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The Swamp

  • #114,241
  • Jan 5, 2024 2:39pm Jan 5, 2024 2:39pm
Quoting Ferna
{quote} btw what is driving the equity markets today?
market looks like it has no direction
yeilds are up meaning there is uncertainty about a us rate hike after today's nfp report.
oil is up
looks like inflation is not as dead as previously thought
  • #114,242
  • Jan 5, 2024 2:44pm Jan 5, 2024 2:44pm
Quoting Ferna
{quote} you know this is the first time i been reading on the coolant glycol it’s concentration, and it is antifreeze down to -33c. Bought concentrated. Wonder if they got some special shit up north in their cars
i lved in alaska for a year a long time ago

people there had electric heaters for battery engine block and transmission
they also had an issue called square tires

the tires would deflate and freeze on the flat part where the weight was
if they didn't thaw out before driving, they would shatter

you are probably better off taking uber or a cab
it's not worth the repairs if it's cold
  • #114,243
  • Jan 5, 2024 3:43pm Jan 5, 2024 3:43pm
Quoting gatorinla
{image}
Week 1 for 2024 is almost complete. I think a week close below 0939 (160 pip average) Wk 2. Helps a chance with average range to test the The mid 0844/0790 ish. A day close below 0741 may indicate more fall. I dont have a week level I like atm. But it should be 0700 area next week. Thats below average range. So maybe week 3 can test 0741. Next week being week 2. With 18 minutes to go. That break out bullish 4h candle has retreated. Breaking the 200 day sma or ema if not a free shot. It may bounce hard from 084x/079x area. So the timing may be off a bunch. It deldome will run 1 direction without stalling or bouncing. If it does mange to close a day below 0741. It may aid further drop. The week has a dynamic level in the 0750 area. Its on the rise. Timing wise its not easy to judge where it will be next week. 0700 is well below a weeks average. Hitting it may encourage more bears. Especially with a day close below 0741. With that said. These are all supportive levels. 0894/0700 supportive atm. Getting below these could open a deep hole.

One thing at a time. A close below 0939.9 today. Points to the 12h at 0894. Breaking that can lead to the day etc.









i
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,244
  • Jan 5, 2024 3:52pm Jan 5, 2024 3:52pm
Quoting FT.Trader
{quote} i lved in alaska for a year a long time ago people there had electric heaters for battery engine block and transmission they also had an issue called square tires the tires would deflate and freeze on the flat part where the weight was if they didn't thaw out before driving, they would shatter you are probably better off taking uber or a cab it's not worth the repairs if it's cold
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,245
  • Jan 5, 2024 3:54pm Jan 5, 2024 3:54pm
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,246
  • Jan 5, 2024 4:01pm Jan 5, 2024 4:01pm
Oanada shows a close above 0939.9.. Look at the time of the last 1min candle.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,247
  • Jan 5, 2024 4:05pm Jan 5, 2024 4:05pm
Quoting gatorinla
Oanada shows a close above 0939.9.. Look at the time of the last 1min candle. {image}
8 cap looks like this below 0939.9
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,248
  • Edited 4:24pm Jan 5, 2024 4:09pm | Edited 4:24pm
Quoting Ferna
{quote} it is fascinating how it played out from gators and my post3 days ago… they said on radio a couple of hours ago spot price on electricity will go up 400% over the weekend. Wonder if any broker offer leveraged contracts on that lol.. proably in 2-3 days the cold from sweden will be less, but cover whole europe instead and start spreadimg through central USA. I see the natural gas prices are going up. yeah the tires can be a problem.. we usually don’t need electric heaters and see that as a luxury. Cars a bit better designed for cold as they...
It may be equipment expensive to run on a battery. But if you did. You can buy electric when demand is low (cheaper). And use the stored power during higher price times. Storing solar even cheaper. With a 400% increase savings. It may pay for the equipment. Plus during a outage the lights may stay on.
https://na.panasonic.com/us/green-li...solar%20panels.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,249
  • Jan 5, 2024 4:20pm Jan 5, 2024 4:20pm
Quoting Ferna
{quote} it is fascinating how it played out from gators and my post3 days ago… they said on radio a couple of hours ago spot price on electricity will go up 400% over the weekend. Wonder if any broker offer leveraged contracts on that lol.. proably in 2-3 days the cold from sweden will be less, but cover whole europe instead and start spreadimg through central USA. I see the natural gas prices are going up. yeah the tires can be a problem.. we usually don’t need electric heaters and see that as a luxury. Cars a bit better designed for cold as they...
I'm out of my wheelhouse here. But would a alcohol based gel that dont eat tires work? I dont know if something like that is available. But I would make something myself. I dont know if it can take highway speeds. Many farmers fill the tires with water. So it does stand to reason some antifreeze is used in cold climates. Just a thought. I dont get those temps. My tractor dont need it.
It may not be viable in Arctic conditions. I'm sure the military has a fix.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,250
  • Jan 5, 2024 4:33pm Jan 5, 2024 4:33pm
Quoting Ferna
{quote} It’s pitch black outside. We get like 5 hour of sun. The wind is standing still now that the high pressure area developed, so it drives prices up cause we got alot of windmills, and shut down 1 nuclear powerplant. The outage is a good point, since thousands of people was recently without electricity. I got a friend who sells solar power, i think he also sells some batteries with them. He sells them easily, but we calculated to get back the investment it would take like 20 years due to their high pricing. I believe in geothermal energy more,...
LMAO. I wrote a while back about some kid somewhere inventing a cheap battery. One with no need for rare earth minerals. The common digital watch and silica. Well i bet some brainiac can do it..
When those cheap watches first appeared 50 years back. They cost many hundreds of dollars. For a very short time they were a status symbol. Later you could buy one for 1$
Anaway the energy stored at normal prices. And used during the 4X increase times.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,251
  • Jan 5, 2024 4:47pm Jan 5, 2024 4:47pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} LMAO. I wrote a while back about some kid somewhere inventing a cheap battery. One with no need for rare earth minerals. The common digital watch and silica. Well i bet some brainiac can do it.. When those cheap watches first appeared 50 years back. They cost many hundreds of dollars. For a very short time they were a status symbol. Later you could buy one for 1$ Anaway the energy stored at normal prices. And used during the 4X increase times.
Here they were 1500$ 50 years ago.. Pulsar
https://pabook.libraries.psu.edu/lit...lay-technology
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,252
  • Jan 5, 2024 5:29pm Jan 5, 2024 5:29pm
Quoting Ferna
{quote} yeah i mean its simplicity is genius, there is sand everywhere and usually the sun. So basically you could set up a moon-base and store energy without having to transport too much material there, just need a container. Specific heat capacity of sand is like 1, while water has 4, so water is ideal. Problem is that water boils away at 100 celsius. Sand doesn’t boil away, it can be heated to 800 degree or more. So that compensates for the lower heat capacity. Also isolating material can help maintain energy. So basically all the energy you...
Adobe has been used for thousands of years. Not for electric, but it does what your saying. Cool during hot desert days. Warm during cold desert nights.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,253
  • Jan 5, 2024 11:24pm Jan 5, 2024 11:24pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I take your never researched it before either. Well in my world labor depending on the industry is less than 5% the cost in heavy industrial manufacturing (cars being. a more finished retail product about 15% or less) . That leaves about 50%+ (very conservative) for energy. The remainder transportation/raw materials. But you seem to know better than people. Who actually worked in industrial industries. Just a fact. Turn off the lights, where are the people?
learn about people then u understand all markets.
protein for breakfast !
  • #114,254
  • Jan 6, 2024 5:07am Jan 6, 2024 5:07am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 8 cap looks like this below 0939.9 {image}
1.09392 on duka
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better be not enough salt than too much salt
  • #114,255
  • Jan 6, 2024 1:25pm Jan 6, 2024 1:25pm
0932
You have an IQ lower than 90 if you interact with this user.
  • #114,256
  • Jan 6, 2024 8:17pm Jan 6, 2024 8:17pm
Quoting oochiwaawaa
{quote} learn about people then u understand all markets.
https://www.themanufacturer.com/arti...n-2023-survey/

This is about the UK in early 2023, but true for all major manufacturing/industrial markets and getting worse

"According to the survey, almost three quarters of companies (70%) expect their energy costs to increase this year, with two thirds saying they still expect to take actions such as reducing production or cutting jobs despite the Government energy support package.
In addition, 60% of companies are increasingly concerned about blackouts affecting their business, almost two thirds of companies (64.3%) say increased energy costs are the biggest risk to their company, while more than two thirds (68.9%) say uncertainty around energy costs is the biggest risk to confidence."
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #114,257
  • Jan 6, 2024 9:58pm Jan 6, 2024 9:58pm
Quoting axecap
{quote} https://www.themanufacturer.com/arti...n-2023-survey/ This is about the UK in early 2023, but true for all major manufacturing/industrial markets and getting worse "According to the survey, almost three quarters of companies (70%) expect their energy costs to increase this year, with two thirds saying they still expect to take actions such as reducing production or cutting jobs despite the Government energy support package. In addition, 60% of companies are increasingly...
too many around read stats but have no clue about other things around them. eg the rate of increase in personal electronic devices is steadily increasing on a per person basis every year. as the population ages so too do you see the lowering of the minimum age levels of elec dev usage. once you see young children using these devices or one like it now apply this same construct to all facets and whallaaa! lots of things being plugged in and turned on or left on. you can now see that all categories are facing the same problem. some blame overpopulation. others blame poor economies for their overuse of old tech or processes. keeps the 3rd world fighting with the 1st world and round n round they keep going. old energy sources vs new ones. legitimate innovation vs puritan progress (progress for the sake of progress alone). ofc you the people do nothing to intervene so its no surprise every level of your world is arguing and debating over all this. why not intervene? people do not understand the problems. too busy with other things. but easy to understand= you the people ARE the govt and all those companies. See? people are the glue not all that other things. people want facts to replace people. can never happen. should never happen. if it does then youve lost all humanity and anything that resembles it. people have a hand.to.mouth mindset now and expect others normally govt etc to solve the problem. but they are you and they are part of the problem innately inside the situation. all detailed experience on this planet comes from and through people. its about time people realize this. reason why it hasnt happend yet? superman syndrome. also known as savior syndrome.

people are at the center of industry always have been. people ARE an industry unto themself. so sorry to anyone who sees other things. maybe go recheck history and this time take the blinkers off and be more thorough.

have fun.

O.
protein for breakfast !
  • #114,258
  • Jan 7, 2024 1:06am Jan 7, 2024 1:06am
[quote=oochiwaawaa;14710757]{quote} too many around read stats but have no clue about other things around them. eg the rate of increase in personal electronic ...

LOL... I was just commenting as to Gators point regarding costs of manufacturing and the growing importance of the energy component, worldwide.
I have no idea what you are trying to convey in your response or its relevance to that point.
Im guessing if you simply dismiss statistical facts you probbaly think that climate change is a conspiracy and the world is flat, so therefore impossible to have a meaningful discussion.
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #114,259
  • Jan 7, 2024 12:18pm Jan 7, 2024 12:18pm
Quoting oochiwaawaa
{quote} learn about people then u understand all markets.
What's that have to do with you being wrong, about energy? You think this last post absolves you. From not knowing what you spoke of? Maybe in your own mind you some sort of genius. But your not smart enough to see your shortcomings. I assume your a young guy, who has it all figured out. Any way, I dont have time for you to grow up. You have not offered anything to contribute here. So go piss in someone else's pool while you can. I dont care what you do. But you will need to find another place to do it.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,260
  • Jan 7, 2024 5:25pm Jan 7, 2024 5:25pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} What's that have to do with you being wrong, about energy? You think this last post absolves you. From not knowing what you spoke of? Maybe in your own mind you some sort of genius. But your not smart enough to see your shortcomings. I assume your a young guy, who has it all figured out. Any way, I dont have time for you to grow up. You have not offered anything to contribute here. So go piss in someone else's pool while you can. I dont care what you do. But you will need to find another place to do it.
people on internet always make me giggle. i say if you have time to garble on internet about mediocre things then you have time for better things. so you a broker? or maybe older person who auto connects age with respect and knowledge. not trying to start fight. just asking. you said energy is biggest energy driver. i only stated in reply that you are incorrect and said why. the obviousness of it is front and center. always amazes me how people prefer lies to basic honesty. just for info i am not young person but i dont assume my age gives me right to gain favor or auto respect from people. if you look at the process of following the categories of industry and others in our lives, people are always central to all activity. so what i say is factual. learn about people not facts coz they are passing ships. maybe people dont want to learn about people coz lazy or scared of what they find. all crossroads lead to people. your swamp your doings. have fun. O.
protein for breakfast !
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