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The Swamp

  • #118,101
  • Jun 24, 2024 9:53am Jun 24, 2024 9:53am
Quoting gatorinla
bulls need to take back 0728.4..its always a competition.. {image}
Thanks gator
  • #118,102
  • Edited 10:16am Jun 24, 2024 10:05am | Edited 10:16am
Quoting Fadhl
EU plan: Sell from 1.0730; TP1= 1.067; TP2= 1.0635; TP3= 1.060; STP= 1.0770 {image}
I had these 2 places to chose from on the chart. I opted to wait for 788-90. It is well above adr today. Pa could find some breakable support 0731/32 20 0694. That could bring it to 788. 0732 + 1 adr can do it. I do think 0750 ish larger players are using for center range. 0790 could be a center range place also. Since price didnt go back to 0788. It managed to hit 0760ish. After it did not continue to the lower 060 area. Not equal or a LL. It makes me believe 0788 pobo is still actively attracting. It can also be the center range 0600x/098x.
I gave those supports 0731 20 for a rise. The drop support may differ some. 0724 could support drops.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,103
  • Jun 24, 2024 10:21am Jun 24, 2024 10:21am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I had these 2 places to chose from on the chart. I opted to wait for 788-90. It is well above adr today. Pa could find some breakable support 0731/32 20 0694. That could bring it to 788. 0732 + 1 adr can do it. I do think 0750 ish larger players are using for center range. 0790 could be a center range place also. Since price didnt go back to 0788. It managed to hit 0760ish. After it did not continue to the lower 060 area. Not equal or a LL. It makes me believe 0788 pobo is still actively attracting. It can also be the center range 0600x/098x....
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,104
  • Jun 24, 2024 4:35pm Jun 24, 2024 4:35pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {image}
It did sink a little deeper below 0724 to 722. So maybe it and 720/24 ish will limit fall. The atm new day low at 728. adr is about 58 pips. That may bring it close to 0788.. Void if 0720 fails to support. i have 12/8/6/4/3/2/1 hour resistance in the area 0760/94. The day 0799ish
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,105
  • Edited 8:42pm Jun 24, 2024 8:10pm | Edited 8:42pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Well it ran up above 0695 to close the 12h. My question now is will it return to 0681 in the next 5 hs.
Looks like its going higher again on my chart. I wonder who makes these moves sometime..
Edit - Its very limited though and a down swing is going to move over the market for the next 2 days.. for AU
btw did I tell you about the massive layoffs coming in every sector? I think I said something in April or May.. Travel is going to take a big hit
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  • #118,106
  • Jun 24, 2024 9:55pm Jun 24, 2024 9:55pm
Quoting q_import
{quote}Looks like its going higher again on my chart. I wonder who makes these moves sometime.. Edit - Its very limited though and a down swing is going to move over the market for the next 2 days.. for AU btw did I tell you about the massive layoffs coming in every sector? I think I said something in April or May.. Travel is going to take a big hit https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fregObNcHC8
BOJ can put out some WTF moves. I'm a little skittish on getting caught on the wrong side of a capitulation. I think the USD is the sharper blade on the draw overall.
If pa woud had closed above 0695 Friday. It would of be easier to reach for 788. That's my story
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,107
  • Jun 24, 2024 10:08pm Jun 24, 2024 10:08pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} BOJ can put out some WTF moves. I'm a little skittish on getting caught on the wrong side of a capitulation. I think the USD is the sharper blade on the draw overall. If pa woud had closed above 0695 Friday. It would of be easier to reach for 788. That's my story https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BewKY_BpVXg
I just use the charts and patterns I would take it with a grain of salt. lol no one know the future we can just do our best to make beautiful decisions.
edit .. 069 did if for me after the break but AU didnt follow well.. very skidish about moving higher there is pure weakness showing AU Range is in overdrive and and EU slow to match the movement EA is the winner today for me.. EU and AU and just cherries today. lol
  • #118,108
  • Jun 24, 2024 10:11pm Jun 24, 2024 10:11pm
Quoting q_import
{quote} I just use the charts and patterns I would take it with a grain of salt. lol no one know the future we can just do our best to make beautiful decisions.
I'm been waiting for a run to 0788 to sell.. But if it ranges it may run back closer to 0900. I dont think it will.. 076/079x is my focus
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,109
  • Jun 25, 2024 4:28am Jun 25, 2024 4:28am
My wheelbarrow is still empty. Pushing this thing uphill is a struggle.. 0720 has held support. The pressure to break it is there. The cost to wait is time.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,110
  • Jun 25, 2024 4:45am Jun 25, 2024 4:45am
a range within a range. The 0750 area will steal many accounts. The trend traders get killed here. Its summer, notorious for ranging. 0900 to 0600 has pa center about 0750 roughtly. 098x and 0600 has it 079x roughly.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,111
  • Jun 25, 2024 5:52am Jun 25, 2024 5:52am
take your pick for LC. 0729x or 0700. Both are below the entry i want.
If pa is above 0692/95 and still closing above. I still have a decent shot. I have 0787 because the pobo. 0776 may be the reason the pobo is there. If pa ever decides to run lower. 0776 and 0692 may play a role as resistance sooner or later. 0867 may be another. Assuming this is a summer range. At some point those may be unpassible. They are coordinated on the South side of a 10 and 5 year range.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,112
  • Jun 25, 2024 6:09am Jun 25, 2024 6:09am
That option at 0700.. 0720 has that same support. looks like it will break. 0700 option with an attraction to 0694. Unless something magical happens with a bounce after/at 0717.. I hoped the pobo would attract to 0787.. That dont look likely.. atm
I personally dont believe in magic. The 12h gave a short signal the last close.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,113
  • Edited 8:37am Jun 25, 2024 8:08am | Edited 8:37am
Quoting gatorinla
That option at 0700.. 0720 has that same support. looks like it will break. 0700 option with an attraction to 0694. Unless something magical happens with a bounce after/at 0717.. I hoped the pobo would attract to 0787.. That dont look likely.. atm I personally dont believe in magic. The 12h gave a short signal the last close. {image}
I would not have been able to see things differently trading if it was not for you. Your hard work and consitant logic of working out what is going on never taking anything at face value with out some proof or verification is why i come. You remind me to not believe my own bs and always verify
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  • #118,114
  • Edited 8:40am Jun 25, 2024 8:20am | Edited 8:40am
Using last Friday's low, to yesterday's high. A 61.8 retrace is about 06999. Basically the 700 option. I dont know what will happen. From 0700 a fib extension at 100% is about 0776

This may be a place to watch. The 0700 area.
It broke out from 0694ish
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,115
  • Jun 25, 2024 8:46am Jun 25, 2024 8:46am
Quoting gatorinla
Using last Friday's low, to yesterday's high. A 61.8 retrace is about 06999. Basically the 700 option. I dont know what will happen. From 0700 a fib extension at 100% is about 0776 This may be a place to watch. The 0700 area. It broke out from 0694ish {image}
Every time a situation like this happens its a 2 day run then a inside bar or range swinging back and forth. Your not going to miss it because of the way you trade but lock it in to a statistical study and run the numbers..
  • #118,116
  • Jun 25, 2024 8:48am Jun 25, 2024 8:48am
I dont know if it will rise. It can fall.. Since pa broke above 0694 it may support. We dont know. I used 0700 for the extension. I dont know what the low will be. The large option at 1.0700.. So i used 1.0700.. The extension can reach 1.0776. A lot of things need to line up. I have a bias for 0787. So I was looking for a place it may bounce. I was using 0695. The b/o point. The option is in this same area.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,117
  • Jun 25, 2024 8:53am Jun 25, 2024 8:53am
Quoting gatorinla
I dont know if it will rise. It can fall.. Since pa broke above 0694 it may support. We dont know. I used 0700 for the extension. I dont know what the low will be. The large option at 1.0700.. So i used 1.0700.. The extension can reach 1.0776. A lot of things need to line up. I have a bias for 0787. So I was looking for a place it may bounce. I was using 0695. The b/o point. The option is in this same area. {image}
You will know but 1 chart will not tell you.. You have to use multiple. It will tell you and you will see it just as you see whats going on everyday. The give away will be 1 Up 1 Down its time to turn around.. i know you know..lol
  • #118,118
  • Jun 25, 2024 9:07am Jun 25, 2024 9:07am
my 1h gave a buy signal at 6995..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,119
  • Jun 25, 2024 9:11am Jun 25, 2024 9:11am
Quoting q_import
{quote} You will know but 1 chart will not tell you.. You have to use multiple. It will tell you and you will see it just as you see whats going on everyday. The give away will be 1 Up 1 Down its time to turn around.. i know you know..lol
Curios about 0689 on the 10 year.. But that's to the pip 38.2.. It has to have some slack.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,120
  • Jun 25, 2024 9:38am Jun 25, 2024 9:38am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Curios about 0689 on the 10 year.. But that's to the pip 38.2.. It has to have some slack.
AU signaled a 2 day drop then EU signaled a 2 day drop today so by Thurday we swing hard back and forth and friday rise out or range and prepare for the beginning of month.. Thats my weekly plan. as for retracement I havent looks at anything higher than 15M in so long I couldnt tell you 15 down to 5 and I am working on 1 min. I am working out what makes the structures I am intrested in and the variations and how each one uses other on other charts to make the structures. I dont read news or anything anymore its just boxes and more boxes. I am really out of touch with the real trading world I would say fringe. a bounce of 071 is up next.. who knows.
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