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The Swamp

  • #114,461
  • Jan 15, 2024 9:10am Jan 15, 2024 9:10am
deadline for congress on friday, alot of stuff happening this week but this could be a gamechanger.
Davos, reports, earnings, ME etc..
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  • #114,462
  • Jan 15, 2024 9:19am Jan 15, 2024 9:19am
Switched to short at be..
will close soon if im wrong
hedged. Most likely going nowhere
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  • #114,463
  • Jan 15, 2024 10:09am Jan 15, 2024 10:09am
Quoting Ferna
Switched to short at be.. will close soon if im wrong hedged. Most likely going nowhere
Made some profits playing both sides. Im backing out before i lose the money.
Seems like a dead race. Difficult setup.
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  • #114,464
  • Jan 15, 2024 1:26pm Jan 15, 2024 1:26pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} AUD/CAD dropped about 44 pips. It may bounce to 8953/54. 8953/54 may resist. Possible tight stop short entry 8954
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} AUD/CAD dropped about 44 pips. It may bounce to 8953/54. 8953/54 may resist. Possible tight stop short entry 8954
You should be up 9 with 0 drawdown. Your decision.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,465
  • Edited 1:51pm Jan 15, 2024 1:33pm | Edited 1:51pm
Quoting gatorinla
CAD pending L at 3390 {image}
It went 77 pips higher so far. now at 3434. Be sure you dont let is turn to a loser. 3428 may support.

The AUD is on the bear side of .6686/87. That may be some R. It may be one to watch.
The AU atm looks more bearish than the eu
Its probably China related to aud commodities. The potential to fall looks best on the aud.

Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It went 77 pips higher so far. now at 3434. Be sure you dont let is turn to a loser. 3428 may support. The AUD is on the bear side of .6686/87. That may be some R. It may be one to watch. The AU atm looks more bearish than the eu Its probably China related to aud commodities. The potential to fall looks best on the aud. {image} {image}
The better potential to fall when aud is compared to the eur.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,466
  • Jan 15, 2024 2:22pm Jan 15, 2024 2:22pm
If you live in Portland, or South of Seattle. You better have a way to keep your ass warm. The ice storm may may cut your power. If you already cold anywhere else. Round 2 is coming.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,467
  • Jan 15, 2024 2:24pm Jan 15, 2024 2:24pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Since you tr Keep an eye on the Polar Vortex. It may be weakening. That could make Europe and the U.S. colder. Winter has been mild so far. That may change with a weaker Polar Vortex. It will be harder to keep the cold Northade energy.. So the next few months may get less mild. Imported NG prices in Europe may be forced higher. Imported from the U.S. may help the USD versus energy importers. The mild winter was better for the Eur/USD to rise. The opposite can be true on a energy rise.
Who woulda thunk?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,468
  • Jan 15, 2024 2:57pm Jan 15, 2024 2:57pm
Quoting Ferna
{quote} Below freezing where ya at yet?
It was cold on Sunday and while walking home from the hospital after my night duty, for the first time in my life, I slipped hard on the ice and landed on my back/waist. It hurt. My phone came out of my pocket and the camera got smashed but somehow the screen survived without a scratch.

It's crazy because it didn't happen without first flashing through my mind. I wondered what threw me down. Was it me having a premonition or was it my mind that made the ice throw me down that hard. Thank God I am young so didn't fracture bones. I also thank God I didn't hit my head. That's one area to prevent from hitting the hard coal tar road.

That's what the cold, ice and snow can cause! Well, Scotland is always cold and wet. So no complaints.
  • #114,469
  • Jan 15, 2024 4:16pm Jan 15, 2024 4:16pm
Quoting Ferna
{quote} Hope you okay, usually most of us are so fat or muscular it doesn’t lead to much injury. Worst is the discreet soft tissue injury that never get noticed, ligaments etc. Well most likely it could have been a disconnect of mind and body after working during wolf hours, i know many times i be clumsy as hell after night shifts, or if i get a double shift. Body turns off and one is going on automatic mode at a point. Here in Sweden we had alot of accidents lately cause of bad plowing and drivers. For me i never had any injuries due to slipping...
Yes, I was literally shocked that I fell. I was on the coal tar before I could say jack. I had walked for over an hour on very icy days in the past and never experienced such. Even when I slipped I somehow caught myself mid way. This time it took me by surprise. And I think it was that mind-body disconnect that caused it. Yes, black ice, but I knew there was ice because I was already feeling the slipperiness and there was lots of ice and snow on the flowers.
  • #114,470
  • Jan 15, 2024 5:48pm Jan 15, 2024 5:48pm
Quoting Ferna
{quote} Below freezing where ya at yet?
nope 7.2 C atm, 0 c (-32 F) at midnight in about 6.25 hs.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,471
  • Edited 6:17pm Jan 15, 2024 6:01pm | Edited 6:17pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} nope 7.2 C atm, 0 c (-32 F) at midnight in about 6.25 hs. {image}
Dallas Ft. Worth is already below 0 C. They had grid problems last time. Southern trees are not made for Ice storms. They take out power grids. A few years back a bunch froze in similar whether
A few days back it looked like it would be -0 for +72 hs. Portland and maybe Seattle may have ice storm troubles
I'm amazed the utilities didnt have a freeze protection schedule. A plant I worked at had a yearly freeze protection plan. The powerhouse and steam line, control panel, pneumatic actuators ect. Had heat applied to them. Units were paneled with plastic. In Texas NG valves didnt work. That's pretty damn stupid not to have planned for. Starting in Sept and October, Dallas gets colder than where I was. It's like electricity generation 101. Without NG. Nothing else works. All the steam line and water lines break. You have to change all of it out.. 1 $ in freeze protection would of saved millions
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,472
  • Jan 15, 2024 6:23pm Jan 15, 2024 6:23pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It went 77 pips higher so far. now at 3434. Be sure you dont let is turn to a loser. 3428 may support. The AUD is on the bear side of .6686/87. That may be some R. It may be one to watch. The AU atm looks more bearish than the eu Its probably China related to aud commodities. The potential to fall looks best on the aud. {quote} The better potential to fall when aud is compared to the eur. {image} {image} {image}
1 larger candle. If the next one is large enough to close with little upper wick. It may be breaking out. +3447 is best. CAD. A eur breakout of 0930 may help UC rise also
AUD coming
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,473
  • Jan 15, 2024 6:30pm Jan 15, 2024 6:30pm
Short looking like a great setup already, this could be play out on many pairs and index. Dxy+; jpy+
zooming out to 1h/4h
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  • #114,474
  • Jan 15, 2024 6:32pm Jan 15, 2024 6:32pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It went 77 pips higher so far. now at 3434. Be sure you dont let is turn to a loser. 3428 may support. The AUD is on the bear side of .6686/87. That may be some R. It may be one to watch. The AU atm looks more bearish than the eu Its probably China related to aud commodities. The potential to fall looks best on the aud. {quote} The better potential to fall when aud is compared to the eur. {image} {image} {image}
AUD still on the bear side. A large candle below the left may be a b/o.. It may be beast to close below 0.6637.. But even a bear run needs to take out the day..
A day close below those 200s is good. A day close below 0.6530 may be needed. That may happen eventually. The Aud looks like a better short than the euro to me.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,475
  • Jan 15, 2024 6:41pm Jan 15, 2024 6:41pm
Quoting Ferna
Short looking like a great setup already, this could be play out on many pairs and index. Dxy+; jpy+ zooming out to 1h/4h
101.21 When the USD (EU-1041) closed above it 2023. I had the usd with a good chance of changing the downtrend to a uptrend. Maybe long term. Since its yearly I'm looking at
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,476
  • Jan 15, 2024 6:48pm Jan 15, 2024 6:48pm
If you took the AC short. You may want to take some off the table. We dont know if the 200s will allow.
The entry provided had 0 drawdown
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,477
  • Jan 15, 2024 6:53pm Jan 15, 2024 6:53pm
If short the Aud. This is what you want. A long comparable candle breaking out
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  • #114,478
  • Jan 15, 2024 7:02pm Jan 15, 2024 7:02pm
The eu (-0930) and others closed the last hour on the bullish usd side.
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  • #114,479
  • Jan 15, 2024 7:07pm Jan 15, 2024 7:07pm
Eu candle below 0939 36 30 appears to be a b/o. The 12h closes in 9 hs. 12 dynamic trend at 0894.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,480
  • Jan 15, 2024 7:09pm Jan 15, 2024 7:09pm
Quoting Ferna
Short looking like a great setup already, this could be play out on many pairs and index. Dxy+; jpy+ zooming out to 1h/4h
out shorts, in long with tight stops 0918
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