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PVSRA (Price, Volume, S&R Analysis)

  • #7,741
  • Mar 17, 2024 1:47pm Mar 17, 2024 1:47pm
Quoting JhonNezuko7
Short in progress on USDCHF, considering that the price was consolidated for a short time, I am considering it possible for it to return to the range again and stay there for a while longer, perhaps until next week (since today is Friday), always remembering: we will never be able to find out what the MMs did next... {image}
USDCHF.....BEARISH POTENTIAL!

This item shows a very interesting situation. Your "sell" trading could turn out very well, and have some nice opportunities to expand the trade along the way.

The attached Day chart shows higher volume sell-off activity that ran 5 days straight....3 days down and 2 more days ranging. Probably some SM switching from "sell" to 'buy" for the pop back up, where they likely again placed more "sell" trades back up there, at the higher prices.

Overall, this chart shows what might qualify as a Triple Top. All the up/down PA since about mid February looks like SM unloading their long term "buys" and converting to "sells". And this is not an "event". It is a "process". And this "process" may have more to go.

So, if it all is to be this way, then we can expect "drop and range events" that are then subjected to stop hunting reversals back up.....creating liquidity from 'too soon sellers" that have to "buy to close" back up at higher prices.......thereby enabling SM to complete their unloading of profitable previous "buys" and opening of new "sells". This "process" might take a while. Significant drops might come in spurts.

Note the locations of RWL and RML. All is possible. Also note that this coming Wednesday has a slurry of High Impact Releases, the potential for a beehive of activity that can extend well beyond the time of the releases.

Yes, an interesting item that could be quite active for the remainder of March! Just remember, we cannot ever KNOW how the MMs will move prices.......what the sequence of directions and distances will be, as they carry out their plans to create liquidity where and when it is needed. We must always do our own due diligence.
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  • #7,742
  • Mar 17, 2024 6:02pm Mar 17, 2024 6:02pm
Quoting traderathome
{quote} USDCHF.....BEARISH POTENTIAL! This item shows a very interesting situation. Your "sell" trading could turn out very well, and have some nice opportunities to expand the trade along the way. The attached Day chart shows higher volume sell-off activity that ran 5 days straight....3 days down and 2 more days ranging. Probably some SM switching from "sell" to 'buy" for the pop back up, where they likely again placed more "sell" trades back up there, at the higher prices. Overall, this chart shows what might qualify as a Triple Top. All the up/down...
HI SIR
I understood everything you said, thank you, but what do you mean by SM companies and MM
THANKS IN ADVANCE
  • #7,743
  • Mar 17, 2024 10:28pm Mar 17, 2024 10:28pm
Quoting kevin-v7x
{quote} HI SIR I understood everything you said, thank you, but what do you mean by SM companies and MM THANKS IN ADVANCE
Good evening, everything you need to know about who SM and MM are is in the first pinned message of the topic, my recommendation is that you take the time to read about it to satisfy any doubts
  • #7,744
  • Mar 18, 2024 1:17am Mar 18, 2024 1:17am
Quoting willyamrose
Very good sir, I follow your operations, you are very assertive, but my question is, do you focus more on the news or both? technical analysis along with news? because I noticed that for me the inputs are working well, being assertive in 90% using the news I would like some advice, thank you very much
The "News" can be used by anyone, anyway they wish. It can be the catalyst for big moves. Even news of "News" coming can be planted to stir inflows of money to a waning market. It is provided on our template simply as a warning.....when it is coming. This is so traders that wish to, can be sure to close likely affected trades before the "News" hits, as it is often best to wait until well after "News" (let the dust settle) before resuming trading.
  • #7,745
  • Edited Mar 21, 2024 4:35am Mar 20, 2024 8:20pm | Edited Mar 21, 2024 4:35am
short on USDCHF finished, I could have waited for the result of interest rates tomorrow but I decided to close now with a good profit, I admit that my analysis for making a decision to keep the positions open was a little different from that of the topic creator, in If the D1 chart was consolidated in the EMA 200 region, with the price overbought above the range, at that moment I believed that the movement above the range would be a kind of SH, so a fall back into the range was the most probably, always remember: if you have any doubts about my analysis, take a look at my previous post
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  • #7,746
  • Mar 21, 2024 2:50am Mar 21, 2024 2:50am
EURNZD SHORT TRADE
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  • #7,747
  • Mar 21, 2024 3:33am Mar 21, 2024 3:33am
GBPCHF LONG TRADE
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  • #7,748
  • Mar 21, 2024 11:06am Mar 21, 2024 11:06am
NZDUSD SHORT TRADE
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  • #7,749
  • Mar 22, 2024 2:16am Mar 22, 2024 2:16am
AUDUSD SHORT TRADE
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  • #7,750
  • Mar 22, 2024 4:54am Mar 22, 2024 4:54am
EURGBP....Reverse to "Sell" Today?

Euro Summit coming. Some interesting "indications" in charting......just remember that we cannot ever "know". Please do your own due diligence.
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  • #7,751
  • Mar 22, 2024 6:55am Mar 22, 2024 6:55am
Long in EURAUD
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  • #7,752
  • Mar 22, 2024 11:21am Mar 22, 2024 11:21am
Long on EURCAD, this will be another operation and I will only know the result next week...
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  • #7,753
  • Mar 24, 2024 8:56am Mar 24, 2024 8:56am
Long on DOGE/USD

Noticed a W formation at the lows on the 1 minute timeframe, with noticeable volume and there was a gap in the chart, so I took the entry.

Price was consolidating above the 50 EMA on the 5 minute time-frame, EMAs started to point upwards and the range daily high was also close to price action, so that was my Take Profit target.
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  • #7,754
  • Mar 24, 2024 4:00pm Mar 24, 2024 4:00pm
Long DOGE/USD

Few more longs this afternoon. Price was dropping with volume and below key moving averages.

But I noticed that at the lows (represented in the yellow box), the volume was decreasing with lots of pins to the low, potentially signalling that MM was inducing retail traders to go short - Dumb Money always sells at the low and buys at the top (fear and greed) - and bringing it back up in the same candle, which led me to open my longs.

Opened a few trades and the target was trading back into the first red vector candle (represented in the red box).

After a couple more minutes, I realized that was potentially the first move higher and where I closed my trades was the first retrace before MM sending prices higher, so I decided to open a few more long trades and used the ascending triangle as potentially TP. I had a TP order which was right at the top but somehow they didn't trigger my order, so I decided to manually close it.
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  • #7,755
  • Mar 24, 2024 8:26pm Mar 24, 2024 8:26pm
Quoting SaucyMoney
Long DOGE/USD Few more longs this afternoon. Price was dropping with volume and below key moving averages. But I noticed that at the lows (represented in the yellow box), the volume was decreasing with lots of pins to the low, potentially signalling that MM was inducing retail traders to go short - Dumb Money always sells at the low and buys at the top (fear and greed) - and bringing it back up in the same candle, which led me to open my longs. Opened a few trades and the target was trading back into the first red vector candle (represented in the...
good operations, but I ask that you include the closing PL tag, they end up being essential in posts with operations
  • #7,756
  • Mar 25, 2024 2:58am Mar 25, 2024 2:58am
Quoting JhonNezuko7
{quote} good operations, but I ask that you include the closing PL tag, they end up being essential in posts with operations
Thank you, Jhon, for calling that. Yes, everyone, please show the Closed Trade PL Label in all posts depicting trade completion. This is part of our Posting Etiquette.
  • #7,757
  • Mar 25, 2024 5:30am Mar 25, 2024 5:30am
GBPUSD LONG TRADE

To me, it looked like the early Asian Session was calling it out as "Bullish!". Hong Kong opened with increased activity below the whole level, and pushed price lower......until a little later when the volume and price surged upwards. London opened with a dip back down to the whole level area.....etc., etc. But, Mondays can be liquidity creation days, which would hint that a deep retracement might be coming. So, took profit at the technical S/R level displayed Friday.
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  • #7,758
  • Mar 25, 2024 7:11am Mar 25, 2024 7:11am
EURUSD LONG TRADE

Just like the GBPUSD LONG TRADE above. Early Asian Session appeared bullish. London Open confirmed. But, is a Monday....LIQUIDITY CREATION via sudden and significant RETRACES....is often served up by the MMs. So, took profit in SR area shown Friday.
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  • #7,759
  • Mar 25, 2024 2:07pm Mar 25, 2024 2:07pm
AUDJPY LONG TRADE
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  • #7,760
  • Mar 25, 2024 2:14pm Mar 25, 2024 2:14pm
EURCHF LONG TRADE
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