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The Swamp

  • #118,761
  • Aug 20, 2024 9:59am Aug 20, 2024 9:59am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I need pa below 2521 to start.
Change to 2519.95 2514 .
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  • #118,762
  • Aug 20, 2024 10:06am Aug 20, 2024 10:06am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Change to 2519.95 2514 . {image} {image}
1 min slipped some below those.
Those few min made a difference.
2228.x may have caught its groove.
2519.97ish restested has a shot at light R
2514.28 is a little weaker as a R
The trend is up, so I'm just spitballing it may have reached a high area mark. The odds are I'm wrong.
Based on the crap above I have a shot at 235x.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,763
  • Aug 20, 2024 10:19am Aug 20, 2024 10:19am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1 min slipped some below those. Those few min made a difference. 2228.x may have caught its groove. 2519.97ish restested has a shot at light R 2514.28 is a little weaker as a R The trend is up, so I'm just spitballing it may have reached a high area mark. The odds are I'm wrong. Based on the crap above I have a shot at 235x. {image}
If correct 2497.x on chart may be the next support backed with adr at 2491. If it breaks and holds below these. 2497 may later be R.
More support 2485.73 and 2432.x of these can push pa back to high. The trend is up, so these may be buys.
2350.19 is very close to the balance at 2350.x. It may be a best buy sweet spot area.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,764
  • Edited 10:45am Aug 20, 2024 10:34am | Edited 10:45am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If correct 2497.x on chart may be the next support backed with adr at 2491. If it breaks and holds below these. 2497 may later be R. More support 2485.73 and 2432.x of these can push pa back to high. The trend is up, so these may be buys. 2350.19 is very close to the balance at 2350.x. It may be a best buy sweet spot area. {image}
I only placed some the larger support ares in the above post.. They have many others. the 2500 area is likely one. I omitted a lot of these to focus on the balance area at 2350.02... So if and when pa is near it. It may bounce. But by then sentiment may be pro usd. I dont know.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,765
  • Aug 20, 2024 11:12am Aug 20, 2024 11:12am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1 min slipped some below those. Those few min made a difference. 2228.x may have caught its groove. 2519.97ish restested has a shot at light R 2514.28 is a little weaker as a R The trend is up, so I'm just spitballing it may have reached a high area mark. The odds are I'm wrong. Based on the crap above I have a shot at 235x. {image}
A nice 34$ drop regaudless..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,766
  • Aug 20, 2024 3:21pm Aug 20, 2024 3:21pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} statistics without a political view. Math dont lie comparisons. Like if the u.s. is spending 6 to make 3. What are others doing to make 3. Does the 3 continue or die. If I spend 6 today on a bridge or a highway. Does it work out in the future? The u.s. started building interstate highways with Eisenhower in the 1950S. We still spend on maintaining/expanding these roadways. They still contribute to GDP 70 years after started. The same with waterways Like Suez and Panama canals. The money spent in the past has long been paid for in + GDP....
...I'm fine with the Mayberry way also...what are the married couple's doing with so many light's and no car...bread at xx$ and gas cost skyrocketing...but good roads...well for Huber deliveries and amazon is good... but the couple...and if the coast of the lights is 40 trillion in debt...I keep in the dark..and no car...hold the bread though....escuse my english gator...
The Chonchy
  • #118,767
  • Aug 20, 2024 3:55pm Aug 20, 2024 3:55pm
Quoting chonchy
{quote} ...I'm fine with the Mayberry way also...what are the married couple's doing with so many light's and no car...bread at xx$ and gas cost skyrocketing...but good roads...well for Huber deliveries and amazon is good... but the couple...and if the coast of the lights is 40 trillion in debt...I keep in the dark..and no car...hold the bread though....escuse my english gator...
About 713,000 days ago the coliseum in Rome opened. Made of cement, its is still a money maker today. Today it still keeps they light on for some people in the tourism business. I dont know what the multiple is, but I'm sure its paid for a few times. The slaves and fighters who built it and died there may disagree. The voyage Spain paid for to the new world may be another. The trips to space have gained us much. The multiple there is unmeasurable too. AI may be they next.. People are no more than smart animals who learned how to use tools. Of the billions of sperm you are the one who made it. The others are all dead. We live better than any other animal that ever lived. We live better than any ancient king. We just bitch. We are the king of complaining. We all feel entitled to more, sitting with a full belly in the ac. We are not anything special. We are just lucky.
Your dog has it better than you. He dont have to worry about much sitting in the AC. He may even be better off. At least he can lick his balls.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,768
  • Aug 20, 2024 7:12pm Aug 20, 2024 7:12pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} About 713,000 days ago the coliseum in Rome opened. Made of cement, its is still a money maker today. Today it still keeps they light on for some people in the tourism business. I dont know what the multiple is, but I'm sure its paid for a few times. The slaves and fighters who built it and died there may disagree. The voyage Spain paid for to the new world may be another. The trips to space have gained us much. The multiple there is unmeasurable too. AI may be they next.. People are no more than smart animals who learned how to use tools....
Lol...I follow you...
The Chonchy
  • #118,769
  • Aug 21, 2024 4:41am Aug 21, 2024 4:41am
Quoting chonchy
{quote} Lol...I follow you...
Some of our tax dollars.. X3. It probably won't make the oil powers to be happy. So they will just have to get some news company to crap on it.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opini...sion-research/
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,770
  • Aug 21, 2024 11:30am Aug 21, 2024 11:30am
Average Wk 1142. Month 1158, adr 1155 EU
Possible retrace to come from this current area.
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  • #118,771
  • Aug 21, 2024 1:47pm Aug 21, 2024 1:47pm
Maybe back to 1168 if it can get above 64.. But its no guarantee to be bearish.
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  • #118,772
  • Aug 21, 2024 1:58pm Aug 21, 2024 1:58pm
Quoting gatorinla
Maybe back to 1168 if it can get above 64.. But its no guarantee to be bearish. {image}
possible scalp buy 1129/33 ish. The month is still overextended. So at some point I expect a large drop. When, i dont know. Maybe after the rate cut.
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  • #118,773
  • Aug 21, 2024 2:24pm Aug 21, 2024 2:24pm
Quoting gatorinla
Maybe back to 1168 if it can get above 64.. But its no guarantee to be bearish. {image}
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1/2
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,774
  • Aug 21, 2024 9:55pm Aug 21, 2024 9:55pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If correct 2497.x on chart may be the next support backed with adr at 2491. If it breaks and holds below these. 2497 may later be R. More support 2485.73 and 2432.x of these can push pa back to high. The trend is up, so these may be buys. 2350.19 is very close to the balance at 2350.x. It may be a best buy sweet spot area. {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,775
  • Aug 22, 2024 6:21am Aug 22, 2024 6:21am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} possible scalp buy 1129/33 ish. The month is still overextended. So at some point I expect a large drop. When, i dont know. Maybe after the rate cut. {image}
I Should of said 1.1128.9 here instead. It can support. But if it starts closing below 1.1128 it can resist. I had to use 1.1132 as a POBO.. IF it slips below it and 1.1128 it could run.Bo change on the chart except the magenta add. The levels remain. The bulls were unable to press 1168 before 1132.
1164 didnt allow the rise later
Quoting gatorinla
Maybe back to 1168 if it can get above 64.. But its no guarantee to be bearish. {image}
If back below 1.1128.. -30 pips, a bounce may be hard to manage. I have the larger attraction to the downside after cut is baked. I just dont know where It starts.
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  • #118,776
  • Aug 22, 2024 6:38am Aug 22, 2024 6:38am
Gold and the eu are in the support area. Break or bounce
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  • #118,777
  • Aug 22, 2024 6:50am Aug 22, 2024 6:50am
On gold I used the possible retrace to 2350.x as the balance. The last time the month was this overextended the drop was 400$. The deal with Russia has probably helped gold rise. To counter the invasion Russia may need to raise some cash. They may need to sell some gold. I dont know how that would work with the usd since it likely won't be directly bought with usd (sanction wise). It may be affected in other ways needed to go around in a rebalance act in some portfolios. Its all spongeable. They just move the chess pieces around. If any of you rob trains/ships. You may get lucky on a shipment out of Russia. If you can survive. This would make a good theme for the next "Mission Impossible". There is likely some truth in it.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,778
  • Edited 7:11am Aug 22, 2024 7:01am | Edited 7:11am
Out of curiosity I googled this. Like I said i dont know this works with the sanctions. But let's say Putin sells the gold at a discount because of the sanctions. The price is high. The buyer may want to off load some. Since its bought at the discount. Its free money. https://tradingeconomics.com/russia/gold-reserves
He is also selling yuan. I dont know what pi thinks about that. Hell China may want to invade Putin. Putin is pissing away Russia's wealth. The U.S. is now pumping more oil than ever before. That deepens the hurt for Russia.
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  • #118,779
  • Aug 22, 2024 8:37am Aug 22, 2024 8:37am
Gold has tripped some.. Less than 50$ from the high so far.
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  • #118,780
  • Aug 22, 2024 8:54am Aug 22, 2024 8:54am
Now if 2497 resist enough it may break that support.
I would rather it punch through -2483 and make 2483 resist. I'm in a risk free trade now. I have some profit booked above the s/L. Lets see if it hits the 2350.x balance
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