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The Swamp

  • #118,081
  • Jun 21, 2024 9:15am Jun 21, 2024 9:15am
Quoting gatorinla
Euro negative news. That big option at 0660 looks good atm. I think pa needs to remain below 0673.8, to remain bearish.. I may long 0650. Some support 0648. Some lose fib support possible 0658. I need to close the long if it dont start to closing above 0674. The GBP has some news that may move the eu in 18 min + {image} {image} {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,082
  • Jun 21, 2024 9:21am Jun 21, 2024 9:21am
Quoting gatorinla
ADR and week average. PA looks very bearish. But if pa can not remain below 0673. It may sneak up. If today was to close above 0740. I think is will rise To at least 0787. Being in a range, with the lower end 0601.. The upper end 090. 075 ish in the middle In a range situation. Larger players may close shorts/and buy below 0750, or close longs and sell above 0750. Keeping the range going. Where exactly, who knows. {image}
0750 to 0601 center is about 0675.
If they are buying some here 0675/0600. They are probably selling some 0825ish/09x
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,083
  • Jun 21, 2024 9:39am Jun 21, 2024 9:39am
1.0657 if time permits. I dont think it can travel that much in next 20 mins till london fix.1.0720 for a good close to the week
  • #118,084
  • Jun 21, 2024 9:41am Jun 21, 2024 9:41am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote}{image}
Price is avoiding it like a plague @0660.
  • #118,085
  • Jun 21, 2024 9:45am Jun 21, 2024 9:45am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Price is avoiding it like a plague @0660.
in 15min it may lose the pull
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,086
  • Jun 21, 2024 9:50am Jun 21, 2024 9:50am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} in 15min it may lose the pull
Yeah. Let's see LC. It might still trickle down later.
  • #118,087
  • Jun 22, 2024 4:47am Jun 22, 2024 4:47am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Yeah. Let's see LC. It might still trickle down later.
0694.5 close side could help next week. It closed Friday below 1.0694.5. 0635.3 is another support. Friday closed above 1.0635.3. The month and quarter is ending. If it ends above 0694.5. It may rise. If below 0635.3 it may be bearish. Below 0601 is stronger. Any of these can eventually act as R. It dont think it will fall hard without retracing back. So if it would break out at 0601. It may be back a few days later. Since it's the summer, the chance of a breakout lessens. If it did manage to close below 0635, then 0601. It can open things.
Last week closed below 0694. It could reach for 0635. The reach last month stopped at 0648. -0648 would be the next one bears need to beat. Last week's low is another 0667. Those closing below 0667 may be needed to take 0648 and so forth. If this indeed is a summer range. These can reject. Bears would need to take them with closes below. A summer range can bring 09xx again
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,088
  • Jun 23, 2024 11:06am Jun 23, 2024 11:06am
It's most likely a summer range. It's unlikely pa will close the month below 0487 or 0447. But in case. Those are likely b/o on the quarter and mid year.
I say this since last week did close below 0694. There can be support 0634. A low below 0601 could run, if there is time on the clock. Using a month average. PA still has room for 175 pips off the current low. That's just below 0500. That also makes it unlikely. What bothers me is it didnt make the ypp when it was so close. Also the weird Friday pa unable to reach the option. But also unable to hit LC later, or the simple 0700.5. Its weird pa did stop below 0694.5. Its not likely to run down past a month average range, and make a lower low. Blame it on this or that. It may be those elections hurt the ez stability outlook. It seems like something is brewing in the weird pa. I view the larger number like the ypp and 0694 are atm seeming to resist when it counts. At quarter and mid year. Near the close times. Thats why i mentioned the tin hat 0447 number. That would be a score considering the lat pa this quarter
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,089
  • Jun 23, 2024 7:17pm Jun 23, 2024 7:17pm
I dont know the outcome. 0694.5 held today's high atm.
It differs a little with brokers
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,090
  • Jun 23, 2024 7:24pm Jun 23, 2024 7:24pm
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,091
  • Jun 23, 2024 8:37pm Jun 23, 2024 8:37pm
1 adr is 57 pips. 0634 and 0694 is a little more than 1 adr.
Bulls need to be north of 0695
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,092
  • Jun 24, 2024 12:47am Jun 24, 2024 12:47am
Quoting gatorinla
1 adr is 57 pips. 0634 and 0694 is a little more than 1 adr. Bulls need to be north of 0695
064 looks nice.. its to early it has to whip up on my charts its stuck with a range for a reason the cross look like a nice play today. The sequences are now tighter firing off. Who ever is making the patterns is create other patterns to counter the pattern there is only so much they can do.. The pumps are now very visible because to the tightness.
  • #118,093
  • Jun 24, 2024 2:52am Jun 24, 2024 2:52am
swissy 0.8944 will make or break eu in the short term. so far both are moving up which is kind of odd
  • #118,094
  • Jun 24, 2024 5:00am Jun 24, 2024 5:00am
Quoting q_import
{quote} 064 looks nice.. its to early it has to whip up on my charts its stuck with a range for a reason the cross look like a nice play today. The sequences are now tighter firing off. Who ever is making the patterns is create other patterns to counter the pattern there is only so much they can do.. The pumps are now very visible because to the tightness.
Well it ran up above 0695 to close the 12h. My question now is will it return to 0681 in the next 5 hs.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,095
  • Jun 24, 2024 5:22am Jun 24, 2024 5:22am
The 12h missed 0720. The hs since are above. Those need to continue to continue up. If pa starts closing below 0720. We may see 0695 again where it broke up. Or 0681. The 12h candle close. Also means the 2h/6h closed below the R at 0720. So 0720 may turn to R it it falls
The big green 12h candle is bullish into the next R. The next R is 0720 followed by 0731 32. All trends have to start somewhere. Most get squashed. The week day closed below 0695
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,096
  • Jun 24, 2024 5:52am Jun 24, 2024 5:52am
Now best the R at 0731x/32, or it may lose support at 0720. It's always a competition.
adr 0737/38
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,097
  • Edited 6:44am Jun 24, 2024 6:27am | Edited 6:44am
The 10 min looks like this on its way back to 0728s.. If 0728 s gets R-ish. The support at 0720 may be tested..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,098
  • Jun 24, 2024 6:46am Jun 24, 2024 6:46am
Quoting gatorinla
The 10 min looks like this on its way back to 0728s.. If 0728 s gets R-ish. The support at 0720 may be tested..
15 min. If below 0728, it can try to resist.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,099
  • Jun 24, 2024 6:50am Jun 24, 2024 6:50am
bulls need to take back 0728.4..its always a competition..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,100
  • Jun 24, 2024 6:50am Jun 24, 2024 6:50am
EU plan:
Sell from 1.0730; TP1= 1.067; TP2= 1.0635; TP3= 1.060; STP= 1.0770
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