Why are most retail traders usually on the wrong side of the market?

I only disagree with the part about Risk Reward Ratio being more important than Win Rate, because they're both equally important.

for a 1:1 R:R you need a greater than 50%wr
for a 1:2 R:R you need a greater than 33.3%wr
for a 1:3 R:R you need a greater than 25%wr

In your example with the 1:3 R:R, 3 wins and 7 losses, you're assuming a 30% win rate (which is greater than 25%).

But in a random walk scenario (coin toss), I would expect a direct proportional correlation between R:R & WR. The higher the Reward to Risk, the lower the win rate. -You're more likely to have a 25% win rate with a 1:3 R:R

You need to know your WR over a sample size of trades, and of course you need to know the average R:R, then you are able to work out your expectancy.

Risk Reward Ratio in itself is not an edge, is simply what I am saying.
And you can't compare a 1:3 R:R trade to a coin flip, because a coin flip is 50/50.
1:1 R:R would be more applicable for coin flip.

do you REALLY want a real answer to this threads question? i dont think you'll like the answer.

first, to the idea of RRR being or not being an edge. retailers are stupid, plain n simple. accept it or...argue. the coin toss idea is a farce. is a pointless idea as people are inherently sidetracked. 1 to 1 or 2 or 3 are not real. its hypothetical. startin to see a pattern here? people use stupid points of argument to explore or explain something like tradin. a RRR is indeed a edge on its own if used realisitcally. a WR is not inherently biased but the person is. again, startin to see a pattern here? the actual relationship with RR n WR are decided by knowledge NOT maths. what goes on behind the scenes with a market. NOT CFD rubbish. the context of all these discussions is so absurd really. if i get in with a negative flowback that lasts for say 14mins then it returns to its previous movement, then my exposure may be outlasting da cost. end of action = it moved say 5 places against me but gave me an opening of lets say 19 places. now sum total all costs n project da cost of the temporary flowback by showing if costs fit inside temp flowback or not. IF they do you can now seek to repeat the movement in da future somewhere. if they dont fit you have paid too much for da !!trade!!. thererfore doin RRR trades dat offer 10 to 1 or more happen every day literally. retailers are inherently sidetracked so they move in confused circles n dont see em coz they think it must be !!big movement!!.

another answer to this threads question.

people are innately followers when in danger. usually only a marginal few% ignore the urge to run blindly or follow in da face of danger. in tradin da same applies. all dis crap online is not real. youd only know dis if you see it as a traveling vendor who knows that part of business is haggling, that averaged price costs are normal. the more digital the more moving parts the more can !!happen!!. you gotta ask da question = if so many fail wheres da source of dis !!knowledge!!

The 1% of people who are successful in the market have created a "trading strategy" that favors them, much like a game designed to benefit the creator, similar to how a casino operates. When others trade against them, they're essentially playing a game where the odds are stacked in favor of the strategy's creator. To understand this, you need to grasp the concept of expectancy.

If you play a game repeatedly and it gives you a positive expectancy, you win over time. But if the expectancy is negative, you lose money in the long run, even if you have occasional big wins. Casinos operate with a positive expectancy, meaning they win on average every time someone plays, and the players lose in the end.

In trading, many new traders don't understand risk management, strategies, or the importance of expectancy. They enter and exit trades without a proper system, and as a result, they lose their money to those who have built and follow well-designed systems.

yeah i would say youre one of the people i was just describing. lacking experience. but its good to see you can regurgitate the mess u find online that people gobble up. modern day lady gaga silliness. if something has a basic counterpoint that works as a fulcrum then you have the ability to know it. tell me have u ever been inside a casino? ever played there? ever watched someone win then do what? stick around or leave? ever won every day of the year at a casino? so casinos dont operate with positive expetancy. they fold the presence of bias. their system is not systematic. its diversified to be angled at the biases. thats not expectancy its called rigging. as in to tie one end of something to a firm solid base. maaan are people dumb. expectancy inline with gambling is not bout the maths its about the biases. the biases fold the maths n lean on a persons biases. just as in !!cfd tradin!! oooor horse racing or YEP casino gaming ..... CFDs =NOT a real market. not a real thing. not based on anything that gives tangible legality so uuum guesss what. is !!decentralized!!. hihihihi people luv doin reearch hah. yeah ok sure.

using the key words dat others have !!come to accept!! dont make what u say real. i dont think u understand da game. have fun

oochiwaawaa blabla hahaha.
A real wise troll wannabee.
Uber-eloquent postconceptual masterpiece.

PSYCOLOGHY

As Gary dayton in "Trade mindfully" (My favorite book) say :
Not only Emotions make effect on Our Decision's
Our Thoughts and Beliefs Have More Effect .
This is the main and hidden Reason in my opinion .

i see ur from 2007, should i bend over or kneel down 2 assume da position?

maybe invest in an actual dictionary.

sorry 2 piss on ur campfire bud.

yeeeaaah no trollin if its true. luv 2 meet ya in da flesh think itd be quick 2 size ya up.

u choose which fetish works best for ya have fun

yeah i know (hughug) itll be ok. its always tough trying to make heads o tails of it all if ur only view is from the toilet bowl ur standing in. i see UR from 2014 wellllll must be a real go getter. after all ur glorious hypotheticals about RRR and WR it always comes down to da same thing. whats real. all that gooble you n others speak is great for da website playground but is flightless in real life. perhaps it serves in those workshops on hypothetical scenarios based round mechanical trading but then, thaaaaats not really tradin is it. its more a hope n prey oh sorry i mean pray type situation. yeah sorry bout da sarcasm it always gets away from me. maybe those round ya should consider a !!lets assume were wrong bout everythin!! approach n see where dat takes ya. maaaybe outta da toilet bowl. i dont have da time for internet PC or any other gross uselessness of intelligence. if ya wanna learn somethin well then u might. yeah so not a troll thing just sayin basic reality have fun

internet folly is always really really funny. people forget theyre people so know nothing or somethin, da sensible truth is always more funny. ofc readin all da content on these sites says a lot bout what people really undertand bout time n money. pssssssst = maybe add THAT one to da list here on this thread

heres another truly fuckin ridiculously funny n TRUE one = im online n show i can trade ergo MUST translate 2 !!i have common sense!! hahahaha i know right !!!

aaaaaand another good one==== a retail trader is created as a misfit from the outset. ur given wrong footin from da start. wrong ideas bout money, bout finance, bout business, bout !!markets!! basically bout it all. challenge = get off thses useless n addictive sites for say 6mths n do nothin but hardcore research bout the above subjects. after all = ITS UR $$$$$ ..... RIGHT ?!!!!

hint = what is a broker in general terms of human society? are all types o broker legal practice? in what forms r types o money illegal?

see?!! didnt think theyre important hah?!! yeah they are. retail traders put WAY TOO MUCH trust in brokers. its not paranoia its common sense. theyre not quite like banks where they serve a different process.

heres a reaaaaly good one= use of RRR alone on a base chart is all u need IF u first check what u know. yeah uum losers teaching losers cant end well. it ll be real bloody.

OH and dis one= RISK !! oh what people say bout this is funny. maybe in blind n blinkless gambling would u maybe use risk:reward bcoz u know nothin. just here to there. da risk assessment round here is based on dis blinkless approach. so either people are lying here or they know nothin real. true risk is not !!2% of ur account!! holy shit!! no way. if its based on this let me shake ur hand coz we ll never meet again.... ur off to meet da wizard down da rabbithole. RISK of what? money? time? position? DIS is why i find da arrogant stupidity of traders so funny. risk of no adaptation is surefire to loss. so forget RRR or whatever creme de la words are popular.

sorry am i still trollin .... oh i mean spammin .... oh i mean ... fuck off wit dat crap

another good one= !!retail traders!! never grow up. ya never grow up n lose dat title n so never lose da misfit setting. ur head says one thing but ur wallet say other things. da retail !!market!! goes waaay back to da 1600's in case ur feeling ready 2 do da research. outta da middle ages then into da agrarian age n into da industrial age. n now post industrial non-personal information age.

heres a great one=== money chart=spread=swaps=interbank exchange=international exchanges=private n public.
poeple on wrong side coz they know nothin. n worse they cant adapt if wrong. gamblers are always short term smart long term dumb.

dis thread is like christmas 4 me here. it encapsulates all these sites hahahahaha

retailers why would u listen to sloshsloshbrains online when u can do ur own researching?

maybe say again= CFD's are not real. theyre made up. so whats backin em? uuuummmm weeeeeeelll uuuuummmm

individual research is worth more than any course or !!conversation!! online

eg= https://www.londonstockexchange.com/market-data/all

NOT any destination but a start. get past da noise dat traps most.