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Chaos and the financial crisis 2020. Everyone will be deceived! Part 1

Can you survive the chaos? Do you know the solutions? What will you do if you are left without work, money and food? Are you ready for this?


Imagine a country where it is impossible to find a job due to reduced production and bankruptcy of companies. No one cares that you know several specialties and three languages. Because every 4th in the state is unemployed and is ready to play for food. There are many specialists, but not enough money. There is enough food, but people do not have the money to buy it.
Manufacturers do not want to distribute food for free, because this:
a) they are not profitable
b) it will further reduce the cost of their products
c) the state issued a “anti-crisis” law requiring the destruction of food in such cases.


Hunger marches and strikes take place throughout the country. The dismissed workers of the automobile plant, who went out into the street, are shot by the police and the security service of their native plant. Hungry war veterans demanding payment of pensions are dispersed by tanks and terror.


Up to 90% of school-age children suffer from malnutrition. All people who had a mortgage were on the street and live like homeless people. Every second bank burst and threw customers.


The state has aggravated social tension and the criminal situation: they kill for food, and rob banks becomes such a fashionable topic that they shoot heroic films about it.


Imagine that this lasts neither a year, nor two, nor three ... This CHAOS lasts ten years!
Well how? Are you ready to survive this?
What I described to you is NOT A TALE. This is a SUPER CRISIS. Regular cyclical recession crises occur once a decade and are most likely familiar to you (these are 2008 and 1998). A year of inconvenience, and then the situation usually stabilizes. SUPER CRISIS is not like that. It happens once a century and lasts about 10 years. I have two news for you:
BAD = The last such crisis was about a hundred years ago and now all indicators are screaming that he is back.
GOOD = You are lucky, and now you will learn not only how to survive in this chaos, but also how to make money on it.


We are in the process ..
A crisis never comes quickly, because everyone (Central Banks, governments, business) is pulling it out and want to avoid it by any means. People, like ostriches, hid their heads in the sand to the last, convincing themselves that this time they would carry it. This is easy to do, because politicians are afraid for their ass and convince "that everything will be fine."
What are state leaders doing?
They are trying to "save the situation." A positive informational background is created that “everything will be fine, we will slip through”. This is necessary to slow the outflow of investor money from the economy (money is the blood of the housekeeper, if you are not aware). In addition, Central Banks begin to lower interest rates (interest on loans), and sometimes even give out money for free (called quantitative easing) to stimulate a dying housekeeper (well, it's like how to pour a liter of excess blood into a dying patient so that he can feel better). That is, they do, but this is not a cure, but a slowdown in the onset of the crisis.


People are emotional. Everyone drives bad thoughts from themselves to the last.
When the panic we sell, like most. When hype, we buy like most. But you need to do the opposite.


The previous SUPER CRISIS began in the USA after the crash on the stock exchange in 1929, “Black Tuesday”. After that, all that tin that I spoke about at the beginning of the video came. The peak of hunger, unemployment and crime occurred in 1933. And at the end of 29 and in the year 30, people “tied their belts” a little and believed that “everything will be fine .. let’s slip through”.

DO NOT RANGE! Any crisis has an INERTIA, because its onslaught in every way slows down. But the longer they pull, the harder the fall. SUPER CRISIS has a particularly long inertia. He is pulled to the last. I will give SIX indicators confirming that we have entered the crisis:

Chaos and the financial crisis 2020. Everyone will be deceived! Part 2

INDICATOR No. 1. THE GROWTH OF THE WORLD ECONOMY Slowed Down to 90 Trillion.
Instead of 97 trillion, we got 90 trillion .... and this is a harbinger of chaos.
“The global economy is now experiencing a synchronous slowdown,” the IMF recently said. Next year, growth will be at its lowest level since the beginning of the decade. By the end of 2020, according to IMF economists, world trade will cease to grow, having lost almost 700 billion dollars, or 0.8% of world GDP.
Speaking in numbers, they EXPECTED the growth of world GDP in the amount of 97 trillion USD, and received only 90 trillion USD.


What matters here is not size, but growth and its speed. Our civilization has been developing very rapidly over the past 300 years due to such a strange thing as CREDIT. Well, this is when investors lend to the future growth of the economy by buying shares and bonds of the companies that make up the economy. This vile system (causes inflation) is better than what it was before the loan, because it allows you to believe in the future and grow.

However, inflation and periodic crises are a payment for this growth. Because at some point there are too many goods and services, they are not being bought. Demand falls and profitability falls. Investors who invested money in these sectors (through securities) lose their profitability and withdraw their money (sell securities). The economy is losing its blood ... And it is very bad.
Why do investors take their money?
They are scared, because if you drag out with the withdrawal of money, then you can generally lose most of them. Credit money (investment) for the economy is like steroids for an athlete. The athlete uses them to speed up his physical progress. But the longer he uses them, the more side effects increase: acne, liver problems, cholesterol, etc. At some point, you have to get down to restore health. There are only two options:
HEIGHT. You use stimulants (credit money).
LOSSES. Stimulants were taken from you due to withdrawal syndrome (this is a crisis)
Progress needs money for development. But over the past 10 years, he received enough of them to earn withdrawal symptoms. And now we see the beginning of this cancellation on the chart. The global economic growth rate has slowed to 10-year lows. We are in a crisis.
INDICATOR No. 2. US FRS ACCOUNT RATE REDUCES TO 1.75%
ACCOUNT RATE - this is the percentage at which the central bank (FRS for the USA) issues loans. The higher the rate, the more expensive the money in the state. The lower the rate, the cheaper the money in the state. Here is how it looks in dynamics now:

A crisis always correlates with a reduction in the discount rate, because when the economy begins to slow down, the government lowers the discount rate in order to stimulate the economy with cheap loans.
At the moment, the discount rate has been reduced several times. WAS = 2.25%. NOW = 1.75%


If you look at the chart, we will see that during a crisis, they always lower their rates. This indicator suggests that NOW the doctor understands that he is facing a dying patient and is frantically trying to save him with a blood transfusion.


INDICATOR No. 3. Percent Failure IPO USA Equals 80%
An IPO is when a company collects money for its development by selling it to investors through stocks (a form of joint lending to complex projects). To do this, you need to go through certain procedures and publicly place your shares on any exchange. Google, Amazon, Apple, Gazprom, VTB ... all these companies went on IPO. Investors bought their shares in order to earn through the growth of the company. Well, the company itself received money for its development (so that this growth was). This is how lending to the future development of the economy of the state (through its companies) works.


When a company goes IPO, the initial price for its shares is set. You can buy them, but there is a significant risk, because you do not know what will be the demand for this stock after placing it on the exchange:

DEMAND IS GROWING = Stock price is rising = you have more money.
DEMAND DECLINES = Stock price drops below the initial = this is a failure (you lose money)


When the economy is healthy and growing, the percentage of failed IPOs ranges from 20-40%. When the economy is weak and overvalued, there can be up to 80% failed IPOs. Now this is exactly the situation (80% of failed ICOs) as it was during the “dotcom crisis” of the 2000s).
INDICATOR No. 4. WARREN BUFFETT WAS CASHED.


Warren Buffett is the most famous investor and philanthropist in the world. Among other things, he is the third on the list of the richest people in the world. He makes money from managing foreign investments through his Berkshire Hathaway fund. Usually, the US market is growing at about 10% per year. For the past half a century, Warren Buffett has been giving his partners about 20% per year. Those. it is a practitioner who is well versed in markets and knows how to understand and overtake them.
He owns the famous phrase "You need to be careful when everything is euphoric, and be greedy only when everything is in fear." Which means that you don’t need to listen to the crowd, you need to listen to the mind (buy when everyone sells, sell when everyone buys).
FUND = 208 billion USD (total money)
Cache = 122 billion USD (60% of assets are now in cache)
This summer, Warren Buffett "went into the cache." He did it beforehand, before the panic started. He sold shares at good prices (when there is demand for them) and is waiting for a crisis to buy shares, when everyone will betray them in horror (at low prices).


He now holds more than half of his assets in a bank account in cache. This situation over the past 30 years (according to the Bloombering agency) has been only two times: 1) before the 2001 dot-com crisis. 2) before the crisis of 2008.

Chaos and the financial crisis 2020. Everyone will be deceived! Part 3 (finale)

INDICATOR No. 5. UNEMPLOYMENT RATE.
There is a very clear correlation between unemployment and crisis. Before the crisis, the unemployment rate drops extremely LOW.


If you look at the fresh schedule, we will see such a low level of unemployment, which was not even before the previous two crises (2001 and 2008 in the USA). It looks like the calm before the storm.
INDICATOR No. 6. Inverse of the bond yield curve
Bonds are government bonds. You can lend to the state, and after some time (depending on the bond) you will be returned more than you gave. The most reliable securities in the state are bonds of the state loan, because they are fully guaranteed by the state. There is only one exception - this is the default (bankruptcy) of the state.


NORMAL REVENUE CURVE - this is when payments on long-term bonds (10 years) are higher than on short-term bonds (10 months). The one who lends money for the long term risks more than the one who takes the short one. It is in a healthy economy.

But if the problem begins, then people pull money out of stocks (risky investments, become cheaper in a crisis) and buy long-term bonds on them (safe investment, save money in a crisis). In this case, the DEMAND for long-term bonds is significantly higher than for short-term ones and therefore the CURVED REVENUE is inverted. Why pay high interest, if there is a queue of people willing to lower interest.

The result is a “reverse curve”: when buying three-month securities, the yield is higher than when buying three-year securities. This is a sign that money (blood) is flowing from the economy and soon there will be a big problem.
Oh well. Is it possible to somehow avoid the crisis?
Theoretically, it is possible to avoid a crisis in two cases:
A) We will come up with something that will accelerate the development of the economy. But for now, the Central Banks haven’t come up with anything better than lowering key rates. In some EU countries, loans can be taken at negative rates, but this does not save.
B) We will open new markets on the nearest planet or the nearest dimension (there are no more on our Earth). This will revive the demand for our products and thereby stimulate the growth of our economy.
In my opinion, everything has been fine with us for too long. After World War II, there were no serious global conflicts. Technology and consumption have grown many times over. For too long, everything has been positive.
When will the crisis become noticeable?
It manifests itself in unemployment and a decrease in demand for goods and services. People have no work, so there is no money. They cannot buy goods and services as before. Therefore, the companies that produced them before go bankrupt. New armies of the unemployed are on the street. Demand is reduced even more. This spiral of negativity is getting worse. But this does not happen instantly. During the Great Depression, the deepest ass came three years after the stock market crash. We have not yet collapsed.


I think that serious problems will begin at the end of 2020, after the election of the US President. Trump does not need a CRISIS before the election (then people will not vote for him). He will put pressure on the Fed and the Banks in every way to give out cheap money (about zero loans, quantitative borrowing, etc.)


How to survive in a super crisis?
A crisis is not only difficult times, but also promising for certain people. Because in times of crisis, assets are redistributed. After all, everything is very cheap (stocks, bonds, real estate, factories, steamboats, etc.) and if you have money you can buy it. What Warren Buffett is planning to do.


Those who are prepared for it in advance will feel especially good during the crisis. According to the principle "While the fat dries, the thin one dies." Anyone who has no money, but only debts, will suffer the most. In the 30s, such people literally turned out to be homeless and lived on the street in cardboard boxes. So here is what you need to do:
WITHOUT DEBT. It is necessary to close all debts and not gain new ones. Because during the crisis it will be difficult to give them away. A loan is not profitable, because they will take more money for a service than without a loan.
STOCK OF MONEY. Be sure to prepare a financial airbag for a rainy day. In conditions of unemployment and reduced salaries, a stock of money can save from hunger. Those who have debts and no reserves will suffer the most. While the fat dries, the thin one dies.
BUY GOLD. Because it is even better than any currency. The US dollar is subject to inflation and depreciates at about 2% per year (this is when there is no crisis). During the crisis, this process will go even faster. But gold is NOT depreciating. Gold is the best asset in the world to maintain value because it is not subject to inflation at all. It is gold that the Central Bank of the Russian Federation and the PRC have been intensively buying up in their gold reserves for the last couple of years.

LOW COSTS. Learn to live more modestly and reduce your consumption. Be prepared to rent a house with friends (it’s cheaper), repair old clothes, and eat only the food that you have prepared yourself (it’s cheaper). Crisis is a time of economy. Anyone who knows how to do it better, experiences a crisis easier.
SPECIALTY. The more different things you can do, the better. Because there are three specialties, then there are three times more chances to find a job than if you have one specialty. Already now you can search for something relevant.
STOCK MARKET. This is aerobatics. During a crisis, you can make good money if you buy stocks of firms and enterprises at reduced prices. In 2001, Amazon's stock price fell 20 times. Anyone who had free money and knew how to buy shares became rich. This is Warren Buffett's strategy.

CURRENCY MARKET. Time to make money here and now. It is not known how the price will behave during the active period of the crisis, but I team and I are ready for any unpredictable events.

My forum. Profitable signals for trade, free: http://kingeurusd.com/forum/
My mail: [email protected]

The global crisis of 2020 has begun...

3 months ago I published a post about the upcoming start of the global crisis 2020. I have to say that the crisis has already begun. I hope you saved some money to meet the crisis.
Most stocks are getting cheaper, the time will soon come to buy cheap.
Invest in your knowledge, this is one of the most reliable assets.
Now the daily ranges of price movement have increased significantly, so it’s a good time to trade EURUSD and not only.

Trader, take care of your family and your health! Your emotions should be cold, your actions accurate and coordinated. Think about risk, then about profit. Believe in yourself and your actions and the time of crisis will be the most profitable for you.

My forum. Profitable signals,recommendations for trade: http://kingeurusd.com/forum/
My mail: [email protected]

Attached Image (click to enlarge)

The autistic trader collapsed the Financial Market

part 1

On May 6, 2010, the US stock market experienced a cataclysm arranged by just one person. We tell the story of Navinder Singh Sarao, who caused damage to the financial market 1 trillion dollars. Black Thursday was the name for the events of May 6, 2010 on US stock markets, when the DOW JONES index collapsed by 600 points in 5 minutes.
Against the background of rumors about a possible default of Greece and negative statistics on US employment, indices first fell by 3%, and then suddenly in 5 minutes fell another 5%. The SMI trading platform automatically suspended trading for a few seconds. After that, futures prices in 10 minutes returned to their previous level. During this time, market capitalization has changed by 1 trillion dollars.



The culprit was found only in April 2015, when a trader Navinder Singh Sarao was arrested in the UK. It was he who helped the DOW JONES index instantly collapse.
Born in an expat family, Sarao is one of the most unusual traders in history. Since 3 years he lives with his parents in London. He loves football and video games, especially the FIFA series. His room is full of soft toys, although Navinder is already 41 years old. Sarao is sick with Asperger Syndrome. Development impairment, inhibitory ability of the patient to social interaction. But this did not stop him from mastering mathematics and computer science, and then earning about $ 50 million without leaving his room trading from a computer on the exchange.



In fact, Navinder can be attributed to SAVANTS. Geniuses in a certain area with autistic abnormalities. He could always process large volumes of data, mentally setting up charts detailing market fluctuations over gigantic periods of time. This made him a great trader.



Sarao grew up in poverty, his father suffered from diabetes, his mother worked in 2 jobs. He entered the university, after which he completely immersed himself in trading on the exchange, taking up a trading campaign. By the age of 30, he earned about 250 000 pounds per month. Enough wealth, in 2009, he independently engaged in trading. By money, Sarao was indifferent, he wore cheap tracksuits, instead of expensive alcohol, drank milk in liters, ate in fast foods, and never bought anything more expensive than the old Volkswagen.



Sarao used a special program for automated trading, which placed thousands of applications for large amounts, and then immediately canceled them. This method is called SPOFING - a simulation of the application. The bottom line is that fake orders strongly affect quotes, they create a false impression of the level of supply and demand.



Traders and algorithms fix them and seek to place their orders at about the same level, based on a price rebound, which leads to unnatural growth or fall in prices. Since July 2010, SPOUFING has been prohibited by the Dod Frank Act. The Serao program worked with MINI SP500 contracts, the index of which basket includes 500 US public companies with the largest capitalization.



Anticipating the reaction of traders to his false orders, he used the program to execute orders in miles of seconds and made a profit when quotes returned to their natural level. On May 6, Sarao put up for sale one of the major applications, which caused a short-term insanity. The monetary volume of applications is about 200 million dollars, which is about 20% of all applications on the exchange at that time. He put a bid on the fall of the index, which provoked an imbalance in the market and led to a collapse.



In 2015, Sarao was expelled, arrested, and extradited to the United States after 4 months in a British prison, accused of manipulating the price of MINI SP500 contracts. According to the prosecutor’s version, that day, Navinder made a fortune of $ 879,000, and in 5 years, with the help of SPOFING, he earned about $ 12.5 million.
After the arrest of Sarao, many experts doubted that one player alone could provoke such a big collapse. A major role was played by the fund, which sold 75,000 futures contracts for $ 4.5 billion, exacerbating the already turbulent market situation. However, the authorities considered Sarao the main culprit in the collapse. His actions greatly affected the imbalance in applications. This was a key condition that led to an unexpected crash, the head of the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission said in 2015.

The autistic trader collapsed the Financial Market

part 2

Meanwhile, Sarao took trading as a computer game, and Sarao’s lawyer claimed that he started spoofing only after his numerous complaints about fraud by other traders were ignored. He identified fraudulent activity by time, price and size of applications, wrote Sarao's lawyer. A few weeks later, when he again turned to the regulators with a complaint, they told him that they had studied the actions to which he had indicated and had found absolutely no violations. This has been repeated over and over for several months. Sarao could not understand how they could say that because he saw this happening daily.



In the end, Sarao did the same. His motivation was not money, but the desire to win the game. That’s how he perceived trading on the exchange. As a British autism specialist stated in a letter to the court, this was a consequence of his illness. Sarao's lack of interest in the money he earned, as well as his obsession with trading as a child trying to win a computer game, is fully consistent with his autism.
He played, he played by the rules by which other traders also traded. When he complained about SPOFING to regulators, then everything went on as it is. And it was precisely this that moved him to recognize SPOFING as part of these rules. An autism specialist stated.



As a result, Sarao lost all his money because of his gullibility. After studying the operation of Sarao, they found out that he lost most of his capital, which he earned on the exchange, by investing in projects * dummies *. For example, Sarao invested $ 33 million in a commodity trading holding, which promised a quarterly rate of 11%. The owner of the holding turned out to be a fraudster who misled Sarao and other investors regarding the real assets of the company. His company turned out to be a financial pyramid.



Sarao invested $ 15 million in a company planning to build wind turbines in Scotland. The head of the company did not build anything and appropriated money for himself. Sarao invested another 3 million dollars in a company that was planning to enter the betting market and promised a 20-fold profit. The head of the company also spent all the investments on himself, the company went bankrupt. Sarao lost all this money.



It is believed that Sarao fell for the bait of scammers because of Asperger syndrome. Due to problems with social interaction, it was not difficult to impress and deceive him.
Sarao began to help the authorities and earned freedom. At first, Sarao claimed that he did everything manually and simply showed his friend that he had been doing high-frequency robotic programs on the market 24 hours a day. In 2016, Sarao pleaded guilty and pledged to pay $ 750,000 as collateral to get out of jail under house arrest. Sarao was banned from trading activities
In recent years, Sarao has been living on benefits and depends on her parents.



Initially, Sarao was threatened with imprisonment for 380 years, then the sentence was reduced to 30 years, and then to 8. But in the end, Sarao escaped prison. The fact is that the prosecutor’s office took an exceptional move and asked for the ex-trader to be set free. After all, the last 4 years of Sarao helped authorities search for criminals on the stock exchange. Sarao described in detail exactly how he himself was fraudulent and what other dishonest traders did.
Also in January 2018, he testified against his old friend, a Chicago programmer, who allegedly helped him write this system and the MINI SP500 contract manipulation program. It was not possible to prove the fault of the programmer, however, the prosecutor's office appreciated Sarao’s desire to help them.



Cooperation with the defendant lasted for years and turned out to be as timely and useful as possible for the government. Sarao’s imprisonment will not bring any benefit to him or to society, the head of the anti-fraud department of the US Department of Justice said in his appeal to the court.The prosecutor’s office even turned a blind eye to the fact that Sarao did not return several million dollars, because he also became a victim of fraudsters. During the testimony, Sarao's health deteriorated, could not sleep more than an hour a day.



The point in this story was set on January 29, a Chicago court ruled that Navinder Singh Sarao should spend 1 year under house arrest. Sarao is very happy to leave it all behind, go home and live, the trader’s lawyer said further.



Video version on my YouTube channel:

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always mentioning market has a dunamic pattern.....what pattern is it?

Patterns are specific clusters of candles on a currency chart. Visually they are different (dynamic), but they are always identical in their basic structure.
Patterns and statistics are what we can use, that is, from our pattern the price should start moving in our direction in key areas of the chart and, as a result, give more profit than loss.
Key areas on the currency chart, namely: top, bottom, continued price movement - everyone sees them.

Hello traders. I am starting a series of videos where I will explain without too much information how the market works and the tools that I use. In this video, you will learn the algorithm for determining buy / sell zones and trading cycles with examples on my deals.
All questions: [email protected]

How to correctly read the chart for the last few days. The rectangle (buy or sell zone) is connected to the red circle (price reaction). Trading cycles will always bring the price into the buy or sell zone.
Instructions on how to correctly search for buy / sell zones and trading cycles in the last video.

Well-coordinated work of zones and cycles for today. In the near future I will make a video where there will be a deeper analysis of the transaction from the moment of opening to take profit.

only working for eur/usd?

yes

I buyed this strategy it is useless...

If you are that guy from Moldova, yes I remember you, you did not buy a complete strategy, but part of a strategy. Obviously this won't work properly.

I too bought the course and struggled to make it work. I never received a full PDF of the course to read and digest, and wonder too if i didnt receive the complete strategy despite paying the full price of $5000

Hi GrantUK.
I bought this course as well and while I have struggled to make it consistent I can see the value in it.
I am not behind as far as money traded is concerned but I have found the "faith" factor to be a nuisance. I believe all of the other things I have learned and experienced in the market have coloured my ability to take this analysis as it is and keep placing the trades consistently.
I too initially felt as if I was missing some rules, and sometimes that feeling comes back. It would be nice to be able to interact with people who have mastered this.
All the best

Hi Grant,
Please write to my email, we will once again find out what you know and what information you use.

Hi, thanks for your feedback. Please write to me by email or telegram to update your knowledge, perhaps something is missing, in a large number of rules it is very easy to miss something.