Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

Three Outside Up and Down Candlestick Patterns: How to Identify and Trade Them



The three outside up and three outside down candlestick patterns offer traders a powerful way to analyse potential market reversals. Formed by 3 consecutive candlesticks they can signal key shifts in market sentiment, providing valuable insights into future price movements. In this article, we’ll break down how traders identify, trade, and confirm these patterns.

What Are the Three Outside Up and Down Patterns?
The three outside candlestick patterns are powerful tools in technical analysis that can help traders analyse potential market reversals. These patterns are made up of three consecutive candlesticks that reveal shifts in market sentiment. There are two variations: the three outside up and three outside down formations, each signalling opposite directions.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

Tesla (TSLA) Shares Surge by 11%



As shown by Tesla's stock chart, trading closed below $213.50 yesterday. However, following the main trading session, the company reported its third-quarter earnings:
→ Earnings per share (EPS): actual = $0.72, expected = $0.59
→ Gross revenue: actual = $25.46 billion, expected = $25.18 billion
Additionally, Tesla forecasted a sharp increase in vehicle sales, assuring investors that CEO Elon Musk remains focused on expanding the company's core electric vehicle business.

According to Reuters, this earnings report positively impacted investors who were previously concerned about:
→ Profit margins shrinking due to price cuts.
→ Musk potentially being distracted by new projects like the Cybercab robotaxi, Robovan, and humanoid robots (Optimus Gen), which were unveiled during the "We, Robot" event that caused a TSLA stock drop on October 11.
As a result, Tesla's pre-market share price shows a rise of over 11%, indicating that today's trading may open around $235.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

DAX 40 Loses Upward Momentum



Today, Germany's PMI data was released, according to Forex Factory:
→ German Flash Manufacturing PMI: actual = 42.6, expected = 40.7, previous = 40.6;
→ German Flash Services PMI: actual = 51.4, expected = 50.6, previous = 50.6.
The DAX 40 index (Germany 40 mini on FXOpen) showed a slight intraday increase, which could be viewed positively, especially given that last week, the index reached a yearly high.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the FXOpen INT company only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the the FXOpen INT, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

An Ascending Channel Pattern: Unique Features and Trading Signals



Trading in financial markets can be a challenging task, but with the right tools and techniques, it can also be an exciting experience. One of the indicators that can help a trader build a strategy is the ascending channel pattern. In this FXOpen article, we will discuss what ascending channels are and how to trade them and will provide clear examples of doing so.

What Is an Ascending Channel Pattern?
An ascending channel is a common pattern on price charts. Also known as a rising channel pattern or an upward channel pattern, this formation can be found primarily in the uptrend. It is characterised by two parallel lines. As the price of an asset moves higher over time, these two lines are formed by connecting higher highs and lows, creating boundaries that the price interacts with.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

Coca-Cola (KO) Share Price Drops Sharply After Earnings Report



On 23 October, Coca-Cola (KO) released its third-quarter earnings, which exceeded forecasts:
→ Earnings per share (EPS): Actual = $0.77; Expected = $0.74
→ Gross revenue: Actual = $11.95 billion; Expected = $11.69 billion
Despite these positive results, KO's share price saw a sharp decline, likely due to market concerns about fourth-quarter sales forecasts, which face risks associated with currency fluctuations.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

What Is a Doji Candle, and How Can You Use It in Trading?



A Doji candle is a technical analysis tool reflecting the uncertainties in the market. Although it provides strong signals, it should be used with other patterns or technical indicators. Why do traders look for Dojis when trading stocks, commodities, and currencies? Keep reading this FXOpen article to discover the unique features of this candlestick and various Doji candlestick types.

What Is a Doji Candle?
A Doji is a pattern that consists of a single candle. It looks very different from other candlesticks. Therefore, traders of any level of experience can determine it on a price chart. The Doji has a tiny body comprising equal or almost equal open and close prices and long shadows. What does a Doji candlestick mean? A short body informs traders about the indecision of buyers and sellers as none of them can drive the market. Long shadows reflect a market uncertainty. The longer the shadows, the more significant the market uncertainties.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

A Bearish Gap on the Brent Crude Oil Chart


As the XBR/USD chart shows, Brent crude oil prices formed a gap at the start of this week: while Friday’s session closed at 75.60, Monday’s opening price dropped below 72.60.
According to Reuters, this development is tied to the fact that Israel’s recent missile strike on Iran did not impact oil or nuclear facilities, reducing the immediate risk of escalation.
Will Brent Crude Oil Prices Continue Falling?

In terms of technical analysis for XBR/USD today:
→ The price is within a descending channel (shown in red) that has been active since early summer. A bullish breakout attempt on 7 October was unsuccessful (marked by a red arrow), and Brent crude has since dropped over 10%. Price consolidation between 17-22 October near the median of this red channel confirms its current relevance.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Market Analysis: EUR/USD Dives, USD/JPY Remains In Strong Uptrend



EUR/USD declined from the 1.0880 resistance and corrected gains. USD/JPY is rising and might gain pace above the 153.85 resistance.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY Analysis Today

1. The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.0850 support zone.
2. There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at 1.0805 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
3. USD/JPY climbed higher above the 150.50 and 152.20 levels.
4. There was a break above a key contracting triangle with resistance at 152.00 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 1.0880 resistance zone. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.0850 support zone against the US Dollar.
The pair declined below 1.0820 and tested the 1.0760 zone. A low was formed near 1.0761 and the pair recently attempted a recovery wave. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.0800 level. However, the bears were active near 1.0840 and the pair started another decline.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

USD/JPY Chart Analysis: Rate Hits Autumn High



Today’s USD/JPY chart indicates that the U.S. dollar has strengthened against the yen by over 6.6% since the beginning of the month. Starting this trading week, the rate has surpassed 153 yen per dollar, a level not seen since August 31.
This bullish sentiment towards the dollar has been driven by the outcome of Japan’s parliamentary elections over the weekend. According to Reuters, investors believe that the loss of the ruling coalition’s majority in Japan’s parliament reduces the likelihood of a future interest rate hike, contributing to the yen's weakening.
On October 10, there was speculation that bears might halt the October rally (marked by the blue channel) and guide the rate back down within a descending channel from its upper boundary (marked in red), with the psychological level of 150 yen per dollar acting as resistance.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI): What Does It Tell Traders?



The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) is a widely watched economic indicator that helps traders assess the overall health of the economy via an early snapshot of business activity. Traders often use this data to analyse potential market movements across different asset classes, from equities to forex. In this article, we’ll explore what the PMI is, how it works, and why it matters for traders.

PMI Definition
The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) is a key economic indicator that offers insight into the business conditions of the manufacturing and services sectors. It’s derived from monthly surveys sent to purchasing managers at various companies, who provide data on several aspects of their business activities. The idea is to get a snapshot of how the economy is performing based on the people making the procurement decisions. PMI data is released in various countries, including majors.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

McDonald's (MCD) Stock Trades Below $300 Ahead of Earnings Report



The $300 level has proven psychologically significant for McDonald’s (MCD) stock:
→ In summer 2023, bullish investors failed to push the price above this mark, leading to a decline from $298 in July to $246 by October.
→ Again, in January 2024, the price briefly surpassed $300 but quickly dropped, eventually falling to $245 by July.
This autumn, it appeared the level had been breached when an uptrend (highlighted by the blue channel) lifted MCD above $315. However, reports of customer food poisoning incidents hit the news, causing MCD’s stock to plummet to $295 on October 23, making the orange channel more prominent in the technical analysis.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Nasdaq 100 Consolidates Ahead of Major Market Leader Earnings Reports



This week, five companies with market capitalisations exceeding $1 trillion are set to release their quarterly earnings:
→ Alphabet (GOOGL) on October 29
→ Microsoft (MSFT) on October 30
→ Meta Platforms (META) on October 30
→ Apple (AAPL) on October 31
→ Amazon (AMZN) on October 31
These results and profit forecasts from leading tech giants could fuel momentum for the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen).



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

The Three Black Crows Pattern: Trading Principles



Various candlestick and chart patterns indicate potential market reversals. One such formation is the three black crows pattern that indicates a potential bearish reversal in the price of an asset. You can find three black crows stock, commodity, and forex patterns. This FXOpen article will help you understand how such a pattern is formed, explaining how it can be used to spot trading opportunities in the market and demonstrating live trading examples.

What Are the Three Black Crows?
The three black crows is a bearish candlestick pattern used in technical analysis to signal a potential reversal of an uptrend. It consists of three consecutive long bearish candlesticks that occur after a strong upward trend. The pattern suggests that the momentum has shifted from buyers to sellers, indicating that a downtrend could be about to begin.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

Market Analysis: GBP/USD Recovers While EUR/GBP Struggles



GBP/USD is attempting a recovery wave above the 1.2950 resistance. EUR/GBP declined steadily below the 0.8330 and 0.8325 support levels.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Analysis Today

 

1. The British Pound is attempting a fresh increase above 1.2950.
2. There is a key rising channel forming with support near 1.2980 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
3. EUR/GBP is trading in a bearish zone below the 0.8350 pivot level.
4. There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.8330 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair declined after it failed to clear the 1.3120 resistance. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the British Pound even traded below the 1.3000 support against the US Dollar.
Finally, the pair tested the 1.2910 zone and is currently attempting a fresh increase. The bulls were able to push the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.2950. The pair even climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3071 swing high to the 1.2907 low.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Dollar Continues Aggressive Rise Ahead of U.S. Elections



The U.S. dollar is reaching new highs, driven by rising bets on Trump’s potential success in the upcoming election, which has renewed its appeal as a safe-haven currency. Over the past week:

 

1. The USD/CAD pair strengthened above 1.3900,
2. USD/JPY nearly tested the 154.00 level,
3. USD/CHF is showing signs of a “double bottom” pattern.

USD/JPY
The rate differential between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan, coupled with positive sentiment surrounding the upcoming U.S. elections, has fueled a sharp rise in USD/JPY. Over the past two weeks, the pair has gained more than 500 points, reaching significant highs of 154.00–155.00 this year.
Technical analysis of USD/JPY suggests potential for further growth if the price holds above 154.00, though a corrective pullback to the 152.30–151.00 range remains possible.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) Shares Rise to $180 Following Earnings Report



On September 10, we noted that GOOGL shares:
→ Were forming an ascending channel (highlighted in blue on the chart below, updated with the latest trading data);
→ Could begin to rebound from the psychological support level of $150 (indicated by an arrow).
Since then, the price did indeed turn upward from that level, fluctuating in October between a support level of $160 and a resistance level of $168, signaling a supply-demand equilibrium.
However, this balance now appears to be shifting, as Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) released its Q3 earnings report post-market yesterday, surpassing expectations:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $2.12, expected = $1.84
→ Gross revenue: actual = $88.27 billion, expected = $86.39 billion.
Investors were likely encouraged by the company’s statement that its AI investments are "paying off." Consequently, Alphabet's shares rose to $180 in after-hours trading, suggesting a likely opening at this level in today's main session.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Technical Analysis of USD/CHF: Rate Reaches Key Resistance Level



As seen on the USD/CHF chart, the pair has been moving within a descending channel (highlighted in red) since May.
In September, price action confirmed that the 0.84000 level, near the lower channel boundary, serves as strong support—after several unsuccessful attempts to break below it, the pair rebounded from point A to point B, rising by over 3% to the current level around 0.86750.
The U.S. dollar’s recent strength has been supported by:
→ Expectations of a Trump victory in the upcoming presidential election,
→ Rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Learning Key Signals of Reversal Candlestick Patterns



Candlestick charts are frequently used in technical analysis to provide traders with a visual representation of price movements and help them identify future price directions. Reversal candlestick patterns are a common tool traders look for to empower their trading strategies.
In this FXOpen article, we explain how to spot reversal candlesticks on a price chart, understand their signals, and use them to create a solid trading approach.

What Are Reversal Candlestick Patterns?
Reversal candlesticks are key formations in technical analysis that signal a potential shift in the direction of an asset’s price. These patterns are observed within candlestick charts, where each "candle" reflects the opening, closing, high, and low prices for a specific period. Reversal patterns suggest that the current trend, whether upward or downward, may be losing momentum, providing an opportunity for traders to enter or exit the market before the trend reverses.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

Microsoft (MSFT) Shares Decline Despite Strong Earnings Report



On 9 October, our analysis of Microsoft (MSFT) suggested that the stock price:
→ Was forming an ascending channel (shown in blue on the chart);
→ Could see a rebound from its lower boundary (indicated by an arrow).
Since then, the price indeed moved upward from this support around the $411 level, even surpassing $437. However, following Microsoft’s Q3 earnings report released post-market yesterday, the share price faced heightened volatility.
In the Q3 report:
→ Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $3.30, exceeding the expected $3.10;
→ Gross revenue was $65.58 billion, also above the forecasted $64.57 billion.
Despite these positive figures, MSFT shares saw a decline due to high volatility during after-hours trading, reaching $444 at one point and then falling to around $410. This drop may be due to Microsoft’s rising expenses. As reported by The Wall Street Journal, Microsoft’s capital expenditures in 2024 have hit $53 billion (about 28% of revenue), a substantial increase from the 12% average of revenue allocated to capital costs between 2014 and 2023.
As of pre-market trading today, MSFT is trading around $417 (approximately -4% from yesterday’s close), likely setting the opening level for today’s main session.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

How AI is Becoming a Bearish Factor for the Nasdaq 100



In 2024, the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) has risen by approximately 20%, with optimism around the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) acting as one of the bullish drivers.

However, yesterday's reports from Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META) indicated that AI, as a factor influencing stock prices, may be shifting from a bullish to a bearish driver. The issue lies in the rising expenses that these tech giants are incurring in the race for leadership in this area.

Earlier today, we noted that due to increasing expenditures, MSFT shares fell by roughly 4%, despite a strong earnings report.

A similar trend is seen in Meta Platforms' stock: actual earnings per share and gross revenue exceeded analysts’ expectations. However, due to high capital investments, META shares in pre-market trading today are around 3% lower than yesterday's opening.




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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.