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  • #118,041
  • Jun 19, 2024 6:16am Jun 19, 2024 6:16am
Quoting gatorinla
a 0744.7 + close may break North {image}
It has a 1h close above 44.7. If it runs up. 0738x may pull is back down in less than 4hs. 50 pips up, followed by 50 pips down. Thats a lot to ask in 4hs. It may climb after London closes.
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  • #118,042
  • Jun 19, 2024 6:36am Jun 19, 2024 6:36am
A chance to rise today... A chance to drop Thursday and Friday.
0745+ today.. 0700 Thursday 0660 Friday. 0788 can fit today/tonight, followed by a drop tomorrow, and more drop Friday.
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  • #118,043
  • Jun 19, 2024 6:46am Jun 19, 2024 6:46am
0738 can attract.. But pa spent the night with it. The option number has a support below at 0744.7. So later may after 0738 and 0745 lose their power. It may have a chance to rise. Post LC
It can ru up now., But it has a better chance to come back before LC.
If not in, it has a chance to come back to those as a light support.
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  • #118,044
  • Jun 19, 2024 7:03am Jun 19, 2024 7:03am
Quoting gatorinla
A chance to rise today... A chance to drop Thursday and Friday. 0745+ today.. 0700 Thursday 0660 Friday. 0788 can fit today/tonight, followed by a drop tomorrow, and more drop Friday. {image}
From options basically price will most likely remain between 0700 and 0800
  • #118,045
  • Jun 19, 2024 7:14am Jun 19, 2024 7:14am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} From options basically price will most likely remain between 0700 and 0800
I dont worry about the little ones so much. I was looking at the short leg rise to 077x, 0788. having that repeal affect. Added with the option pull to those lower areas. Thursday 0700. Friday 0660. Not just options alone.
That option pull is inline with that chart I posted Friday
The upper yellow T line may no longer be a part
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,046
  • Jun 19, 2024 9:28am Jun 19, 2024 9:28am
A lot of people including me use adr. Has anyone used it open to close? It may help plot a move over a period of time. A ADR lately is about 56 pips. A week is about 123 pips average. A month about 400. There may be a way to figure a tradable pattern in there. Once adr is reached. it likely retraces often to 24 pips from the open. 123 wk divided by 5 days is about 24 pips. I;m just spitballing here. It needs refinement. Once adr is reached some sort of generic s/l may 12 pips. And tp the 24 pips is 2 to 1. If pa runs up today now. ADR may be 0779.
Now in this example is a uptrend. In a downtrend using the equivalence principle. The 24 pips would be greater on a fall. On a given day once the equivalence principle is reached
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  • #118,047
  • Jun 19, 2024 9:40am Jun 19, 2024 9:40am
A 0733 open. ADR 0779. -24 pip retrace *0755.. Add 24 pips to 0.0733 = *0757. *close. Let see what LC does.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,048
  • Jun 19, 2024 10:12am Jun 19, 2024 10:12am
Quoting gatorinla
0738 can attract.. But pa spent the night with it. The option number has a support below at 0744.7. So later may after 0738 and 0745 lose their power. It may have a chance to rise. Post LC It can ru up now., But it has a better chance to come back before LC. If not in, it has a chance to come back to those as a light support. {image}
Lets see if she can rise now. She has 24hs to drift.
16hs before swiss news influence.
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  • #118,049
  • Jun 19, 2024 10:19am Jun 19, 2024 10:19am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Lets see if she can rise now. She has 24hs to drift. 16hs before swiss news influence. {image}
EU hurts when it's sold early. I feel like price is forcing one's hand to sell early. I still think we see 0770.
  • #118,050
  • Jun 19, 2024 9:35pm Jun 19, 2024 9:35pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} EU hurts when it's sold early. I feel like price is forcing one's hand to sell early. I still think we see 0770.
0738.7 ? will it support?
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  • #118,051
  • Jun 19, 2024 10:01pm Jun 19, 2024 10:01pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 0738.7 ? will it support? {image}
The 6h just closed above. 0738.7. I dont know if it holds. It can support.
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  • #118,052
  • Jun 20, 2024 4:24am Jun 20, 2024 4:24am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The 6h just closed above. 0738.7. I dont know if it holds. It can support. {image}
It broke 0738.7.. The 12h closed below. That 0700 Thursday option looks to be viable.. My pendings are high and dry.
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  • #118,053
  • Jun 20, 2024 4:53am Jun 20, 2024 4:53am
Negative CHF news wasnt good for eu 0788.
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  • #118,054
  • Jun 20, 2024 4:59am Jun 20, 2024 4:59am
The eu has the b/o at 0738. and a minor one at 0730. It may reach for those. In the process if near LC it may reach for 0748. But at the same time 0700 expires. 0748 or 0700 near LC
It did have a support at 0710. The atm low 0712. If it does break above 0738.7 and close. That's somewhat bullish now. I dont mention 0732. Since 0738.7 ls higher and near
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  • #118,055
  • Jun 20, 2024 5:06am Jun 20, 2024 5:06am
Quoting gatorinla
The eu has the b/o at 0738. and a minor one at 0730. It may reach for those. In the process if near LC it may reach for 0748. But at the same time 0700 expires. 0748 or 0700 near LC It did have a support at 0710. The atm low 0712. If it does break above 0738.7 and close. That's somewhat bullish now. I dont mention 0732. Since 0738.7 ls higher and near
here its now testing 730
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  • #118,056
  • Jun 20, 2024 5:09am Jun 20, 2024 5:09am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} here its now testing 730 {image}
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  • #118,057
  • Jun 20, 2024 5:17am Jun 20, 2024 5:17am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote}{image}
Clarifying this. When dropping, it often retraces to places like 0730. Those can be entries for the continued drop. They can turn into support when pa closes are above. But the same rinse and repeat when if pa reaches for 0738.7. It resistance until closed above. The past resistance at 0724 can turn into support.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,058
  • Jun 20, 2024 5:21am Jun 20, 2024 5:21am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Clarifying this. When dropping, it often retraces to places like 0730. Those can be entries for the continued drop. They can turn into support when pa closes are above. But the same rinse and repeat when if pa reaches for 0738.7. It resistance until closed above. The past resistance at 0724 can turn into support.
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  • #118,059
  • Jun 20, 2024 8:46am Jun 20, 2024 8:46am
nothing good for the usd here. I figured she would run to 0748 before LC. On this news. 0788 is looking hard.
Those big options may be hurting a rise.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,060
  • Jun 20, 2024 10:18am Jun 20, 2024 10:18am
Quoting gatorinla
nothing good for the usd here. I figured she would run to 0748 before LC. On this news. 0788 is looking hard. Those big options may be hurting a rise. {image} {image}
I've given up on a rise. I'm sure if I sold it it would have hit 0780. From what I see every attempt to rise is quickly snuffed out.
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