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The Swamp

  • #116,541
  • Apr 12, 2024 5:51am Apr 12, 2024 5:51am
This current week candle is open. It's looking like the 2 in April 2022
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  • #116,542
  • Apr 12, 2024 5:58am Apr 12, 2024 5:58am
If it rises early next week. It may be a time to look for a short at R
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  • #116,543
  • Apr 12, 2024 6:22am Apr 12, 2024 6:22am
Quoting Avir
{quote} Absolute Crape of a day today - 250 pips drop in 3 days , I have hedged my long at 0658 12 pips under water, might call it a week if NY don't show me a sign Live Chart : https://www.tradingview.com/x/33TlINWj/ {image}
I told you this last week only that euro is sell on rallies. I sold 1.0755 and sitting tight. I dont think eu sees 1.08 till dollar depreciates and right now the policy diversions between Europe and US would not allow a higher eu
  • #116,544
  • Apr 12, 2024 7:02am Apr 12, 2024 7:02am
Quoting gatorinla
If it rises early next week. It may be a time to look for a short at R {image}
Almost an year and a half within the rage between 1.10 -1.05 12th day past this month, looks scary as to where this candle would end
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  • #116,545
  • Apr 12, 2024 7:26am Apr 12, 2024 7:26am
110 pips and counting and no news today for this move. given the Time of the day if this wont turn now? It is just wide open till 1.0597
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FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #116,546
  • Edited 8:40am Apr 12, 2024 7:36am | Edited 8:40am
Quoting Avir
110 pips and counting and no news today for this move. given the Time of the day if this wont turn now? It is just wide open till 1.0597 {image} {image}
0620 should be stong S.. I am looking for a L there for a few
got some at 0626.. Locked in BE plus a few Looking to get S next week.. 0695 ish ...
  • #116,547
  • Apr 12, 2024 7:47am Apr 12, 2024 7:47am
Quoting Avir
{quote} Almost an year and a half within the rage between 1.10 -1.05 12th day past this month, looks scary as to where this candle would end {image}
At this point this is a major stop run aimed at taking out all longs. I don't see why price cannot retrace to allow for shorts to join in. If it wants 059x that's okay but I am not selling here. I envisaged April to be a short month anyway.
  • #116,548
  • Apr 12, 2024 5:16pm Apr 12, 2024 5:16pm
b/o candles dont always, but often return to the b/o. In this case 0694.5ish and some slip may be sought as a R. Im thinking 0699/0707/24. But close to 0694 is ok too..
The eu loves 100 pip b/o moves. Or a 100 multiple. The low 0622. 0724 may be a place if it does bounce. I have no special knowledge of a bounce. But if it does, bounce close to 0624. It dont hurt to be alert. The close has removed the week dynamic support at 0624.
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  • #116,549
  • Apr 13, 2024 1:01pm Apr 13, 2024 1:01pm
Quoting gatorinla
b/o candles dont always, but often return to the b/o. In this case 0694.5ish and some slip may be sought as a R. Im thinking 0699/0707/24. But close to 0694 is ok too.. The eu loves 100 pip b/o moves. Or a 100 multiple. The low 0622. 0724 may be a place if it does bounce. I have no special knowledge of a bounce. But if it does, bounce close to 0624. It dont hurt to be alert. The close has removed the week dynamic support at 0624. {image}
Now that a new war has started between Iran & Israel we possibly going to have a big Gap, too early to tell which way though
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #116,550
  • Apr 13, 2024 1:11pm Apr 13, 2024 1:11pm
With Iran-Isreal war USDJPY, GJ,EJ going to have gap down opening.
  • #116,551
  • Apr 14, 2024 5:56am Apr 14, 2024 5:56am
Quoting Avir
{quote} Now that a new war has started between Iran & Israel we possibly going to have a big Gap, too early to tell which way though
no we won't have a gap up or gap down. it will be a muted response because markets were prepared for this. unless Israel counter attacks before Sunday opening likely we will have a soft bid in dollar. I dont think it will be a run away rally in dollar
  • #116,552
  • Apr 15, 2024 4:11am Apr 15, 2024 4:11am
0664 can be R for a short with small sl.. personally got pending 0690 sl 0700
  • #116,553
  • Apr 15, 2024 4:14am Apr 15, 2024 4:14am
Quoting gatorinla
b/o candles dont always, but often return to the b/o. In this case 0694.5ish and some slip may be sought as a R. Im thinking 0699/0707/24. But close to 0694 is ok too.. The eu loves 100 pip b/o moves. Or a 100 multiple. The low 0622. 0724 may be a place if it does bounce. I have no special knowledge of a bounce. But if it does, bounce close to 0624. It dont hurt to be alert. The close has removed the week dynamic support at 0624. {image}
st R 0664/65. If it does run to 0695. That may be the place to see if its getting tired. Slip is possible. It did close a week below the 0695 Q. So bulls would need it and 0768 back. There may be a short somewhere in here.
upper day R 0729..
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  • #116,554
  • Apr 15, 2024 5:04am Apr 15, 2024 5:04am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} st R 0664/65. If it does run to 0695. That may be the place to see if its getting tired. Slip is possible. It did close a week below the 0695 Q. So bulls would need it and 0768 back. There may be a short somewhere in here. upper day R 0729.. {image}
more s/r
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  • #116,555
  • Edited 6:15am Apr 15, 2024 5:56am | Edited 6:15am
0699ish or 0724 may attract pa.. 0689 another.. But the B/o point at 0694.5 is often reached..
0724 may have a larger attraction
Even 0753 can be in a bounce.
pa likes 100 pip moves. That makes 0694 attractive
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  • #116,556
  • Apr 15, 2024 7:31am Apr 15, 2024 7:31am
I took the long. I had hoped for a higher place to sell.
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  • #116,557
  • Apr 15, 2024 7:38am Apr 15, 2024 7:38am
I need 0629x to support now.. I moved stops to b.e.
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  • #116,558
  • Apr 15, 2024 8:08am Apr 15, 2024 8:08am
Pa is still within the day range. Now a new range. Break out the bottom. Or range until a top b/o.
If unable to make a LL. The attractions to 0689+ may start.
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  • #116,559
  • Apr 15, 2024 8:46am Apr 15, 2024 8:46am
Quoting gatorinla
I need 0629x to support now.. I moved stops to b.e. {image}
0629 may have lost some support value..
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  • #116,560
  • Apr 15, 2024 4:40pm Apr 15, 2024 4:40pm
Quoting gatorinla
Pa is still within the day range. Now a new range. Break out the bottom. Or range until a top b/o. If unable to make a LL. The attractions to 0689+ may start. {image}
It did run 2 pips lower. It also made a bullish hammer a few hours ago. What I dont like is the day closed below that white line for bounces. 0647 should have some R value. A break up or down (red or blue box) with closes is a b/o. A break down will have the trend on it's side. The problem for me it the b/o usually comes back to the b/o point. I want to short the bounces. If i risk a long my stops are tight.
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