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The Swamp

  • #117,081
  • Edited 5:55am May 4, 2024 5:20am | Edited 5:55am
Quoting supertubes
{quote} If it gaps down and retests 0774 thats is a good place to look S
0765x 0724 and 0730 look like attractors. PA may be trapped on one side of 0768. ATM Friday closed below it. I think 0695 is a key to fall+ clearing 0622 10.. Later 044x. I also think 0768 is the one its deciding this rise. ADR is about 63 pips. 0695 and 1 adr is about the close 0759. I did figure on 0695 coming when pa was lower. 0768 also had a algo that may attract. 0695 was so much larger I wasn't sure it would make 0768. It not only made it, it shot up 40 more. Now that is has made it. Is it bullish, or just completing the algo. It was the Point of a breakout. So was 0695. It fulfilled the attraction. So it may slip below them now. Pa is in that quarter range. Below the month range atm. that may push it to a 0695 test. PA was unable to break 0622 etc with closes. So it had to bounce. If below 0695 again it another attempt to b/o. Friday's close below 0768 is another attempt at 0695. Somewhere near 0695 it may bounce. Or break below.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #117,082
  • May 4, 2024 6:11am May 4, 2024 6:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 0765x 0724 and 0730 look like attractors. PA may be trapped on one side of 0768. ATM Friday closed below it. I think 0695 is a key to fall+ clearing 0622 10.. Later 044x. I also think 0768 is the one its deciding this rise. ADR is about 63 pips. 0695 and 1 adr is about the close 0759. I did figure on 0695 coming when pa was lower. 0768 also had a algo that may attract. 0695 was so much larger I wasn't sure it would make 0768. It not only made it, it shot up 40 more. Now that is has made it. Is it bullish, or just completing the algo. It...
Summers usually range. What range? The year can range to 0447. Bears can't keep a secret about June 30 and -0447. It's in the open if its wanted. Bulls didnt make 0861 Friday. It settled below 0768. It closed below 0763. Whats next? If unable to take back 0763x and 0768 (hold above these). A rejection should run to 062x. That is if 0695 allows it.
Does 0768 play a role in anything? Is it just a random number. That is the point of observing pa around places with reactions that tend to repeat.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #117,083
  • May 4, 2024 6:23am May 4, 2024 6:23am
The 200 day was tested Friday. Bulls didnt hold the break above it. Bulls didnt hold a week close above the 200 day ema. Bulls didnt hold a week close above 0768 or 0763. On the close Friday after NFP And a FOMC week. Some supports were not held. 0756 is not one of them, 0752 was not one of them. So a gap open below 0752 may be bearish. Very little news early next week
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #117,084
  • May 4, 2024 6:58am May 4, 2024 6:58am
0733 has some support.. A POBO. Price may be attracted to it.. It may bounce as support is there. 0733/38.. A good h close below 33 may break it. 0690/73 is larger and lower. That makes it a little stronger..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #117,085
  • May 4, 2024 2:38pm May 4, 2024 2:38pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 0765x 0724 and 0730 look like attractors. PA may be trapped on one side of 0768. ATM Friday closed below it. I think 0695 is a key to fall+ clearing 0622 10.. Later 044x. I also think 0768 is the one its deciding this rise. ADR is about 63 pips. 0695 and 1 adr is about the close 0759. I did figure on 0695 coming when pa was lower. 0768 also had a algo that may attract. 0695 was so much larger I wasn't sure it would make 0768. It not only made it, it shot up 40 more. Now that is has made it. Is it bullish, or just completing the algo. It...
I have not posted much this last few days.. You said yourself it gets Hectic sometimes keeping up and i been milking cows all week inbetween being here... . I been foccused 0774 0724 0695 0795. 0815 . Spent a little time today and agree now 0768 is important.
Also I try hard but don't get all the detail as you do. But. the tiny spike / 1hr wick above 0795 looks like the S entry the bears were waiting for to then take 0620x. if that is the case.. does it open 0460... or do we bounce again 0525... > 0695 > 0460
  • #117,086
  • May 5, 2024 8:46am May 5, 2024 8:46am
hoping to sell a spike to 1.0830's area.
  • #117,087
  • May 5, 2024 7:19pm May 5, 2024 7:19pm
Quoting supertubes
{quote} I have not posted much this last few days.. You said yourself it gets Hectic sometimes keeping up and i been milking cows all week inbetween being here... . I been foccused 0774 0724 0695 0795. 0815 . Spent a little time today and agree now 0768 is important. Also I try hard but don't get all the detail as you do. But. the tiny spike / 1hr wick above 0795 looks like the S entry the bears were waiting for to then take 0620x. if that is the case.. does it open 0460... or do we bounce again 0525... > 0695 > 0460
It been as high as 0764 today (attraction 0765). Below 0767/68 atm. Time will tell if 0695 is coming. I think under 0768 could drop it to 0729/35. But its above 0695 (bullside).. So I have to think if 0768 hold it. 0729/35 can attract, maybe more. I dont know if 0768 will hold, but it may reach for 0765.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #117,088
  • May 6, 2024 3:32am May 6, 2024 3:32am
Today's Support & Resistance on MT5 Templates

EURO
CABLE
GOLD


https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...8#post14856928
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #117,089
  • May 6, 2024 3:39am May 6, 2024 3:39am
Depends on where this 1 H close? and not break above 0780?
We possibly will have a tight range today between 1.0780-1.0750 for the rest of the day so MoFu's can make a Spinner on daily
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #117,090
  • May 6, 2024 4:40am May 6, 2024 4:40am
The 12h last h closed 0768.5. 1/2 pip above 0768.0. Lets see where it goes.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #117,091
  • Edited 5:05am May 6, 2024 4:55am | Edited 5:05am
Not much here to push it.. The aud maybe in Asia . The gbp Thursday. 0865 with a slight bull with that 12h close above 0768.. Upper adr at current low holding at 0819. No news push could lower adr to less than 0819. 0800 area may be all we get. Not real sexy looking. The 12h range is the pink box. 0756 held the low from breaking. Followed by that 12h close above 0756 and 0768.
0812 has that Friday R. Getting near it may be toppish
Its also last week's high. It may be a place to consider a short in range.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #117,092
  • May 6, 2024 5:11am May 6, 2024 5:11am
I'm thinking range..
The pink is one. Its just so tight. It may b/o of 0777. Because the 12 candle closed above 0768. 0765 may attract it, if it bounces back down.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #117,093
  • May 6, 2024 5:45am May 6, 2024 5:45am
Friday pa didnt close an 1h above the 200 day. If this is tested today during the London/NY session. It may run back to 0765 before London closes. ADR on the bottom at 0712. I think that close above 0768 leans slightly more to +0768 0800 direction. But it's just a 12h, the day week month closed below. At any time an attraction to 0765 can pull. Bulls need to maintain a footing above the 200+. The point of failure for a bull or bear is here in this 0768 area.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #117,094
  • May 6, 2024 6:13am May 6, 2024 6:13am
past makes and breaks at 0768. Its a buy place. May 2022 is when bulls pushed up before losing the footing.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #117,095
  • May 6, 2024 6:14am May 6, 2024 6:14am
Quoting gatorinla
past makes and breaks at 0768. Its a buy place. May 2022 is when bulls pushed up before losing the footing. {image}
wk past current
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #117,096
  • May 6, 2024 6:14am May 6, 2024 6:14am
Quoting gatorinla
Friday pa didnt close an 1h above the 200 day. If this is tested today during the London/NY session. It may run back to 0765 before London closes. ADR on the bottom at 0712. I think that close above 0768 leans slightly more to +0768 0800 direction. But it's just a 12h, the day week month closed below. At any time an attraction to 0765 can pull. Bulls need to maintain a footing above the 200+. The point of failure for a bull or bear is here in this 0768 area. {image}
we have a bank holiday today gater.. no London
  • #117,097
  • May 6, 2024 6:15am May 6, 2024 6:15am
Quoting gatorinla
Friday pa didnt close an 1h above the 200 day. If this is tested today during the London/NY session. It may run back to 0765 before London closes. ADR on the bottom at 0712. I think that close above 0768 leans slightly more to +0768 0800 direction. But it's just a 12h, the day week month closed below. At any time an attraction to 0765 can pull. Bulls need to maintain a footing above the 200+. The point of failure for a bull or bear is here in this 0768 area. {image}
we have a bank holiday today gator.. no London
  • #117,098
  • May 6, 2024 6:20am May 6, 2024 6:20am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} wk past current {image} {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #117,099
  • May 6, 2024 6:28am May 6, 2024 6:28am
Quoting supertubes
{quote}we have a bank holiday today gator.. no London
Yeah. true. But will it deviate? Is it because of London? Or because the world settles price at that particular time? Pa has been 10/11 pips of 0765. Is that by accident?
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #117,100
  • May 6, 2024 6:54am May 6, 2024 6:54am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Yeah. true. But will it deviate? Is it because of London? Or because the world settles price at that particular time? Pa has been 10/11 pips of 0765. Is that by accident? {image}
no it's not accident . I was just mentioning it as it means there is a bit less happening
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