Emerging stocks- anybody buying for the long term? | Forex Factory

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Emerging stocks- anybody buying for the long term?

  • #1
  • First Post: Mar 6, 2007 11:30am Mar 6, 2007 11:30am
Hja, evrything was so read, that today the green day came,...so im just curious, if anybody is buying stocks....i almost bought petrobas & petrochina, they got the highest dividend and they fell almost 17-22%,...should i wait for another 2,3 or just buy right NOW, maybe tomorow?...
its just money
  • #2
  • Mar 6, 2007 11:39am Mar 6, 2007 11:39am
It depends on how long-term you're thinking with these plays.

In the long-term, I think you have a good play...Energy prices should stabalize, but will still have a bullish tendency, I would think...especially going into the summer months.

PE is reasonable, although relative strength is weak. The prices fell because the may be affected by the Yen (as asian currencies go)...you'll have to look into that.

I'm not sure I'd back up the truck, so to speak, but you're off your 52 week highs now with the fall, and seasonality can still be a factor.

Whether you buy today or 2-3 days sounds like you may be in it for the short term...which may or may not be the play here.

Quoting de123
Hja, evrything was so read, that today the green day came,...so im just curious, if anybody is buying stocks....i almost bought petrobas & petrochina, they got the highest dividend and they fell almost 17-22%,...should i wait for another 2,3 or just buy right NOW, maybe tomorow?...
  • #3
  • Mar 6, 2007 11:48am Mar 6, 2007 11:48am
am watching monthly charts only,...no stop loss here, and i like the dividend they have PBR 3.75 & ptr 5 usd,...thats for 5 years to be honest so if they fell for 10% i wont care,...but i like to catch as close to bottom as possible and i got a feeling thats about it,...dont u?...but on the other hand they are priced in usd,...thats what im concern of,...i know that it needs to be bearish for stocks to be bullish so,...is the dollar overdone here or will continue being bulish...
its just money
  • #4
  • Mar 6, 2007 11:52am Mar 6, 2007 11:52am
Tech and energy stocks have been getting pumped by investors all day, could be worth looking into. For the long term I would consider buying some "discounted" ETF's, they don't get hit as hard when the market takes a fall.

If I were to be buying single stock long term plays I would be writing collars, you never know what the market will do tomorrow with all this volatility.
  • #5
  • Mar 6, 2007 12:20pm Mar 6, 2007 12:20pm
D,

True, I didn't consider that your home currency isn't the dollar. If you want my honest take on that, I'm not super bullish on the dollar long-term...in the medium term, I look for positive dollar movement, but come may time-frame and beyond, I would expect the Euro (especially) to dominate all the other currencies.

Remember, we're expecting the fed to cut rates 1, maybe 2 times this year.

Quoting de123
am watching monthly charts only,...no stop loss here, and i like the dividend they have PBR 3.75 & ptr 5 usd,...thats for 5 years to be honest so if they fell for 10% i wont care,...but i like to catch as close to bottom as possible and i got a feeling thats about it,...dont u?...but on the other hand they are priced in usd,...thats what im concern of,...i know that it needs to be bearish for stocks to be bullish so,...is the dollar overdone here or will continue being bulish...
  • #6
  • Mar 7, 2007 4:05pm Mar 7, 2007 4:05pm
im going in....
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its just money
  • #7
  • Jun 20, 2007 10:49am Jun 20, 2007 10:49am
i had to close it, ...28,55% profit is something u cant let market to take,...i promise ill buy them back if they wont look so topish, or more likely when.
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its just money
  • #8
  • Jun 29, 2007 8:35am Jun 29, 2007 8:35am
Why dont you buy in emerging markets directly?
There are a few that are about to explode...
The GrandMaster of the Forex Market.
  • #9
  • Jun 29, 2007 9:43pm Jun 29, 2007 9:43pm
Well, long term by forex standards
Mostly ADR's on the NYSE from Shanghai, since they are (short term) relatively easy to filter out. Admittance to the NYSE is the first filter, the chaos on the SSE is the other. The basic method that's worked best so far is to wait for a big drop on Shanghai, watch it ripple into the US, pick the ones that have been the most stable, and hold on for 10-20% or a significant down day (or an excessively up one). It takes very litle watching...
  • #10
  • Jun 30, 2007 12:35am Jun 30, 2007 12:35am
Quoting temporary
Why dont you buy in emerging markets directly?
There are a few that are about to explode...
plus there are mutual funds that deals only with emerging markets, if you don't have time to search and watch stocks.
"Abandon all hope, you who enter here" La Divina Commedia, Dante Alighieri
  • #11
  • Jun 30, 2007 5:29am Jun 30, 2007 5:29am
Quoting semar
plus there are mutual funds that deals only with emerging markets, if you don't have time to search and watch stocks.
True, but then you gt into the whole problem of mutual funds...OTOH, I did have some good luck with various IShares's ETF's. But one never knows what one is holding...
  • #12
  • Jul 2, 2007 6:28am Jul 2, 2007 6:28am
guys thanks but no thanks, thats not fun,...still waiting for pullbacks in emergin energy stocks, SNP, PTR, PBR ...all looking 2 topish right now,...in the meantime, i might go in some non emergin, but still emergin oil drilling stocks (like they have operation outside the headquter), am still holding VPC (5o pence dividend per 7,xy gbp price per stock + a huge drop, ex dividend 7.7), and am interested in MAU (ex.dividend few days ago), BUR (steady final + interim dividend + a big drop, P/E currently 10), DNX (just a huge drop, but P/E 16) all still below 52 & 200 or very close 2.

In USA am interested in NFX, PXP, UGI, EPL, WLL, XCO, BJS, PZE (petrobas argentina, maybe Cesar could resolve the mistory, whats going on, with Chavez and South America PE 6...LOL)....all just a big drop...and 1 takeover by pxp....so any advice which one??
its just money
  • #13
  • Jul 2, 2007 10:48am Jul 2, 2007 10:48am
i guess ill go in @ AU
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its just money
  • #14
  • Last Post: Jul 3, 2007 3:34pm Jul 3, 2007 3:34pm
and so i did...
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its just money
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