GBP/JPY Long Trade
PVSRA (Price, Volume, S&R Analysis)
- #8,046
- Oct 31, 2024 8:02am Oct 31, 2024 8:02am
EUR/NZD Long Trade
In yesterday's session, London moved PA to the building area to open more long positions and then proceed to the profit run. After LC we have a bear channel, the bear MMs do this to attract DM with this false bullish movement. As a reaction to this we see a large red candle retracing to the dragon, below the Half Level, but the volume is not compatible with the size of the candle and so we see a clue that now the MMs are filling more long orders, volume increasing on the lows that moved the price above the Whole Level.
M30
In yesterday's session, London moved PA to the building area to open more long positions and then proceed to the profit run. After LC we have a bear channel, the bear MMs do this to attract DM with this false bullish movement. As a reaction to this we see a large red candle retracing to the dragon, below the Half Level, but the volume is not compatible with the size of the candle and so we see a clue that now the MMs are filling more long orders, volume increasing on the lows that moved the price above the Whole Level.
M30
- #8,053
- Nov 5, 2024 10:12pm Nov 5, 2024 10:12pm
PVSRA
BTC/USD Long Trade
After BTC reached $73k, MMs started opening short positions, which pushed the price below $67k. By observing the action through PVSRA, we gain deeper insights into the intentions of the MMs.
This PVSRA analysis emphasizes the importance of understanding which side MMs are positioned on. Checking different timeframes allows traders to get a clearer picture of MMs’s intentions. However, its always important to remember that we never know exactly where MMs will take the price. They can extend their positions and manipulate the price for hours, days, weeks or even months, taking advantage of temporary movements to accumulate and distribute positions according to their strategies.
Image 1:
H1 - Early in the day, a SS was taken to highlight areas of high volume at the lows, near the Whole Level. This may look like redistribution, but the analysis guides us to look at the lower timeframes for a better understanding.
Image 2:
M30 - Going down to a lower timeframe, the behavior of the MMs becomes clearer. Even with the drop, the movements start with small volumes and, when falling below a Key Level, the volume increases significantly. This pattern indicates that the MMs are favoring lower prices to initiate new long positions, accumulating at low prices.
Image 3:
The M15 capture at the end of the day shows the MMs moving the price above the Whole Level before a 200 pip drop. its noted that, although the PA remained above the Whole Level before falling, the PVA candles are concentrated at the lower levels. If we did not have the reading that the MMs are bulls, this could generate Short Setups (which is possible, but risky). This behavior suggests that the MMs are seeking liquidity below, but at the same time accumulating long positions. If the MMs want to build longs, they need shorts coming into the market. So, the lower the MMs down the price, the more shorts come in and the more the MMs can build longs... Naughty manipulators
Image 4:
A few minutes later, analyzing on M1, its possible to observe the detailed behavior of each candle during the drop. The MMs continued to open long positions, applying the hike and re-hike pattern and repeating this process. Higher volumes are still seen at low levels, indicating that MMs are increasing their long positions. Taking advantage of a quiet day and the start of the week, MMs continue to accumulate, perhaps preparing for a future upward movement.
Image 5:
Disclaimer: To make it clear that this is just to show the importance of every detail of the PVSRA (Price Volume S/R Analysis) and differents TFs, its not possible to know where the MMs will move the price, keep in mind.
You need to be very careful and precise with your analysis. If you do not find clear results dont trade. If you are position building its imperative you have properly determined if the MMs are bulls or bears, or you'll end up trading against them.
Stacked setups are profitable even if the MMs were on the other side of the move, building their positions for an opposite move. The important thing is to know what the MMs are. We can trade either way, but this information just makes us more aware of what is really going on.
BTC/USD Long Trade
After BTC reached $73k, MMs started opening short positions, which pushed the price below $67k. By observing the action through PVSRA, we gain deeper insights into the intentions of the MMs.
This PVSRA analysis emphasizes the importance of understanding which side MMs are positioned on. Checking different timeframes allows traders to get a clearer picture of MMs’s intentions. However, its always important to remember that we never know exactly where MMs will take the price. They can extend their positions and manipulate the price for hours, days, weeks or even months, taking advantage of temporary movements to accumulate and distribute positions according to their strategies.
Image 1:
H1 - Early in the day, a SS was taken to highlight areas of high volume at the lows, near the Whole Level. This may look like redistribution, but the analysis guides us to look at the lower timeframes for a better understanding.
Image 2:
M30 - Going down to a lower timeframe, the behavior of the MMs becomes clearer. Even with the drop, the movements start with small volumes and, when falling below a Key Level, the volume increases significantly. This pattern indicates that the MMs are favoring lower prices to initiate new long positions, accumulating at low prices.
Image 3:
The M15 capture at the end of the day shows the MMs moving the price above the Whole Level before a 200 pip drop. its noted that, although the PA remained above the Whole Level before falling, the PVA candles are concentrated at the lower levels. If we did not have the reading that the MMs are bulls, this could generate Short Setups (which is possible, but risky). This behavior suggests that the MMs are seeking liquidity below, but at the same time accumulating long positions. If the MMs want to build longs, they need shorts coming into the market. So, the lower the MMs down the price, the more shorts come in and the more the MMs can build longs... Naughty manipulators
Image 4:
A few minutes later, analyzing on M1, its possible to observe the detailed behavior of each candle during the drop. The MMs continued to open long positions, applying the hike and re-hike pattern and repeating this process. Higher volumes are still seen at low levels, indicating that MMs are increasing their long positions. Taking advantage of a quiet day and the start of the week, MMs continue to accumulate, perhaps preparing for a future upward movement.
Image 5:
Disclaimer: To make it clear that this is just to show the importance of every detail of the PVSRA (Price Volume S/R Analysis) and differents TFs, its not possible to know where the MMs will move the price, keep in mind.
You need to be very careful and precise with your analysis. If you do not find clear results dont trade. If you are position building its imperative you have properly determined if the MMs are bulls or bears, or you'll end up trading against them.
Stacked setups are profitable even if the MMs were on the other side of the move, building their positions for an opposite move. The important thing is to know what the MMs are. We can trade either way, but this information just makes us more aware of what is really going on.
- #8,054
- Nov 7, 2024 3:31am Nov 7, 2024 3:31am
- Joined Mar 2008 | Status: PVSRA with Traderathome | 23,552 Posts
