EURUSD Only

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-...HF%20and%20SEK.

https://fortune.com/2024/07/29/donal...uts-inflation/

https://www.forexfactory.com/news/13...st-and-trading

Since June 2024, the $ has been weak. From now on it is appreciated.

When are the big boys entering a trade, when are they exiting the trade.

When i should avoid trading and what direction a trade MAY take

How tight will be .......... at entry

Right now, I am not interested in any trade, why

I estimate the reduction of the federal interest rate to be 0.25 points if this graph does not mislead us. Regarding the euro rate, the graph did not lie. Banks anticipate this move.

25 bps market will crash
50 bps it will slowly go up

Historically the Fed has always been reluctant to do large cuts this close to an election as it is seen as interfering in the election. With that said, we don't exactly live in times where the historical decorum is respected and no doubt there will be plenty within the Fed with their own staunch political agenda. I don't see the justification for a 50bps cut straight out of the gate. 25bps and a downward correction would be my expectation. But it's harder than ever to find a foothold in this market.

Atlanta Fed's GDPNow forecast is now nearly 3%, which is higher than where it was before the last Fed meeting at the end of July

One last S&P 500 ATH rate cut chart from July 1990! Market topped on 07/16/90. The 1st trading day AFTER the pivot on 07/13/90.

50bps move may create the perception that recession is on it's way and Fed is in panic

Amen

50bps cut

The dollar is getting strong.

The imagined disaster for usd has not been confirmed. Let's remember the economic sentiment.
Another proof that supports economic confidence (image).

So eurusd D1 will continue bearrish.

what will happen next month