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Trading Institutional Order Flow

  • #10,201
  • Feb 11, 2024 7:44am Feb 11, 2024 7:44am
What about this one guys. MDLZ - U.S stock.
Weekly - Non fresh Supply but barely touched and price is reacting off of it.
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Daily - The upward momentum line is broken. Price is close to Daily Demand but not fresh, visited mutiple times.
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4H - Beautiful level structurally. Best scenario would be price coming back to it before dipping into the non-fresh Daily Demand below.
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  • #10,202
  • Feb 12, 2024 4:18am Feb 12, 2024 4:18am
Is this an opportunity to sell the AUDJPY.
Daily - Price is high on the curve. I don't like the base but here price dropped strongly.
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4h - Price reacted from great fresh 4H supply zone.
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1H - I like the structure of this level, although price has not departed too far away from it yet. Also it ended the momentum line on this timeframe.
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There is only downside of this trade is that from the perspective of 2H, this is a violated zone. Also the level looks great on this timeframe.
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I think if the order is filled. Taking the risk and ride until down 97.052 is pretty feasible.
This is paper trading on tradingview btw.
  • #10,203
  • Mar 4, 2024 11:29pm Mar 4, 2024 11:29pm
Just share some words here. I learned the methodology from Akt's student, Austin. You could check his latest free course on Youtube. It probably differs from Akt's teaching but no one really trades completely the same as the other. I also learn from several good posts here, ie deankenny21, nobrainer trade, price is everything.
After trading the method for some time, I started to realize some pros and cons and find solutions to deal with them. Some common cons are the following.

1. Confirmation entry: Price doesn't always come back to fill your order and you miss a good trade.

2. You make a right directional call but SL gets triggered.

3. Intra-day trading against the trend tends to fail, even price is in the opposite HTF zone.

Here are my solutions:
1. Trade with the Curve trend. In other words, you trade confirmation setup when original SET setup occurs. If your limit order is not triggered, trade price patterns. Very important that you only trade price action patterns when you miss the confirmation entry. So, ML is already broken and opposing zone is already removed. Make sure your RRR is at least 1:3. The trend will take you further and you only need to succeed 3/10 to have a positive EV.

2. There's nothing you can do about it. However, if it gives you a nice fakeout pattern, it could be a 2nd entry.

3. Check daily ATR. If daily ATR is 60 pips and today's range is already 90% of it, you could start to look for a reversal. One exception is important news release. It's when price goes far beyond ATR. Generally speaking, never fade a trend if there's an important news release...
  • #10,204
  • Mar 10, 2024 9:35pm Mar 10, 2024 9:35pm
Quoting zkchyo
Just share some words here. I learned the methodology from Akt's student, Austin. You could check his latest free course on Youtube. It probably differs from Akt's teaching but no one really trades completely the same as the other. I also learn from several good posts here, ie deankenny21, nobrainer trade, price is everything. After trading the method for some time, I started to realize some pros and cons and find solutions to deal with them. Some common cons are the following. 1. Confirmation entry: Price doesn't always come back to fill your order...
hello zkchyo i also had watched moneyball Austin videos lets make this thread alive again
  • #10,205
  • Mar 10, 2024 11:53pm Mar 10, 2024 11:53pm
nas100 4h price has hit the demand zone but in 5 min
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5 min
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  • #10,206
  • Mar 11, 2024 10:02pm Mar 11, 2024 10:02pm
Quoting trader.sinu
{quote} hello zkchyo i also had watched moneyball Austin videos lets make this thread alive again
Cool. I'll share some charts.
  • #10,207
  • Mar 12, 2024 3:32am Mar 12, 2024 3:32am
Quoting trader.sinu
nas100 4h price has hit the demand zone but in 5 min{image} 5 min{image}
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sl hit didn't taken that trade imbalance was not good
  • #10,208
  • Mar 12, 2024 10:23pm Mar 12, 2024 10:23pm
Quoting trader.sinu
{quote} {image} sl hit didn't taken that trade imbalance was not good
It's a little bit frustrating. You could check deankenny21's post supply and demand with fibs. Instead of waiting for lower timeframe confirmation, he took trades at 1st test of LTF SD within HTF SD and managed trades aggressively.
  • #10,209
  • Mar 13, 2024 12:31am Mar 13, 2024 12:31am
Quoting zkchyo
{quote} It's a little bit frustrating. You could check deankenny21's post supply and demand with fibs. Instead of waiting for lower timeframe confirmation, he took trades at 1st test of LTF SD within HTF SD and managed trades aggressively.
hello zkchyo good day to you
yes, its frustrating to see your zone don't play out and then reverse form average quality zone ,
okay i wll check that post
  • #10,210
  • Mar 13, 2024 3:37am Mar 13, 2024 3:37am
EURJPY sitting on H1 SD. Waiting for a drop.
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  • #10,211
  • Mar 13, 2024 4:15am Mar 13, 2024 4:15am
NZDUSD Scalp

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  • #10,212
  • Apr 10, 2024 2:57am Apr 10, 2024 2:57am
m5 uptrend, m5 dz. 1st tp 10 pips, 2nd tp 20 pips.

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  • #10,213
  • Apr 10, 2024 5:18am Apr 10, 2024 5:18am
Quoting zkchyo
m5 uptrend, m5 dz. 1st tp 10 pips, 2nd tp 20 pips. {image}
I assume this is a win for you but what is your analysis on this trade. Top-down analysis for specific.
  • #10,214
  • Apr 10, 2024 6:10pm Apr 10, 2024 6:10pm
Quoting dungtinhhd12
{quote} I assume this is a win for you but what is your analysis on this trade. Top-down analysis for specific.
H1 and m15 are in an uptrend. The directional bias is very clear. There's a m5 imbalance which create a demand zone. You could see on CVD that the buying order flow is strong which is a good confirmation from CME futures order flow data.
  • #10,215
  • Edited 12:21am Apr 11, 2024 12:08am | Edited 12:21am
Let's see this one.
USD CPI beyond expectation + price shows imbalance and retraces to a demand zone.

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  • #10,216
  • Apr 22, 2024 4:03am Apr 22, 2024 4:03am
Quoting zkchyo
{quote} H1 and m15 are in an uptrend. The directional bias is very clear. There's a m5 imbalance which create a demand zone. You could see on CVD that the buying order flow is strong which is a good confirmation from CME futures order flow data.
hello
zkchyo
how to use this CVD chart I didn't get it
  • #10,217
  • Apr 22, 2024 4:19am Apr 22, 2024 4:19am
xauusd overall trend is up price is in 4h htf zone
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now waiting for to 15m ml to break and one supply to violet
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  • #10,218
  • Apr 22, 2024 11:33am Apr 22, 2024 11:33am
What are the key principles of the supply and demand approach in forex trading, and how can one effectively apply them to make informed trading decisions?
FXRobustix: MT4/MT5 EA Robustness Testing Beyond - https://fxrobustix.com/
  • #10,219
  • Apr 24, 2024 2:26am Apr 24, 2024 2:26am
Quoting perfectionis
What are the key principles of the supply and demand approach in forex trading, and how can one effectively apply them to make informed trading decisions?
Supply & Demand in Forex: Identify zones where price bounced before (support/resistance), then look for price action confirmation (rejection or breakout) at those zones to enter trades. Combine with other indicators for extra confidence.
  • #10,220
  • Apr 26, 2024 6:51pm Apr 26, 2024 6:51pm
Quoting trader.sinu
{quote} hello zkchyo how to use this CVD chart I didn't get it
It's like divergence on oscillators. You could find enough CVD materials on Youtube. Price still rules. CVD provides a good market timing point of order flow switching from one side to the other. My CVD is from a paid service and it's using futures data. You could use some EA to record tick data and produce CVD based on tick volume, too.
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