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The Swamp

  • #119,221
  • Nov 4, 2024 11:01am Nov 4, 2024 11:01am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I can. I was thinking the anticipation of a cut is pumping it.. I thought it may get to 0920... I will likely short 0928/30. Maybe closer to 0920 if i can watch. I see some support 0879/82ish..
Typo I had to correct.. I may short closer 0928/30
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  • #119,222
  • Nov 4, 2024 11:03am Nov 4, 2024 11:03am
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} Why do you go for a long if you think it's going to 0820?
Typo..
That support 0879/82.. I dont know if it breaks. I wanted to short closer to 0920.. I have a pending at 0928.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #119,223
  • Nov 4, 2024 11:06am Nov 4, 2024 11:06am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Typo.. That support 0879/82.. I dont know if it breaks. I wanted to short closer to 0920.. I have a pending at 0928.
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  • #119,224
  • Nov 4, 2024 11:09am Nov 4, 2024 11:09am
I thought it had a chance to bounce here..0879x/82
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  • #119,225
  • Nov 4, 2024 11:27am Nov 4, 2024 11:27am
I put
stops to b.e.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #119,226
  • Nov 4, 2024 2:28pm Nov 4, 2024 2:28pm
Quoting gatorinla
I put stops to b.e. {image}
So still a chance to bounce? Now? Or will eu slide more?
  • #119,227
  • Nov 4, 2024 2:57pm Nov 4, 2024 2:57pm
Quoting mars1
{quote} So still a chance to bounce? Now? Or will eu slide more?
I thought the chance was there above 0876 (30 min support). It may bounce, I just dont like it being below 0882. It made a decent attempt, So i took the risk away with b.e.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #119,228
  • Nov 4, 2024 7:27pm Nov 4, 2024 7:27pm
Quoting mars1
{quote} So still a chance to bounce? Now? Or will eu slide more?
Its below 0882 now. It may drop further. But it will run back to 0899 more times than not before LC
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #119,229
  • Nov 5, 2024 4:40am Nov 5, 2024 4:40am
Election and FMOC may make it best to take a day or 2 off. I did leave a pending short 0928.. ypp at 0920
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #119,230
  • Nov 5, 2024 5:35am Nov 5, 2024 5:35am
Fair value to me at 0911
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #119,231
  • Nov 5, 2024 5:42am Nov 5, 2024 5:42am
Quoting gatorinla
Election and FMOC may make it best to take a day or 2 off. I did leave a pending short 0928.. ypp at 0920
Thanks. Was thinking the same. Its a bit risky right now
  • #119,232
  • Nov 5, 2024 7:12am Nov 5, 2024 7:12am
Quoting mars1
{quote} Thanks. Was thinking the same. Its a bit risky right now
1 adr is 0908
2 adr is 0921.
Wk average is 0951.8
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #119,233
  • Nov 5, 2024 7:44am Nov 5, 2024 7:44am
The cad looks like it may break 3874 support.. Its trying anyway.
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  • #119,234
  • Nov 5, 2024 8:29am Nov 5, 2024 8:29am
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  • #119,235
  • Nov 5, 2024 8:35am Nov 5, 2024 8:35am
Quoting gatorinla
{image}
UC in the 3848/50 area has adr, and a 4h support. That may allow a bounce back to 3874 POB R test
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #119,236
  • Nov 5, 2024 8:37am Nov 5, 2024 8:37am
maybe something like this
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  • #119,237
  • Nov 5, 2024 9:06am Nov 5, 2024 9:06am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} UC in the 3848/50 area has adr, and a 4h support. That may allow a bounce back to 3874 POB R test
Sorry it missed 3850.. 3851 was that low.. I tried, thats why I say area. For about the first 15 years the eu was mostly spot on.
In front of FOMC. A scalp tp may be best to to the money.
None U.S. pairs are more stable
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  • #119,238
  • Nov 5, 2024 9:20am Nov 5, 2024 9:20am
The short scalp version with some R
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  • #119,239
  • Nov 5, 2024 9:30am Nov 5, 2024 9:30am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} UC in the 3848/50 area has adr, and a 4h support. That may allow a bounce back to 3874 POB R test
3850 is a 4h support. Its also adr. 3849. I can't go beyond that. If its broken with a 4h close below. Than 379x is fair value. In front FOMC, volatility can be bad when its against you
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #119,240
  • Nov 5, 2024 10:00am Nov 5, 2024 10:00am
I did tp.. It may bounce again.
A double hump is common.
PA sits between S and R. We dont know if the 4h will break. We do know adr was met.
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