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Let's Trade Options

  • #19,781
  • Oct 6, 2024 9:42pm Oct 6, 2024 9:42pm
Back from my mini-vacation, but I think I need a vacation to rest up from THIS vacation!

Got out of some trades while I was gone, but only added to a couple of positions since I was just using my phone. Too tired to look at anything tonight, though.

Anyway, out of the following:

EL Oct18 85 PUT at $2.80, up from $1.85

SMG Oct18 85 PUT at $3.00, up from $1.90

Added to the following:

WYNN Oct18 95 PUT at $0.29, bringing the average own to $0.47
WYNN Oct18 99 PUT at $0.84

LVS Oct18 46 PUT at $0.075 avg, bringing the average down to $0.248 with now a MEGA-cubic butt load. This was one of those Hail Mary Bids of $0.08 that got hit, so was unexpected but should help the bottom line.

I'm gonna try to be at the open tomorrow, but I'm so tired, I'll be happy to make the close!
  • #19,782
  • Oct 6, 2024 11:25pm Oct 6, 2024 11:25pm
it'll be a one-way market until something happens to temporarily spook the bulls
https://www.jpost.com/arab-israeli-c...article-823424
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #19,783
  • Oct 6, 2024 11:43pm Oct 6, 2024 11:43pm
if the Fed yakkers talk down rate cut expectations and the CPI shows inflation sticking around, could see RUT dip towards 2100...
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #19,784
  • Oct 6, 2024 11:51pm Oct 6, 2024 11:51pm
better....
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #19,785
  • Oct 7, 2024 5:00pm Oct 7, 2024 5:00pm
STILL rangebound, but a hurricane destroys Florida break below 5675 this week WWWIII opens the door for a break of 5600 and as low as 5400 next week. elections. October.
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #19,786
  • Oct 7, 2024 5:43pm Oct 7, 2024 5:43pm
Nevertheless, I btfd today, long RUT via Oct 11/14 2270 call cldrs, also 2250s...

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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #19,787
  • Oct 7, 2024 5:50pm Oct 7, 2024 5:50pm
and also via NDX Oct11/14....I will get shorts on for the following week tomorrow. I'm looking for a bit of a bounce as China comes back thirsty...
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #19,788
  • Oct 8, 2024 12:07am Oct 8, 2024 12:07am
Quoting The Fool
I'm looking for a bit of a bounce as China comes back thirsty...
I want to be set b4 CPI. Def a case to be made for US stocks rallying off falling inflation, we'll see. But the war premium. And Florida soon to be erased from the map by 5,000 mph winds oh the humanity. Need short deltas for next week...
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #19,789
  • Oct 8, 2024 12:10am Oct 8, 2024 12:10am
we have not tagged a weekly exp move in 3 weeks. That's a dull tape....
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #19,790
  • Oct 8, 2024 9:09am Oct 8, 2024 9:09am
Out of the following:

WYNN Oct18 95 PUT at $1.00, up from $0.47

WYNN Oct18 99 PUT at $2.25, up from $0.84

Still waiting for LVS to drop some more....
  • #19,791
  • Oct 8, 2024 11:31am Oct 8, 2024 11:31am
Quoting The Fool
and also via NDX Oct11/14....I will get shorts on for the following week tomorrow. I'm looking for a bit of a bounce as China comes back thirsty...
trying O18/21 18700 cldr puts. The calls are $3 up today....maybe we can get a range break move?
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #19,792
  • Oct 8, 2024 7:14pm Oct 8, 2024 7:14pm
Not a whole lot to look at tomorrow, but I will be watching the following, based on the pre-markets:

CALM Oct18 85 PUT

GRMN Oct18 170 CALL

SCI Oct18 75 CALL
  • #19,793
  • Oct 8, 2024 11:44pm Oct 8, 2024 11:44pm
Quoting moneymaker2
Not a whole lot to look at tomorrow, but I will be watching the following, based on the pre-markets: CALM Oct18 85 PUT GRMN Oct18 170 CALL SCI Oct18 75 CALL
coming now into Q3 earnings season, in the last weeks before the elections, hurricanes and wars, wtf we should be seeing some breakout moves. Risk is definitely to the downside to my eye....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #19,794
  • Edited 1:00am Oct 9, 2024 12:41am | Edited 1:00am
the October surprise is still on...My general suspicion is the current US regime wants whatever Israel does to Iran to occur after the elections. The October surprise is fomented by the Trump camp and includes enough of an impact on ME oil dynamics to spike the price of Brent/WTI. It has to be enough of a show to produce a dramatic effect that lingers in the press and that will have a chance of swaying the vote to maga. The "anti-war" (lol) commercials are probably already in the can. This is going to take a while to play out and I expect it'll be sooner than later.

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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #19,795
  • Oct 9, 2024 1:08am Oct 9, 2024 1:08am
Cat 4 Milton landfall Wed nite. Insurance woes in FL already dismal, this can only add to those. A dramatic aftermath will add to Helene's and not help US econ outlook. They have an obligation to overplay these blows though....

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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #19,796
  • Oct 9, 2024 1:15am Oct 9, 2024 1:15am
all this fuckin drama is making me hungry...
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #19,797
  • Oct 9, 2024 2:36am Oct 9, 2024 2:36am
RUT range capture trades have been losing too often, so my size on them has gotten smaller. Still looking for RUT to bust a move on CPI Friday, though. My best guess is the data is in line and the goldilocks dream survives...
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #19,798
  • Oct 9, 2024 3:37pm Oct 9, 2024 3:37pm
Quoting moneymaker2
Not a whole lot to look at tomorrow, but I will be watching the following, based on the pre-markets: CALM Oct18 85 PUT GRMN Oct18 170 CALL SCI Oct18 75 CALL
I got into the following towards the end of the day, but nothing much else worth looking at:

CALM Oct18 87.5 PUT at $0.80
  • #19,799
  • Oct 9, 2024 6:13pm Oct 9, 2024 6:13pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote}trying O18/21 18700 cldr puts. The calls are $3 up today....maybe we can get a range break move? {image}
1/2 of NDX cldr calls off for $16 today, $12 profit, gambling the rest on more upside thurs-fti
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #19,800
  • Oct 9, 2024 6:59pm Oct 9, 2024 6:59pm
Quoting The Fool
RUT range capture trades have been losing too often, so my size on them has gotten smaller. Still looking for RUT to bust a move on CPI Friday, though. My best guess is the data is in line and the goldilocks dream survives...
RUT is a brokedck dawg I am about to abandon at the junkyard
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
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