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  • #4,301
  • Sep 10, 2024 9:33pm Sep 10, 2024 9:33pm
Quoting Gelubrin
{quote} For this reason, EURUSD fell today when the NFIB was published. It is inversely proportional to the strength of the usd. {image} {image}
Question

What does MACD on this chart TEACH us
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  • #4,302
  • Sep 10, 2024 10:37pm Sep 10, 2024 10:37pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} Question What does MACD on this chart TEACH us {image}

A strong upward impulse on M5 signals the beginning of a trend change on H1.

M5, price above SMA200.
  • #4,303
  • Sep 10, 2024 11:08pm Sep 10, 2024 11:08pm
Quoting Gelubrin
{quote} A strong upward impulse on M5 signals the beginning of a trend change on H1. M5, price above SMA200.
MACD at 0 line = price is at a balance

When this balance is disturbed we trade the direction of the disturbance
  • #4,304
  • Sep 10, 2024 11:11pm Sep 10, 2024 11:11pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} MACD at 0 line = price is at a balance When this balance is disturbed we trade the direction of the disturbance
In process creating a new balance
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  • #4,305
  • Sep 10, 2024 11:56pm Sep 10, 2024 11:56pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} In process creating a new balance {image}
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  • #4,306
  • Sep 11, 2024 7:16am Sep 11, 2024 7:16am
Price will get bounce from 1.1065 after testing 100 MA and 200 MA and if the data of US cpi will be good.
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  • #4,307
  • Sep 11, 2024 12:37pm Sep 11, 2024 12:37pm
The fundamental analysis was correct. We will now forecast tomorrow's leading Unemployment Claims indicator. He refers to the period September 2-6. What correlations can we make?
A. Fundamental:
1. Dow Jones industrial fell (WM, VI, MCO);
2. the price of oil decreased;
3. personal expenses decreased (JPM.US);
4. Continuing Jobless Claims estimated higher;
5. Gasoline Production decreased.

B. Technical
-H4/H1 are in bullish territory, but below RSI 50;
- H4 support on SMA 200; H1 price below SMA 100/200, MACD below 0;
-D1, bearish.

What do you think?
  • #4,308
  • Sep 11, 2024 1:25pm Sep 11, 2024 1:25pm
Rate cut
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  • #4,309
  • Sep 11, 2024 2:30pm Sep 11, 2024 2:30pm
Oil price cut is a GAME

UNDERSTAND THE GAME
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  • #4,310
  • Sep 11, 2024 3:56pm Sep 11, 2024 3:56pm
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  • #4,311
  • Sep 11, 2024 4:37pm Sep 11, 2024 4:37pm
Rate Cut. If, BCE rate cut > 25pb and FED rate cut = 25pb... Bias Bear.
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  • #4,312
  • Edited Sep 12, 2024 6:06am Sep 11, 2024 4:53pm | Edited Sep 12, 2024 6:06am
Quoting ElvisAnt
Rate Cut. If, BCE rate cut > 25pb and FED rate cut = 25pb... Bias Bear. {image}
This graph tells us that both interest rates will be cut in September. Banks are the first to give this signal.

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  • #4,313
  • Sep 11, 2024 7:32pm Sep 11, 2024 7:32pm
Now I never need to worry about direction
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  • #4,314
  • Sep 11, 2024 9:23pm Sep 11, 2024 9:23pm
the 1.0950 bus calculation
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  • #4,315
  • Sep 12, 2024 1:26pm Sep 12, 2024 1:26pm
Quoting PatienceFx
Rate cut {image} {image}
Normally, the decrease in the euro interest rate should drag the euro price down, because this reduction shows the cooling of the economy. Unemployment claims had the strongest effect (leading indicator). PPI and Core PPI had no effect on the price.
  • #4,316
  • Sep 12, 2024 1:30pm Sep 12, 2024 1:30pm
Any thing but decrease is good for the EUR?
CPI is still to high.

Regards
We obey the structure that results from the market's reaction
  • #4,317
  • Sep 12, 2024 2:02pm Sep 12, 2024 2:02pm
Quoting Egbert
Any thing but decrease is good for the EUR? CPI is still to high. Regards
Compare the CPI levels in the two tables.
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  • #4,318
  • Sep 12, 2024 8:37pm Sep 12, 2024 8:37pm
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  • #4,319
  • Sep 12, 2024 11:35pm Sep 12, 2024 11:35pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{image}
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  • #4,320
  • Sep 12, 2024 11:44pm Sep 12, 2024 11:44pm
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