Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

Euro Tests Key Support Levels Ahead of ECB Meeting



At the start of the current trading week, the U.S. dollar continued to strengthen across almost all fronts. European and commodity currencies are testing critical levels, and some pairs have managed to update recent extremes:

 

1. EUR/USD fell below 1.0900
2. GBP/USD is testing the 1.3000 level
3. USD/CAD briefly traded above 1.3800

EUR/USD
The technical analysis of EUR/USD indicates the potential for further price declines, as a “double top” pattern has formed on the daily timeframe. Full completion of this pattern may lead to a test of the 1.0800-1.0790 range. The nearest area for corrective growth is between 1.0950 and 1.0900.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Fibonacci Retracements in Action: Practical Applications for Traders



If you’re wondering how to trade with Fibonacci retracements, you’re in the right place. In this article, we will break down why traders use retracements, their unique features, and how you can apply them in your trading strategies. Keep reading to learn about Fibonacci trading.

The Fibonacci Sequence for Trading
Fibonacci retracements are well-known tools used by traders of any level of experience. You may have never heard of Fibonacci Circles, Fibonacci Arcs, or a Fibonacci Spiral, but you have heard of retracements.
Fibonacci retracements make use of the Fibonacci sequence and the resulting Golden Ratio. Simply put, the Fibonacci sequence is a mathematical concept that starts at 0, then 1, with each following number being the sum of the previous two. It goes 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, etc.

TO
VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

Morgan Stanley (MS) Shares Rise 6.45%, Setting Historic High



Morgan Stanley (MS) reported its third-quarter results:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $1.88, forecast = $1.59
→ Gross revenue: actual = $15.38 billion, forecast = $14.35 billion
According to Barron’s, Morgan Stanley’s profit increased by 32% compared to last year, driven by heightened activity in investment banking, which had previously been pressured by the Federal Reserve's high interest rates.
Market participants reacted positively to Morgan Stanley’s success, with MS shares rising 6.45% in a day, reaching an all-time high. Will the rally continue?




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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

How to Trade with the Island Reversal Pattern



Price action analysis serves as a pivotal methodology in financial markets, offering a means to assess and determine the future price movements of various assets, including stocks, currencies, and commodities. Among the many tools employed within this method, the Island Reversal pattern stands out as a significant indicator of potential trend reversals.

What Is an Island Reversal Pattern?
The Island Reversal is a technical analysis pattern that signals a potential trend reversal. It typically occurs after a strong uptrend or downtrend and is characterised by a gap in price action, isolating a group of candlesticks. The pattern suggests a shift in market sentiment, indicating that the previous trend may be losing momentum.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

Market Analysis: GBP/USD Takes Hit While USD/CAD Remains in Uptrend



GBP/USD started a fresh decline below the 1.3200 zone. USD/CAD is rising and might aim for more gains above the 1.3820 resistance.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and USD/CAD Analysis Today

 

1. The British Pound started a major decline from the 1.3400 resistance zone.
2. There was a break above a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.3000 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
3. USD/CAD is showing positive signs above the 1.3745 support zone.
4. There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance at 1.3765 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to continue higher above the 1.3400 resistance zone. The British Pound started a downside correction and traded below the 1.3200 support zone against the US Dollar.

The pair even traded below 1.3040 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 1.2975 level. A low was formed at 1.2973 and the pair is now consolidating losses. There was a minor recovery wave above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3102 swing high to the 1.2973 low.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Pound Near 1.3000 After Inflation Data; Euro Falls After Rate Cut
The upward momentum of the U.S. dollar continues to build:

1. GBP/USD traded below 1.3000 this week;
2. EUR/USD tested 1.0800;
3. USD/JPY buyers strengthened the price above the key support level of 150.00.

GBP/USD

On Wednesday, the release of the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) confirmed market expectations that the Bank of England may soon cut its base interest rate. The CPI showed inflation easing to 1.7% (from a forecast of 1.9%), which could influence the regulator’s monetary policy.
Following this data, GBP/USD sharply dropped below the key 1.3000 level, testing 1.2970. However, the downward movement did not gain further momentum, and the price rebounded from 1.2970, forming a bullish reversal pattern known as “bullish harami.” The pair is now testing the 1.3060-1.3000 range as resistance. A breakout above this level could lead to further growth towards 1.3170-1.3130. A rejection from current levels may push the price back down towards 1.2940-1.2870.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

XAU/USD Analysis: Gold Price Surpasses $2700 for the First Time


The XAU/USD chart shows that gold has reached a historic high, surpassing the psychological level of $2700.
According to Yahoo Finance:
→ Bullish momentum is being driven by central banks increasing their gold reserves;
→ Goldman Sachs analysts have raised their gold price target from $2700 to $2900.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Shares Rise by Nearly 10%


Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) posted quarterly results that exceeded analyst expectations, driven by strong demand for AI-related chips:
→ Earnings per share: Actual = $1.95, Expected = $1.79;
→ Revenue: Actual = $23.6 billion, Expected = $23.3 billion.
According to the Wall Street Journal:
→ The company expects its revenue from servers and AI processors to triple this year, representing about 15% of its total revenue.
→ TSMC forecasts Q4 revenue between $26.1 billion and $26.9 billion.
→ Citi analysts believe TSMC's gross profit could continue growing next year.
→ Morningstar analyst Felix Lee noted that TSMC is well-positioned against competitors like Samsung and Intel.
TSMC shares surged following the report. Today's stock chart shows: → A 10% increase, reaching an all-time high;
→ The stock surpassed the psychological $200 level;
→ Year-to-date price growth is around 100%.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Watch FXOpen's 14 - 18 October Weekly Market Wrap Video
Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: GBP, EUR, Natural Gas and NVIDIA (NVDA) Shares


Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights.

1. Pound Falls After Inflation Report
2. Euro Tests Key Support Levels Ahead of ECB Meeting
3. Natural Gas Price Drops Over 8% Since the Start of the Month
4. NVIDIA (NVDA) Shares Fall Over 4%, Missing a Record High

Stay in the know and empower yourself with our short, yet power-packed video.
Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.

Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.
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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

#fxopen #fxopenyoutube #fxopenint #weeklyvideo

Mastering Trading with Continuation Candlestick Patterns



Continuation candlestick patterns are a common tool traders use in technical analysis to identify when a prevailing trend is likely to continue after a pause. In this FXOpen article, we explain how continuation candlestick patterns work, and how you can use them to identify market trends and make informed trading decisions.

What Is a Continuation Candlestick Pattern?
Candlesticks are a popular tool in technical analysis used by traders to visualise price movements in financial markets, including forex, stocks, and commodities. They show the opening, closing, high, and low prices of an asset within a specific timeframe (such as 1 minute, 1 hour, 1 day, etc.). Continuation candlestick patterns are chart formations that indicate the current price trend (whether bullish or bearish) is likely to continue, rather than reverse.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

Market Analysis: AUD/USD and NZD/USD Could Recover In Short-Term



AUD/USD is attempting a recovery wave from 0.6660. NZD/USD could gain bullish momentum if there is a clear move above the 0.6090 resistance.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD Analysis Today

 

1. The Aussie Dollar found support near 0.6660 and is now recovering against the US Dollar.
2. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6690 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
3. NZD/USD is attempting a recovery wave above the 0.6050 resistance.
4. There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 0.6075 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair dipped from the 0.6760 resistance zone. The Aussie Dollar declined below 0.6700, but the bulls were active near 0.6660 against the US Dollar.
A low was formed near 0.6658 and the pair is now correcting losses. There was a move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6759 swing high to the 0.6658 low. There was also a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6690.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

EUR/USD Approaching Key Support Level



Last week, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates as expected, marking the third reduction this year. According to Trading Economics, market participants speculate there could be another rate cut in December. This dovish stance is weakening the euro, as the ECB signals deteriorating economic prospects in the Eurozone.
In contrast, the U.S. dollar remains strong, supported by:
→ Robust economic data, including retail sales figures that exceeded expectations last week.
→ Expectations that Trump may win the next U.S. election, with his proposed trade and tax policies likely to support the dollar.
As a result, EUR/USD continued its decline last week, with the pair falling by about 2.5% since the start of October. Will the downtrend persist?



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Netflix (NFLX) Shares Hit Record High in Aggressive Move



Netflix (NFLX) shares reached a record high in a dynamic move. As shown in Netflix's stock chart, the price hit an all-time peak, with Friday’s candle closing above $760. This follows an aggressive rebound, given that on Thursday, the price had fallen below the psychological level of $700.
This sharp move created a significant bullish gap, with the difference between Thursday’s and Friday’s closing prices exceeding 11%. The catalyst for this surge in volatility was the release of Netflix's strong third-quarter results:
→ Earnings per share: Actual = $5.40, Expected = $5.11;
→ Gross revenue: Actual = $9.82 billion, Expected = $9.77 billion. Netflix also forecast a 15% growth in Q4 2024;
→ Free cash flow increased from $1.213 billion in Q2 to $2.194 billion in Q3.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Price Action Trading: Key Concepts



Price action is a popular trading method where traders analyse raw price movements on a chart, without relying on technical indicators. Traders identify patterns, trends, and key levels that help them understand market behaviour. This article explores what price action is, the key concepts, and how to get started with a price action strategy.

What Is Price Action Trading?
Price action is the movement of an asset’s price over time, and it’s one of the purest forms of market analysis. When using price action, indicators like moving averages or oscillators take a back seat, with traders focusing solely on the movement of the market itself. In studying how prices behave in real-time or historically, traders can spot trends, patterns, and potential turning points in the market.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

Nvidia Shares (NVDA) Close Above $140 for the First Time



As shown on the Nvidia (NVDA) stock chart, yesterday’s candle closed above the psychological level of $140 for the first time in history. This represents a price increase of over 186% since the beginning of 2024 and more than a ninefold rise since early 2023, following the launch of ChatGPT.
According to Benzinga:
→ Nvidia's shares continue to benefit from the surging demand for AI technologies, with hyperscalers buying its graphic chips in vast quantities to rapidly build data centres with advanced AI capabilities.
→ Nvidia’s CEO, Jensen Huang, has stated that the next-generation Blackwell GPU platform is in "insane" demand. Despite production being in full swing, the demand remains extraordinarily high.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

XAG/USD Analysis: Silver Price Approaching $35



Precious metal prices are fluctuating near multi-year highs due to safe-haven demand driven by:
→ Uncertainty surrounding the U.S. elections,
→ Ongoing tensions in the Middle East,
→ Expectations of central banks lowering interest rates.
As seen on the XAG/USD chart, silver prices:
→ Are near their highest levels in 12 years,
→ Are approaching the $35 mark,
→ Have risen by over 43% since the start of the year.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Triangle Chart Patterns: How to Identify and Trade Them



Triangle chart patterns are essential tools in technical analysis, helping traders identify potential trend continuations. These formations build as the price consolidates between converging trendlines, signalling an upcoming move in the market. In this article, we’ll explore the three types of triangle patterns—symmetrical, ascending, and descending—and how traders use them to analyse price movements.

What Are Triangle Chart Patterns?
Triangle chart patterns are a common tool used to understand price movements in the market. These patterns form when the price of an asset moves within two converging trendlines, creating a triangle shape on a chart. The lines represent support and resistance levels, and as they get closer together, it signals a potential breakout in one direction.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

Market Analysis: Gold Rallies To New ATH, WTI Crude Oil Eyes Recovery



Gold price started a fresh surge above $2,720. Crude oil is recovering and might rise toward the $73.85 resistance zone.
Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil Prices Analysis Today

 

1. Gold price started a strong increase from the $2,645 zone against the US Dollar.
2. A major bullish trend line is forming with support at $2,735 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
3. Crude oil is recovering losses and trading above the $70.50 support.
4. There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance near $70.00 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price formed support near the $2,645 zone. The price remained in a bullish zone and started a fresh increase above $2,680.
The bulls even pushed the price above the $2,720 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it traded to a new all-time high at $2,748. The price is now consolidating gains near the $2,745 zone and the RSI is above 50.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Nikkei 225 Index Resumes Its Decline?



In mid-October, the Nikkei 225 index attempted to break through the psychological barrier of 40,000 points but ultimately reversed direction.
This week, the index has continued its downward trend, driven by concerns surrounding the upcoming elections for Japan's House of Representatives scheduled for October 27. According to Reuters, the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and its coalition partner, Komeito, may lose their majority in the elections.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

General Motors (GM) Shares Surge Nearly 10%



According to the chart for General Motors (GM), the following points stand out:
→ Yesterday, the share price closed above $53, a significant rise from just below $49 the previous day.
→ Since the beginning of the year, the stock has experienced an increase of around 50%.
The sharp rise in price can be attributed to the company's robust Q3 earnings report:
→ General Motors reported a 10% year-on-year increase in gross revenue for Q3, reaching $48.75 billion, significantly higher than analysts' expectations of $44.67 billion.
→ Earnings per share climbed by 30% year-on-year to $2.96, compared to a forecast of $2.49.
→ Additionally, the company raised its earnings guidance for the next quarter and indicated that it is intensifying efforts to launch autonomous vehicles.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.