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  • #3,561
  • Jun 11, 2024 2:21am Jun 11, 2024 2:21am
Quoting PatienceFx
target is 1.0653 simple reason , after nfp report of strong usd. there is not a single report for strong EUR or weak usd price does not move because of what indicators or gaps say, it moves because of news
the technical clue was price is below daily chart 200 sma

also

refer to the ATR lesson i gave
  • #3,562
  • Jun 11, 2024 2:30am Jun 11, 2024 2:30am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} boys
The drop in the interest rate in the UK was a manipulation. Normally, the GBP will appreciate from now on against the USD after the publication of the new rate. The market expected a decrease in the rate. From what I understand, the economic conditions in the UK have improved in the last 2 months, so there is a demand for goods and services.
But if we look at the graphs attached here, it does not confirm the need for a decrease in the rate as long as the volume of loans granted by banks is increasing.

If we look at the red points marked by me on the graph, we will notice that the lending rate is always one step ahead of the interest rate.
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  • #3,563
  • Jun 11, 2024 2:37am Jun 11, 2024 2:37am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} boys
I'm not just throwing myself at the market, but gaps always get filled. I'm going to suggest it might get filled by weeks end
Second star to the right, and straight on 'til morning
  • #3,564
  • Jun 11, 2024 2:38am Jun 11, 2024 2:38am
Quoting PatienceFx
target is 1.0653 simple reason , after nfp report of strong usd. there is not a single report for strong EUR or weak usd price does not move because of what indicators or gaps say, it moves because of news
Who would go to a market that is unstable in many ways?
  • #3,565
  • Jun 11, 2024 2:44am Jun 11, 2024 2:44am
Quoting PatienceFx
{image}
The USA and China are forced to cooperate because the former has 20% of the debts to the latter.
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  • #3,566
  • Jun 11, 2024 3:21am Jun 11, 2024 3:21am
For centuries, the parity between gold and silver was 1:15, being a standard. Currently, the parity is 1:79. How do you think the price of silver will evolve in the future?
  • #3,567
  • Jun 11, 2024 3:49am Jun 11, 2024 3:49am
black and white

till cpi we will test 1.07

then up if cpi is lower
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  • #3,568
  • Jun 11, 2024 6:57am Jun 11, 2024 6:57am
Quoting PatienceFx
black and white till cpi we will test 1.07 then up if cpi is lower {image}
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #3,569
  • Jun 11, 2024 7:11am Jun 11, 2024 7:11am
Quoting Standov
{quote} I'm not just throwing myself at the market, but gaps always get filled. I'm going to suggest it might get filled by weeks end
it will, cpi or interest decision may do it

i was just laughing at the rhyme
  • #3,570
  • Jun 11, 2024 9:48am Jun 11, 2024 9:48am
target 1.0707
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  • #3,571
  • Jun 11, 2024 10:04am Jun 11, 2024 10:04am
Quoting PatienceFx
target 1.0707 {image}
In May:
-the number of employees decreased:
- increased the average hourly earning by 0.2;
-Manufacturing PMI increased.
So wouldn't it mean that the prices have increased by 0.2?
This is because the production companies add the wage increase to the price of the finished product.
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  • #3,572
  • Jun 11, 2024 11:22am Jun 11, 2024 11:22am
Quoting PatienceFx
target 1.0707 {image}
perfect exit with fib level 1.0725
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #3,573
  • Jun 11, 2024 11:23am Jun 11, 2024 11:23am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #3,574
  • Jun 11, 2024 11:34am Jun 11, 2024 11:34am
Quoting Gelubrin
{quote} In May: -the number of employees decreased: - increased the average hourly earning by 0.2; -Manufacturing PMI increased. So wouldn't it mean that the prices have increased by 0.2? This is because the production companies add the wage increase to the price of the finished product. {image}
if unemployent increased

then how ........ ?
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  • #3,575
  • Jun 11, 2024 12:02pm Jun 11, 2024 12:02pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} if unemployent increased then how ........ ? {image} {image}
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  • #3,576
  • Jun 11, 2024 12:33pm Jun 11, 2024 12:33pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} if unemployent increased then how ........ ? {image} {image}
any variation these 4 primary data points will define eurusd direction
  • #3,577
  • Jun 11, 2024 7:28pm Jun 11, 2024 7:28pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} any variation these 4 primary data points will define eurusd direction
Some more data points
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  • #3,578
  • Jun 11, 2024 7:39pm Jun 11, 2024 7:39pm
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote} Some more data points {image} {image} {image} {image}
And not to forget the policy sensitive data point
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  • #3,579
  • Jun 11, 2024 7:47pm Jun 11, 2024 7:47pm
Since you have the important data points

Now predict the CPI and fomc move today
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  • #3,580
  • Jun 11, 2024 7:51pm Jun 11, 2024 7:51pm
This is how I predicted the NFP move to the pip
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