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  • #8,341
  • Oct 30, 2024 5:08am Oct 30, 2024 5:08am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Bulls are also staying above this zone of previous resistance and inside the blue channel. 1 hour {image}
For now, the bears are sitting aside and looking for a suitable position to enter. Maybe 1.0870 or 1.0980.
  • #8,342
  • Oct 30, 2024 5:20am Oct 30, 2024 5:20am
Looks like someone might be worried about employment maybe? This forecast is lower than any of the last 18 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change results ...

Does anyone think this will be a green number ... with bears resuming on the EU ... ?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 117 KB
Don't you know that I'm loco ...
  • #8,343
  • Oct 30, 2024 5:22am Oct 30, 2024 5:22am
Quoting peykam
{quote} For now, the bears are sitting aside and looking for a suitable position to enter. Maybe 1.0870 or 1.0980.

There is a 4 hours chart double bottom pattern that should finish at 1.0917 at least. If then the weekly S2 resistance level can't hold the bull and he is really strong then it should rise to at least 1.0935/1.0955 and stronger to 1.0985 - 1.1000.

But first 1.0881 must break!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #8,344
  • Oct 30, 2024 5:24am Oct 30, 2024 5:24am
Quoting RedAllOver
Looks like someone might be worried about employment maybe? This forecast is lower than any of the last 18 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change results ... Does anyone think this will be a green number ... with bears resuming on the EU ... ? {image}
With US hurricanes and strikes I think it will be red!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #8,345
  • Oct 30, 2024 5:32am Oct 30, 2024 5:32am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} With US hurricanes and strikes I think it will be red!
Perhaps amigo, I really hope so .... Q4 '23 the change was all red, maybe due to this .

110k does seem low for a forecast at this time of year tho ...
Don't you know that I'm loco ...
  • #8,346
  • Oct 30, 2024 5:38am Oct 30, 2024 5:38am
Quoting RedAllOver
Looks like someone might be worried about employment maybe? This forecast is lower than any of the last 18 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change results ... Does anyone think this will be a green number ... with bears resuming on the EU ... ? {image}
forecasts have been decreasing every single month
  • #8,347
  • Oct 30, 2024 5:44am Oct 30, 2024 5:44am
Quoting Polimini
{quote} forecasts have been decreasing every single month

01.05.24
06.03.24
30.08.24
06.07.23
05.04.23
01.01.23
Don't you know that I'm loco ...
  • #8,348
  • Oct 30, 2024 5:58am Oct 30, 2024 5:58am
US GDP Q/Q will have bigger impact today. ADP can't forecast a change on Friday's NFP which will have a greater impact too, so a green number might have the opposite effect.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #8,349
  • Oct 30, 2024 6:45am Oct 30, 2024 6:45am
GDP will be big. Labour market is primary key driver behind Fed interest rate decisions.
Don't you know that I'm loco ...
  • #8,350
  • Oct 30, 2024 6:48am Oct 30, 2024 6:48am
Quoting RedAllOver
{quote} 01.05.24 06.03.24 30.08.24 06.07.23 05.04.23 01.01.23
?
just open the details in the calendar
  • #8,351
  • Oct 30, 2024 7:06am Oct 30, 2024 7:06am
Quoting Polimini
{quote} ? just open the details in the calendar
All of these dates detail higher forecast than the previous month. Therefore, your theory that it has "been decreasing every single month", is incorrect.
Don't you know that I'm loco ...
  • #8,352
  • Oct 30, 2024 7:31am Oct 30, 2024 7:31am
Quoting RedAllOver
{quote} All of these dates detail higher forecast than the previous month. Therefore, your theory that it has "been decreasing every single month", is incorrect.
i looked and looked and i still see the same things, forecast going down
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Untitled 1.png Size: 12 KB
  • #8,353
  • Oct 30, 2024 7:34am Oct 30, 2024 7:34am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
US GDP Q/Q will have bigger impact today. ADP can't forecast a change on Friday's NFP which will have a greater impact too, so a green number might have the opposite effect.
Surprise. Looks like jobs are having bigger impact, bulls disappoint again!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #8,354
  • Oct 30, 2024 7:48am Oct 30, 2024 7:48am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Surprise. Looks like jobs are having bigger impact, bulls disappoint again!
the difference is massive, it's double the forecast
  • #8,355
  • Oct 30, 2024 7:49am Oct 30, 2024 7:49am
Quoting Polimini
{quote} the difference is massive, it's double the forecast
Right but we are in the same range. No break here just noise! Maybe another one purchase from lows if we get there.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #8,356
  • Oct 30, 2024 7:51am Oct 30, 2024 7:51am
Quoting Polimini
{quote} i looked and looked and i still see the same things, forecast going down {image}
Then you didn't read my original post or look at the screen grab used in it, and instead decided to make an incorrect judgment ...
Don't you know that I'm loco ...
  • #8,357
  • Oct 30, 2024 7:58am Oct 30, 2024 7:58am
Quoting RedAllOver
{quote} Then you didn't read my original post or look at the screen grab used in it, and instead decided to make an incorrect judgment ...
ok my bad, nevermind, we were looking at different things. Peace and many pips
  • #8,358
  • Oct 30, 2024 8:03am Oct 30, 2024 8:03am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} With US hurricanes and strikes I think it will be red!
Sorry, what were you saying about the weather?
Don't you know that I'm loco ...
  • #8,359
  • Oct 30, 2024 8:05am Oct 30, 2024 8:05am
Quoting Polimini
{quote} ok my bad, nevermind, we were looking at different things. Peace and many pips
All good amigo ... pips sir
Don't you know that I'm loco ...
  • #8,360
  • Oct 30, 2024 8:11am Oct 30, 2024 8:11am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Right but we are in the same range. No break here just noise! Maybe another one purchase from lows if we get there.
what's your bias?
i was betting on a range for longer, buy low sell high on this range. I was short from the top, got out before the news.
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