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The Swamp

  • #118,021
  • Jun 18, 2024 4:54am Jun 18, 2024 4:54am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If i get lucky with 0788.. It may open the floor. Yesterday's close dont look euro positive. If the eu rund to 0788 it may just be the fluid part equalizing. Probably nothing to do with the euro being bullish fundamentally. PA likes to return to the scene of the crime. {image}
0788 is more probable than below 0660. Weekly chart below. This triangle will most likely be milked till the tip.
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  • #118,022
  • Jun 18, 2024 5:06am Jun 18, 2024 5:06am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} 0788 is more probable than below 0660. Weekly chart below. This triangle will most likely be milked till the tip. {image}
Than I will kick myself in the ass for not shorting 0740. The reason being the down Friday, was long enough. A bounce to 077x was the last bounce equal length. An 0787/88 attraction could bring it home. If we go back to friday when it was digging a hole deeper. 0788 was not on many minds. Its up 70+ now. 48 pips more triggers some s/l who sold/hold the 0788 b/o.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,023
  • Jun 18, 2024 6:26am Jun 18, 2024 6:26am
1.808 before a drop wouldn't surprise me.
  • #118,024
  • Jun 18, 2024 7:24am Jun 18, 2024 7:24am
in 6 min
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,025
  • Jun 18, 2024 7:31am Jun 18, 2024 7:31am
bad for usd
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,026
  • Jun 18, 2024 7:35am Jun 18, 2024 7:35am
it stalled.. see if it rises after 0725
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,027
  • Jun 18, 2024 7:36am Jun 18, 2024 7:36am
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,028
  • Jun 18, 2024 7:40am Jun 18, 2024 7:40am
It may run after 732/35.. R 0740 44,, need those broken to reach 75/88
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,029
  • Jun 18, 2024 7:46am Jun 18, 2024 7:46am
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,030
  • Jun 18, 2024 7:58am Jun 18, 2024 7:58am
It didnt need to come back twice..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,031
  • Jun 18, 2024 8:51am Jun 18, 2024 8:51am
Quoting gatorinla
it stalled.. see if it rises after 0725
Pick a place for s/l under 0725 32 35 40 44 as it rises. lock em in
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,032
  • Jun 18, 2024 8:56am Jun 18, 2024 8:56am
I stretched this to the 15 min. I had the cross at h 17..in the older charts. Its actually hour 19 to the yellow at 0788. That's 2 hs after London closes.
ADR is about 0767, its been rising recently. Its up to 57 pips now. It had been 50 for a while
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,033
  • Jun 18, 2024 9:29am Jun 18, 2024 9:29am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} 0788 is more probable than below 0660. Weekly chart below. This triangle will most likely be milked till the tip. {image}
This was correct. It's easier to hit 0788 than below 0660.
  • #118,034
  • Jun 18, 2024 11:13am Jun 18, 2024 11:13am
A lot of news on the chf and gbp may move the usd via the eu overnight . The u.s. has a bank holiday. With gb news it may pump before, then may react after.
That u.s. production news was good for the usd. It may be the reason for this retrace after 0761. I got a chart to follow.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,035
  • Edited 11:32am Jun 18, 2024 11:21am | Edited 11:32am
That production news hit in mid stride on the rise. It may have kicked it in the balls.

Overnight near the time the gb has some news, that channel and 0788 may line up. A GBP pump before/after the news may get it the eu to 0788. Some R is visible on the chart that may stop or slow it.
That timing tag is around the 12h close. That may be the high area of a pump using the clock.
The news release is about 3hs before the 12h closes. It may be digested by then.
I dont know shit. I'm going by the channel's timing. The earliest time within its borders to reach 0788 is about the 12h close.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,036
  • Jun 18, 2024 11:37am Jun 18, 2024 11:37am
If the 0788 area works. 0738 should come before LC. That gives some wiggle room above 0788, or below 0738 in adr.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,037
  • Jun 19, 2024 12:42am Jun 19, 2024 12:42am
less than 20 min
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,038
  • Jun 19, 2024 1:01am Jun 19, 2024 1:01am
Quoting gatorinla
less than 20 min {image}
A wash
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,039
  • Jun 19, 2024 1:20am Jun 19, 2024 1:20am
Quoting gatorinla
That production news hit in mid stride on the rise. It may have kicked it in the balls. Overnight near the time the gb has some news, that channel and 0788 may line up. A GBP pump before/after the news may get it the eu to 0788. Some R is visible on the chart that may stop or slow it. That timing tag is around the 12h close. That may be the high area of a pump using the clock. The news release is about 3hs before the 12h closes. It may be digested by then. I dont know shit. I'm going by the channel's timing. The earliest time within its borders...
The channel bottom at 0734.
Lets see if it runs up.
If it stays within the channel running up. Timing on 0788 shouldn't be until a the 12h close or higher. The news was a wash. Nothing in it to push it. I dont have a reason for it to run up fundi wise. About all i can say is 0787-88 is a pobo. 0791 could be Norm. I'm looking to short there
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #118,040
  • Jun 19, 2024 5:53am Jun 19, 2024 5:53am
a 0744.7 + close may break North
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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