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The Swamp

  • #115,001
  • Feb 1, 2024 5:22am Feb 1, 2024 5:22am
Quoting supertubes
{quote} CHF ...
I also think EURGBP.
  • #115,002
  • Feb 1, 2024 5:33am Feb 1, 2024 5:33am
Quoting supertubes
There is a few opportunities this morning for positions with tight stops... US CHF 8640 should be R now for a S entry.. 6520 AUS US strong S for a L with tight stop... AUS GB 5150.. also EU maybe R at 0815..
I took the AUS . minus 6 there.
  • #115,003
  • Feb 1, 2024 5:40am Feb 1, 2024 5:40am
Quoting gatorinla
With NFP out there. I want to see a reaction to 0844. If it makes it back
Bring it on home.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #115,004
  • Edited 7:08am Feb 1, 2024 6:52am | Edited 7:08am
I have to mention 0834 as a chance at R.. Anyway 0844 closed below may be what to watch for Friday. It already closed the month below. Its can run to 0852.. It did 0874/76 yesterday, so it may be done with it ( I dont know). The 12h close was below the 200 day, but not below 0794.. Friday is also NFP. Today through news time often pumps.
I think that pump will produce 0844/52 and maybe some +slip. It often does. With NFP pump I dont know about 0874. Each time is different.
To cover my ass, I used 0844 + 60 pips.
My thought is 0844 will prevent closes above.. Causing the eu to reach 075x/4x. Some support may be 074x/5x. That may force a test of the 200 day from below 0807 ish.. 0794

Quoting gatorinla
I have to mention 0834 as a chance at R.. Anyway 0844 closed below may be what to watch for Friday. It already closed the month below. Its can run to 0852.. It did 0874/76 yesterday, so it may be done with it ( I dont know). The 12h close was below the 200 day, but not below 0794.. Friday is also NFP. Today through news time often pumps. I think that pump will produce 0844/52 and maybe some +slip. It often does. With NFP pump I dont know about 0874. Each time is different. To cover my ass, I used 0844 + 60 pips. My thought is 0844 will prevent closes...
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #115,005
  • Feb 1, 2024 7:33am Feb 1, 2024 7:33am
u claims ticked up..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #115,006
  • Feb 1, 2024 7:36am Feb 1, 2024 7:36am
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #115,007
  • Feb 1, 2024 7:39am Feb 1, 2024 7:39am
why is the market going up? if claims are up?
  • #115,008
  • Feb 1, 2024 7:42am Feb 1, 2024 7:42am
Kiwi .6135+slip may be a Swan Song fall. If support at .6048 opens, it can fall.. Support should be 6048 area
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #115,009
  • Feb 1, 2024 8:01am Feb 1, 2024 8:01am
45 min-1h news
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #115,010
  • Feb 1, 2024 8:25am Feb 1, 2024 8:25am
Dec missed closing above 1041. It did run back to it to make a high at 1044 for January. If history could repeat. 0844 area could be the place. January only moved 250 pips. I think because the 200 day and 0794.. On a normal average month. PA moves 439 pips. If history repeats with 0844.. We may see 1.04 area this month.
.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #115,011
  • Feb 1, 2024 8:34am Feb 1, 2024 8:34am
Quoting gatorinla
Dec missed closing above 1041. It did run back to it to make a high at 1044 for January. If history could repeat. 0844 area could be the place. January only moved 250 pips. I think because the 200 day and 0794.. On a normal average month. PA moves 439 pips. If history repeats with 0844.. We may see 1.04 area this month. .
We love it. Let it happen.
  • #115,012
  • Feb 1, 2024 8:47am Feb 1, 2024 8:47am
Quoting gatorinla
Dec missed closing above 1041. It did run back to it to make a high at 1044 for January. If history could repeat. 0844 area could be the place. January only moved 250 pips. I think because the 200 day and 0794.. On a normal average month. PA moves 439 pips. If history repeats with 0844.. We may see 1.04 area this month. .
For this to happen, we should have an Overshoot NFP that will completely delay or cancel a Rate cut for 2024.
  • #115,013
  • Feb 1, 2024 8:49am Feb 1, 2024 8:49am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} We love it. Let it happen.
Yeah like I said. That 200 day has to allow it.. I do respect it and 074x for a day close below. So beside 0400. 0285 has some long term weekly dynamic trend support. The drop this week, broke week p sar.
when that year close was below 1041. I think a trend started
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #115,014
  • Feb 1, 2024 8:51am Feb 1, 2024 8:51am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Yeah like I said. That 200 day has to allow it.. I do respect it and 074x for a day close below. So beside 0400. 0285 has some long term weekly dynamic trend support. The drop this week, broke week p sar.
I'm holding both short and long, with the long being a hedge. I set my TP for long at 0840 and will hold onto my shorts for 0750 area at least.
  • #115,015
  • Feb 1, 2024 8:53am Feb 1, 2024 8:53am
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} For this to happen, we should have an Overshoot NFP that will completely delay or cancel a Rate cut for 2024.
Rate cut Smay cut. The top performer of the G7 is the U.S. Japan is 2.. The U.S, is 2.5%.. The all mighty Germany is negative.. The U.S. is producing more oil today than any other producer. In fact more than any country ever. Un-employment has been below 4% for 2 years straight. We haven't seen that since the late 1960s. What was going on then? Well a war in Southeast Asia. The military drained the employment pool. They dont count in the statistics. So in reality the 4% today, is even better than the late 1960s.
Despite what's on Facebook or X. This is the best economy in most of our lifetimes.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #115,016
  • Feb 1, 2024 9:09am Feb 1, 2024 9:09am
https://www.spglobal.com/commodityin...%20that%20year.
The highest oil production of any country in history with 2025 set to increase. NG is on the same trajectory.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #115,017
  • Feb 1, 2024 10:19am Feb 1, 2024 10:19am
Right or wrong.. 0844 is hit.
I would like to see a day/week close below 0844 0834 0807 0794 0741 and so forth.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #115,018
  • Feb 1, 2024 11:17am Feb 1, 2024 11:17am
Quoting Piporro
{quote} lol one broker 1.0795 te oter 1.07942 still alive and well RR nice place long with more 1.08033 same TP viva Mexico cabrones
oh out... i fall sleep too bad could of reentered ...

i sugest you have good habits of sleep at least 8hr if not toll can be bad

remember at the begining pfff 20 years ago i used to be in front of the screen 22hrs a day from sunday to friday with only a power naps... lol not any more

cheers

viva Mexico cabrones
  • #115,019
  • Feb 1, 2024 5:40pm Feb 1, 2024 5:40pm
Quoting gatorinla
I have to mention 0834 as a chance at R.. Anyway 0844 closed below may be what to watch for Friday. It already closed the month below. Its can run to 0852.. It did 0874/76 yesterday, so it may be done with it ( I dont know). The 12h close was below the 200 day, but not below 0794.. Friday is also NFP. Today through news time often pumps. I think that pump will produce 0844/52 and maybe some +slip. It often does. With NFP pump I dont know about 0874. Each time is different. To cover my ass, I used 0844 + 60 pips. My thought is 0844 will prevent...
In the slip. NFP in 14 hs. Keep in mind today closed above 0844. The month closed below 0844. The week ends tomorrow.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #115,020
  • Feb 1, 2024 7:22pm Feb 1, 2024 7:22pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} In the slip. NFP in 14 hs. Keep in mind today closed above 0844. The month closed below 0844. The week ends tomorrow. {image}
It means more probability going up?
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