Stock market strategies that work?

I think, if we are discussing about stock market, the best solution is buy deep of s&p every time when we have drawdown more than 10%. You need only 5 minutes for trading every year, left time you can spend on making money on your work

Hi Pervaz,

Yeah I get that - Not everything shows clear defined cycle or cycles - but when you get on the cycle, at the right time, it becomes self-sufficient - I've found the best way is to eyeball the chart and manually look for cycles, then build from there, Timing Solution have a auto cycle finder within it, but its not perfect - the main reason you've probably struggled with cycles is because they are very rarely static, I'll level with you, many are planetary

It would be perfect to take a 18 year cycle and break it down harmonically, into 9, 4.5, 2.25 years etc but it doesn't work like that which is a shame

To be fair the bigger the cycle, the better it tends to be for Investing

Check these out:

The next 3 charts are from a composite index of the DJIA I have, built up of many cycles (not my creation), it starts in 1900 and runs until 2100 = 200 years of projections, I'll show you the index up to present - it is +/- 6 months accurate - But you can see its pretty damn accurate and proves the stock market isn't random: RED line = Index projection





This is US 10yr Treasury YIELD which predicts FED Rate - I stopped updating in 2017, which is the end of the BLUE line, as you can see the RED line continues and predicted the 2020 UP turn - The thing to take note of here is the 40 YEAR CYCLE - that started a new UP cycle in 2020 - you can make some pretty rudimentary predictions, projections and guesstimates just from this Information, such as when to expect DOUBLE DIGIT Int rates once again

Anyone with knowledge of this cycle AND the stock market DOWN cycle could have easily predicted a lowering of Int rates from 2000




FED Rate FOLLOWS the 10 year



I've been saying for the past 12 years, 2025-2028 should be an Interesting time for most markets - we have a big WAR cycle due that should see USA boots on the ground, commodities should spike, you've seen my crude oil cycle low above which should lead to higher prices etc

to conclude, cycles don't just exist in markets, they are part and parcel of our lives - anyone thinking Covid was out of the blue, this next pic explains

You can now make a mega prediction on the next worldwide massive cold/flu like pandemic and MOST IMPORTANTLY you can prepare your family for it, in terms of what to do to minimise its impact on them



EDIT: Price action is NOT 2 dimensional, it operates at a higher dimension, BUT we are FORCED to look at price action on a fixed 2 dimension screen - So we only ever see cycles perfectly when price movement is square on to our view - most of the time price is moving away from us or coming towards our view - take 2000-03 = coming towards us, 2003-2007 = going away from us, 2007-2009 = coming towards us - its mostly ONLY at the key nodal points that you can get amazingly accurate cycle readings/predictions

heres a good one = a man walks into a bar ... oh wait, no, a man sits and stares at charts n calls it reality. which one is the moment of learning?

id say if u wont do da research then dont bother.

if ya go over to the video game sites where they !!discuss!! old n new games n whos better etc, you'll see alot of similarities to the ppl on these sites. talk it up talk it up ....... but .... cant seem to get the choice of political leaders quite right. hhhmmmm somethin dont make sense. maybe they should introduce a !!mr common person as president/prime minister for a year!! ..... lets put dat common sense to the test.

so ya wonder WHY ya cant figure out da stock market???

puffy hipsters all over da sites. its hard to respect people who talk crud bout !!ratta-tat=tat bootlegged things!! when da real life cant even rally da common sense to work out real problems. AND that is what is the stock market. a million problems to be solved and IF you can see that then the money is not as important. it'll be there.

so yes lets discuss these things shall we.

ya got fknuckles who trade 1m charts or daily charts or whatever. some have no indicators n some have plenty. some think theyve mastered their way o doing it. but what have ya really done? youve done precisely what was expected. yeaaah REAL sensible.

i like da sayin - an apple a day keeps everything growin. oh wait maybe it needs to be said as a baby boomer winger brat .... im so gooood just do iiiiiiit!!

u think by lookin at different charts or classes or whatever it is less one thing or more somethin else. like i said i think this thread is bait. so lets !!fertilize!! da bait.

you got ppl who argue over true fx or cfd, ya got macho fools who talk it up and dodos who listen n follow. ya got bankers bookers n brats who think tradin is somethin to espouse or belong to. BUT ask em bout somethin real and OOOOOHHH loook out ..... i dink they just wet their diapers or dribbled a bit into their coffee.

so just backtrack a chart. stop listenin to fknuckles who doooont know shiiiit coz they can be easily put to da test. scroll back from here n look at what these ppl post. take notes of da key wordings and emotional words they use. now go to a beginners section of (wait for it) ........... !!the internet!! ....... and seek out infrastructural notations of the stock market. why? would you REALLY ask an imbecile to help to do somethin if they dont know what they cant see? ppl power usually equals dodos. why? poor quality !!lookin ahead!!. THATS why you know da !! hotshits!! on money n tradin websites are just fknuckles. just a laugh a minute with their big talk n (my fav) pseudo humility. gooootta luv da internet. think of it this way = on da field all are flexin da muscles but da markets dont work like that. follow da team into the locker room. da fknuckles on da sites are fine if life is static but wait til a real problem pops up .... now you'll see them shit the bed n call for MOOOOOOMMYY!! why? the shit they know dont mean shit n dont weigh up to shit.

fun talkin. have fun

Your edit as above it worth its weight in gold (or at least 10 pips )

Time for me to do some further reading and research !

Look for big turns at key MATHEMATICAL junctions - and I mean within 1-2 points of PERFECTION

For example the SP500 2009 low apart from multiple point TIMING all coinciding for early March, PRICE fell and stopped within a couple of points of perfection to a % fall level of 57.7%

This might seem a random number, but its not!

The square root of 3 is 1.732 , 1.732 is in mathematics the DIAGONAL of a CUBE , a CUBE is a 3 DIMENSIONAL solid, our price charts are 2 Dimensional

In mathematics 57.7 is also the TANGENT 30 degrees of a circle

You can PROVE everything with mathematics!

So somehow the PRICE of the SP500 stopped within 0.01% of PERFECTION

So?

Take 1.732 (Sq Rt3) and DIVIDE it by itself [1.732] = 1 to get a WHOLE, now divide 1 by 1.732 and see what you get = PROOF that price in 2009 worked out to a higher dimension than 2!

Ps 57.7% is the INVERSE of 1.732




Gann said PRICE AND TIME where the SAME thing


This is JENKINS method:

The chart is self-evident - As you can see the chart was produced WELL before the last date prediction, although not precise on the timing (within 1-2 weeks is pretty good though), the mathematics on price I had [not shown] was within 1 point of the 4th Jan 2022 high!

The REASON price was divided by 10 was simply to get a useable daily count - using the price as it is and applying the same method WILL result in a decent turn when it arrives in 23,394 cal days from the 2002 low which is 28th Oct 2066!!!!!!


Good luck on your journey