. But it dont look good atm. 0473 may attract. 0465 with 73 may turn into resistance.. PA is below them. The week average range at 0447. {image}
Entry are looking better atm. I will scratch 0510 for 0517ish. I hope for 0473 to attract pa after, and to end the day under 0465 falling. 0517ish may resist. 0465 may support. Above 0517 caution because its R ish. It could run above it.
That line at 0486x can be the s/r side in that area. pa is above it atm. So it looks to favor a shot at 0517.. below it a shot at 0465
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  • #119,776
  • Dec 13, 2024 6:50am Dec 13, 2024 6:50am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Entry are looking better atm. I will scratch 0510 for 0517ish. I hope for 0473 to attract pa after, and to end the day under 0465 falling. 0517ish may resist. 0465 may support. Above 0517 caution because its R ish. It could run above it. That line at 0486x can be the s/r side in that area. pa is above it atm. So it looks to favor a shot at 0517.. below it a shot at 0465 {image}
Now that 517 is reached. Lets see if it falls back below 0486, or continues North.
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  • #119,777
  • Dec 13, 2024 6:52am Dec 13, 2024 6:52am
I overslept some. But this could of been a 9x trade at 517
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  • #119,778
  • Dec 13, 2024 7:09am Dec 13, 2024 7:09am
PA did close the 1h below that 517 level.. Since its handed off from 0486.. Lets see if it returns. I do view 516.9 as a R. Above it its not working. It will give some. The close side helps. It does have a 1h close below it. next h is a 4h-8h. So if below, that is better looking for shorts. And the attraction to 0473 will start pulling. 0473 is below 0486..
473 is above 465. below -465 favors a fall.. But the week range is 447. With 3hrs ..Lets see what happens with 0517..
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  • #119,779
  • Dec 13, 2024 7:19am Dec 13, 2024 7:19am
Tried a short with tight stop but the overall view doesn't look good. A bounce from 61.8 fib and the falling wedge.
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  • #119,780
  • Dec 13, 2024 7:34am Dec 13, 2024 7:34am
30 min has that doji spinner.. lets see if she falls now.
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