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  • #116,681
  • Apr 21, 2024 12:41am Apr 21, 2024 12:41am
Good morning. Do you have a view on Bitcoin now this halving thing is done Gator ?
  • #116,682
  • Apr 21, 2024 6:22am Apr 21, 2024 6:22am
Quoting gatorinla
{image} I'm just looking for clues at the scene of the crime. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i8p6FBYlhHc
Yes 1H looks as it has B/O but This is what I see on 1H, Though 200SMA & 200 EMA will cross below the 18/04/24 High of 1.0690 hence they could reject 1H
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  • #116,683
  • Apr 21, 2024 6:30am Apr 21, 2024 6:30am
Quoting Avir
{quote} Yes 1H looks as it has B/O but This is what I see on 1H, Though 200SMA & 200 EMA will cross below the 18/04/24 High of 1.0690 hence they could reject 1H {image}
I believe this weekly in play therefore 1.0690 will or might be protected
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  • #116,684
  • Apr 21, 2024 6:42am Apr 21, 2024 6:42am
6 Months to go for US Election, This how Monthly Looks
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  • #116,685
  • Apr 21, 2024 7:02am Apr 21, 2024 7:02am
Quoting Avir
{quote} Yes 1H looks as it has B/O but This is what I see on 1H, Though 200SMA & 200 EMA will cross below the 18/04/24 High of 1.0690 hence they could reject 1H {image}
I dont really have an opinion. I just pointed out a few fib areas. They can hold, they can break. But if it does break back into that 0724/27+ area. It can run 30/50ish pips above or below. Somewhere 0674 to 0777 near, or about area. It's not exact since a return to the breakout number exactly and turn. It often has some slippage. Opinion wise not much above 0768, I dont like for my short if +0768. When pa closed last week above 0616. I went to the last number like it. It being 0706.8. Pa tends not to go roughly more than 30ish pips above 0707. Add 30 to it and its 0737. In the same 0727 algo area. Also 0694.x is a Q number. Meaning its a R. Last month did close above it. Right now pa is below it. Below it with close's depending on time frame one uses. Is a range breakout. It has closed 2 weeks now below 0694.5. Now pa has a q, and month range breakout. Using the 2 week closes below. If that continues, 0447 is the next large break out point on the bear list. Near 0447 support may be next. When it decides to fall. It ranged the last several months before taking 0694.5. It can range before taken 0447. The range period is 2 to 4 q. That is 2x, or 4x time longer than 1.0694 was. 1.0447 is the lower end of the range. 1.1275 the upper end.
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  • #116,686
  • Apr 21, 2024 7:24am Apr 21, 2024 7:24am
Quoting Avir
6 Months to go for US Election, This how Monthly Looks {image}
Certainly looks bearish on the monthly.......maybe continues down with the possibilty of a refersal after the election depending on the result
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #116,687
  • Apr 21, 2024 7:32am Apr 21, 2024 7:32am
Quoting axecap
{quote} Certainly looks bearish on the monthly.......maybe continues down with the possibilty of a refersal after the election depending on the result
as the monthly DXY looks bullish.........or both can go sidways from here for 6 months.

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Its all just one persons opinion
  • #116,688
  • Apr 21, 2024 7:35am Apr 21, 2024 7:35am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Is a range breakout. It has closed 2 weeks now below 0694.5. Now pa has a q, and month range breakout. Using the 2 week closes below. If that continues, 0447 is the next large break out point on the bear list. Near 0447 support may be next. When it decides to fall. It ranged the last several months before taking 0694.5. It can range before taken 0447. The range period is 2 to 4 q. That is 2x, or 4x time longer than 1.0694 was. 1.0447 is the lower end of the range. 1.1275 the upper end.
Here is the high low with fibs. 0625 and 0764.. By chance or science the last Q low at the mid point on these at 0694.x. To me pay needs to be below 0624.9 and 0610 with closes to fall. If pa finds a way above 0694.5.. It may end up testing 0764. There is a algo at 0768, another at 0699. I have no way to know if it will bounce. If it did 0694.x was the near close large b/o. A sub fib. The next possible R using the year may be 0764. PA did not blow past 0610 or 0624 and close last week below. That leaves a chance for 0694 or even 0664.
A trending indicator would not show this. The last 6 LC are higher each day. That does not mean 0764 is coming. But using the last 5 day trend. 0694 or 0764 is not tin hat logic.
A bounce dont mean it will turn bullish.
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  • #116,689
  • Apr 21, 2024 7:50am Apr 21, 2024 7:50am
pa colors out the lines with the wishy washy interest rate bs. Pa looks to be getting more controlled the past month with the reality of less chances for cuts. Down looks to be the direction. Straight down is not usually the process.
That 0610/25 area looks/looked like the better place for a bounce. Was the 90 pips enough? I dont know.
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  • #116,690
  • Apr 21, 2024 8:03am Apr 21, 2024 8:03am
Quoting gatorinla
pa colors out the lines with the wishy washy interest rate bs. Pa looks to be getting more controlled the past month with the reality of less chances for cuts. Down looks to be the direction. Straight down is not usually the process. That 0610/25 area looks/looked like the better place for a bounce. Was the 90 pips enough? I dont know. {image}
Some possible places it may bounce.. Near the current bounce high is a sub fib at 0688.
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  • #116,691
  • Apr 21, 2024 8:23am Apr 21, 2024 8:23am
last week a LL followed be the higher LC's. Retrace hit 88.6%. It may be some good reading with some 88.6 research. I didnt read this one.. I just know its used in some Gartley.
https://www.forex.in.rs/how-to-use-f...6-retracement/
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  • #116,692
  • Apr 21, 2024 5:03pm Apr 21, 2024 5:03pm
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  • #116,693
  • Apr 21, 2024 7:14pm Apr 21, 2024 7:14pm
0638/44 has that light support. In my youngin days I may target 0744.
0743.4 is a dynamic 6h trend stop. It may be a place to consider watching this area.
PA is not there, it may not go there. But if it did. A down trend would be ok closing the 6h below. Also 0610 has a sister like mentioned 076x.
A lot was said about 0664. We may see shortly if bears can hold on.
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  • #116,694
  • Apr 21, 2024 7:26pm Apr 21, 2024 7:26pm
Quoting gatorinla
0638/44 has that light support. In my youngin days I may target 0744. 0743.4 is a dynamic 6h trend stop. It may be a place to consider watching this area. PA is not there, it may not go there. But if it did. A down trend would be ok closing the 6h below. Also 0610 has a sister like mentioned 076x. A lot was said about 0664. We may see shortly if bears can hold on. {image}
Alexa is spying on me. Just that quick 0664
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  • #116,695
  • Apr 21, 2024 7:35pm Apr 21, 2024 7:35pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Alexa is spying on me. Just that quick 0664 {image}
8h at 0769 12h 0807.7.
I think some R at 0768. 0694.5. The more st 0664 has a lot of interest. The larger 0694.5 is often revisited. Some slip can bring it higher.
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  • #116,696
  • Apr 21, 2024 7:38pm Apr 21, 2024 7:38pm
Quoting supertubes
Good morning. Do you have a view on Bitcoin now this halving thing is done Gator ?
I dont know. It helps stocks.
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  • #116,697
  • Apr 21, 2024 8:01pm Apr 21, 2024 8:01pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Alexa is spying on me. Just that quick 0664 {image}
0664 is like kryptonite
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  • #116,698
  • Apr 21, 2024 8:10pm Apr 21, 2024 8:10pm
A large green candle closing above 0665 may be a b/o. But it may need to close a second or third candle above 0695 to rise. Hold onto paties on large green candle breaking R
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  • #116,699
  • Apr 21, 2024 9:06pm Apr 21, 2024 9:06pm
Quoting gatorinla
A large green candle closing above 0665 may be a b/o. But it may need to close a second or third candle above 0695 to rise. Hold onto paties on large green candle breaking R
ok pa is North of the kryptonite. 0664 may support. A 1h plus 0670 and last weeks high would be fine.. But +0695 is what i want to see to make a run.
I was conservative with 0694.5.. It could be above 0768 but I dont want to be so bullish. I think 0744.. But it could also be 0776. I'm thinking there may be R at 0768. But if it starts closing above. Then all bets or off.
0670 may have some R value.. That will die with a 1h close above it.
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  • #116,700
  • Apr 21, 2024 9:37pm Apr 21, 2024 9:37pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} ok pa is North of the kryptonite. 0664 may support. A 1h plus 0670 and last weeks high would be fine.. But +0695 is what i want to see to make a run. I was conservative with 0694.5.. It could be above 0768 but I dont want to be so bullish. I think 0744.. But it could also be 0776. I'm thinking there may be R at 0768. But if it starts closing above. Then all bets or off. 0670 may have some R value.. That will die with a 1h close above it. {image}
Lots of R here. I think 0694.5 is the biggest of them all.
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