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  • #181
  • Aug 16, 2024 10:02am Aug 16, 2024 10:02am
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} Watching the close of the current 15mn candle to go or not Long. {image}
We got a bearish close. So I'll wait for a bullish close above the range to go long.
  • #182
  • Edited 10:40am Aug 16, 2024 10:22am | Edited 10:40am
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} We got a bearish close. So I'll wait for a bullish close above the range to go long.
Nothing for me for today! Keeping an eye on the news from Qatar: a ceasefire agreement is good for Equities; no agreement, risk is on.
Edit: The ceasefire negotiations will continue next week in Egypt. So risk is fading out and becomes irrelevant for trading.
  • #183
  • Aug 16, 2024 11:02am Aug 16, 2024 11:02am
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} We got a bearish close. So I'll wait for a bullish close above the range to go long.
I missed my entry! We got a bullish candle that closed above the NY opening range. Those who took it, GL!
  • #184
  • Aug 16, 2024 1:15pm Aug 16, 2024 1:15pm
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} Watching the close of the current 15mn candle to go or not Long. {image}
Both targets were hit, but I was empty hands.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #185
  • Aug 17, 2024 12:39pm Aug 17, 2024 12:39pm
Good Week!
Here is my analysis for this week.
In the ST, NQ is retracing down; so the outlook is SELL.
Last week, we had a strong green candle that went up to the Last Break Out (LBO) without closing above it. For me, the week closed in the bearish side. So inline with the Sell Outlook, we should expect a Red Candle of this week.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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In addition to the weekly close, the Friday close was also bearish in my view.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Clearly Sellers are going to trap the latest Buyers. For Sunday/Monday, I expect a zigzag (up then down).
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Good luck Everyone!
  • #186
  • Aug 19, 2024 8:56am Aug 19, 2024 8:56am
Quoting Fadhl
Good Week! Here is my analysis for this week. In the ST, NQ is retracing down; so the outlook is SELL. Last week, we had a strong green candle that went up to the Last Break Out (LBO) without closing above it. For me, the week closed in the bearish side. So inline with the Sell Outlook, we should expect a Red Candle of this week. {image}In addition to the weekly close, the Friday close was also bearish in my view. {image}Clearly Sellers are going to trap the latest Buyers. For Sunday/Monday, I expect a zigzag (up then down). {image}Good luck Everyone!...
Good Monday! NY opening range seems bullish; so price is moving as expected. Buyers who took profit on early Friday are actually trapping the early sellers from 1957x. The zigzag movement is underplay.
No position yet. I prefer selling at the current level than buying. Will update later if I've any entry. GL!
  • #187
  • Aug 19, 2024 12:08pm Aug 19, 2024 12:08pm
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} Good Monday! NY opening range seems bullish; so price is moving as expected. Buyers who took profit on early Friday are actually trapping the early sellers from 1957x. The zigzag movement is underplay. No position yet. I prefer selling at the current level than buying. Will update later if I've any entry. GL!
I entered with mini position at 19603 and I will add up to 19700. The reason is NVSA has reached its top from this move which is 127.60. There is no setup to sell so far.
  • #188
  • Aug 19, 2024 12:20pm Aug 19, 2024 12:20pm
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  • #189
  • Aug 19, 2024 3:30pm Aug 19, 2024 3:30pm
We have another bullish day close today! I did expect the move up but not that much! NQ should go down from this point onward, but no setup for any weakness to jump in. Asian session should go south as a tarting point.
  • #190
  • Aug 20, 2024 7:38am Aug 20, 2024 7:38am
Good day!
Both Asian and European Sessions were ranging, consolidating. NY session may do the same or start the drop. I really doubt another leg up. Market will decide.
This said, we have strong data and news this Thursday with Services and Friday with Jackson Holl. So we should see huge movements in all instruments.
Until then, I will continue sharing my intraday plan and entries. GL!
  • #191
  • Aug 20, 2024 7:54am Aug 20, 2024 7:54am
Here is my plan for today:
NQ needs to break and close below the range to be a valid plan. Otherwise, it might test the high of the range (note: no need to test the HH).
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  • #192
  • Aug 20, 2024 8:26am Aug 20, 2024 8:26am
Quoting Fadhl
Here is my plan for today: NQ needs to break and close below the range to be a valid plan. Otherwise, it might test the high of the range (note: no need to test the HH). {image}
My planned entry
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  • #193
  • Aug 20, 2024 8:37am Aug 20, 2024 8:37am
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} My planned entry {image}
I'm in. GL!
  • #194
  • Aug 21, 2024 7:00am Aug 21, 2024 7:00am
Good day! Same plan, nothing really to update.
Since yesterday price is inside one single bar; that is noise! I think, we will continue ranging and testing the top of the range before the important news tomorrow and the day after.
How should we read tomorrow's data, in particular US Services:
1- Overshoot: completely unexpected. Equities will resume the up trend and a new HH becomes the target. Cutting rates is confirmed and the cloud of recession is evaporated.
2- Inline: expected. Equities will continue the down leg and a new LL is the plan. Cutting rates is confirmed and the cloud of recession is still possible.
3- Undershoot: slightly expected. Equities will drop deeply and a new LL from higher timeframe is the target. Cutting rates is confirmed and the cloud of recession is confirmed.
For today, if price continue ranging, no trade for me. GL!
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  • #195
  • Aug 21, 2024 10:06am Aug 21, 2024 10:06am
Quoting Fadhl
Good day! Same plan, nothing really to update. Since yesterday price is inside one single bar; that is noise! I think, we will continue ranging and testing the top of the range before the important news tomorrow and the day after. How should we read tomorrow's data, in particular US Services: 1- Overshoot: completely unexpected. Equities will resume the up trend and a new HH becomes the target. Cutting rates is confirmed and the cloud of recession is evaporated. 2- Inline: expected. Equities will continue the down leg and a new LL is the plan. Cutting...
Price has tested the top of the range and it was rejected. The NFP revision news is relevant to recession cloud.
I'm looking for shorting position.
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  • #196
  • Aug 21, 2024 10:10am Aug 21, 2024 10:10am
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} Price has tested the top of the range and it was rejected. The NFP revision news is relevant to recession cloud. I'm looking for shorting position. {image}
Here my planned entry
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  • #197
  • Aug 21, 2024 11:06am Aug 21, 2024 11:06am
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} Here my planned entry {image}
I lowered my entry level as price has broken the low of NY opening range.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #198
  • Aug 21, 2024 11:29am Aug 21, 2024 11:29am
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} I lowered my entry level as price has broken the low of NY opening range. {image}
My sell position triggered!
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  • #199
  • Aug 21, 2024 1:02pm Aug 21, 2024 1:02pm
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} My sell position triggered! {image}
Stopped! I hate this...
  • #200
  • Aug 21, 2024 4:01pm Aug 21, 2024 4:01pm
The day closed green, but no brake, only an extension. This is a bearish close.
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