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The Swamp

  • #118,401
  • Jul 18, 2024 7:19am Jul 18, 2024 7:19am
next h close is a 4h and 8h close.
A lot of interest 0858ish. 0851x can support. But if it blows past. It may be best to get out the way.
It can support, but it can resist if pa is below.
Adr is only about 50 pips at 0890ish. 0851 is well below adr. That may help support more. Just for today
0928 is still in the way..The bull side is above it.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,402
  • Jul 18, 2024 7:31am Jul 18, 2024 7:31am
bad usd employment news.
Bad means eu up. If it closes below 0828 this next h. That may be a different story.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,403
  • Jul 18, 2024 7:34am Jul 18, 2024 7:34am
Quoting gatorinla
bad usd employment news. {image}
in line with already decided thinking on rate cuts. doesnt change anything
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #118,404
  • Jul 18, 2024 7:36am Jul 18, 2024 7:36am
Quoting axecap
{quote} in line with already decided thinking on rate cuts. doesnt change anything
market mover will be ecb pressser if anything
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #118,405
  • Jul 18, 2024 7:38am Jul 18, 2024 7:38am
The current 30 min candle contains the news..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,406
  • Jul 18, 2024 7:44am Jul 18, 2024 7:44am
Quoting axecap
{quote} in line with already decided thinking on rate cuts. doesnt change anything
Its just a headline. Bad u.s. unemployment lines up with. Equals less trips to europe and purchases from u.s. consumers. Buying EZ goods. Tick for tack in a delayed form. Less employment = less spending= less workers needed at starbucks and widget making world wide. No need for tears, This is still the best economy in my lifetime.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,407
  • Jul 18, 2024 7:50am Jul 18, 2024 7:50am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Its just a headline. Bad u.s. unemployment lines up with. Equals less trips to europe and purchases from u.s. consumers. Buying EZ goods. Tick for tack in a delayed form. Less employment = less spending= less workers needed at starbucks and widget making world wide. No need for tears, This is still the best economy in my lifetime. {image}
its also necessary to get inflation down, planned for. everyone is in the same boat.....including europe.
really low number would cast doubt on rate cuts, arguably worse for starbucks etc
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #118,408
  • Jul 18, 2024 7:51am Jul 18, 2024 7:51am
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  • #118,409
  • Jul 18, 2024 7:56am Jul 18, 2024 7:56am
Quoting axecap
{quote} its also necessary to get inflation down, planned for. everyone is in the same boat.....including europe. really low number would cast doubt on rate cuts, arguably worse for starbucks etc
Not so good for retail, great for bullet makers
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,410
  • Jul 18, 2024 8:00am Jul 18, 2024 8:00am
neutralo ecb statement, marginally dovish in my view.....questions to come
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #118,411
  • Jul 18, 2024 8:10am Jul 18, 2024 8:10am
Here is a little unknown fact to most. In the U.S. volunteers for WW2 was very robust. Despite this, the draft age was 21 to 45. Yes 45 year olds were drafted. Back then China and Russia were allied with the U.S. If war breaks out in Europe. Via a spread past Ukraine to Poland etc. When including China, Iran, North Korea, and Russia. Think about that 45 number, and maybe raise it some. Next time a politician wants to turn its back on Ukraine.
(18 to 64 could be drafted but were not)
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,412
  • Jul 18, 2024 8:12am Jul 18, 2024 8:12am
May be we have a bullish flag. in this case, 1.0980 will be the target.
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  • #118,413
  • Jul 18, 2024 8:17am Jul 18, 2024 8:17am
Quoting gatorinla
The current 30 min candle contains the news.. {image}
it ended red. The 4h and 8h closed below 0928.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,414
  • Jul 18, 2024 8:26am Jul 18, 2024 8:26am
a small pobo 0903/05
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,415
  • Jul 18, 2024 8:26am Jul 18, 2024 8:26am
I have seen this "deception" many times. Get in a sell now and it flies up to 1.10. Itchy fingers, but I'll wait. If it falls today it rises tomorrow. Not selling. Hehehe...
  • #118,416
  • Jul 18, 2024 8:28am Jul 18, 2024 8:28am
0921.7 may have 15 min R. Soft R for now
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,417
  • Jul 18, 2024 8:29am Jul 18, 2024 8:29am
Options in dark (0895, 0900, 0915) will all be bounce points.
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  • #118,418
  • Jul 18, 2024 8:31am Jul 18, 2024 8:31am
Quoting Mitiblotch
I have seen this "deception" many times. Get in a sell now and it flies up to 1.10. Itchy fingers, but I'll wait. If it falls today it rises tomorrow. Not selling. Hehehe...
Buyers will jump in around 1.0909 which will cause a retracement, if buying pressure is good it will continue up. If you see it struggle around 1.093 once again that would be a good selling point.
If 95% Of Traders Fail, Then Why Are You Doing The Same Thing They Are.
  • #118,419
  • Jul 18, 2024 8:31am Jul 18, 2024 8:31am
maybe like this..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,420
  • Jul 18, 2024 9:10am Jul 18, 2024 9:10am
Quoting gatorinla
maybe like this.. {image}
0928 was a big number its coming off from. The normal smaller bounces may not happen. But anyway. 0921.7 may resist lightly .
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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