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The Swamp

  • #114,141
  • Edited 7:40pm Jan 3, 2024 5:10pm | Edited 7:40pm
Quoting gatorinla
The close being below 0939 dont discourage 0894 test imho
The close being below 0939 may make it stiffer. It may help my pending short 0939x reach 0894 or less. No change atm for me. Range 0939/089x is still my plan. ADR is about 75 pips. That leaves room to b/o one or the other.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,142
  • Jan 3, 2024 7:47pm Jan 3, 2024 7:47pm
Quoting Ferna
Could this hard bounce?
Anything is possible. Closing tomorrow below 0939 makes that more chance to test or break 0894. 3 days 0939.9 closed at, or below so far. A week close below would be stronger. Closing the next 3am est close below 0894 would be another bearish sign. ATm with that last day close below 0939, it dont look good for longs.

Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Anything is possible. Closing tomorrow below 0939 makes that more chance to test or break 0894. 3 days 0939.9 closed at, or below so far. A week close below would be stronger. Closing the next 3am est close below 0894 would be another bearish sign. ATm with that last day close below 0939, it dont look good for longs.
But if the 12h at 3am est is 0940+. That could help longs. But that is subject to being able to hold above 0940, and close Friday above.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,143
  • Jan 3, 2024 9:36pm Jan 3, 2024 9:36pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Anything is possible. Closing tomorrow below 0939 makes that more chance to test or break 0894. 3 days 0939.9 closed at, or below so far. A week close below would be stronger. Closing the next 3am est close below 0894 would be another bearish sign. ATm with that last day close below 0939, it dont look good for longs. {quote} But if the 12h at 3am est is 0940+. That could help longs. But that is subject to being able to hold above 0940, and close Friday above.
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CST

Correction.. Man I gained 1 day. I thought it was Thursday.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,144
  • Jan 4, 2024 1:43am Jan 4, 2024 1:43am
tp hit, entry for pending hit.. Lets see if R at 0939.9/42 holds. Back to bed
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,145
  • Jan 4, 2024 2:36am Jan 4, 2024 2:36am
Good morning!

Got a little short there at 0942x time for breakfast
  • #114,146
  • Jan 4, 2024 3:01am Jan 4, 2024 3:01am
Quoting Ferna
PA suggests short, TA suggests long. i am in for the long, mby the shrt will return later…
S/o might be one at 0992
  • #114,147
  • Jan 4, 2024 3:17am Jan 4, 2024 3:17am
Quoting gatorinla
tp hit, entry for pending hit.. Lets see if R at 0939.9/42 holds. Back to bed
pending was s/o. Pa being above 0939/40 R. I dont like that for a short. I may try later 0993, still have a pending short 1041. 0939 may support when pa is above (buy to me). Lets see what the 12h does next h.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,148
  • Jan 4, 2024 3:24am Jan 4, 2024 3:24am
pending atm 1041.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,149
  • Jan 4, 2024 3:27am Jan 4, 2024 3:27am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The close being below 0939 may make it stiffer. It may help my pending short 0939x reach 0894 or less. No change atm for me. Range 0939/089x is still my plan. ADR is about 75 pips. That leaves room to b/o one or the other.
ADR leaves room above 0939. 098x/9x
4h dynamic R at 1039.. Close to 1041. This may be a decent place to look.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,150
  • Jan 4, 2024 3:36am Jan 4, 2024 3:36am
Some pre NFP pump. Followed Friday by a good report, could help pa fall from a decent R. Thinking 1041 ish may be decent
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,151
  • Jan 4, 2024 3:42am Jan 4, 2024 3:42am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Bears need to be strong enough to take 0894, and hold a 12h close below. Bulls since reaching 0894 are atm unable to test 0929. The truth atm lies between. Eventually one will show some ass. My hope is bulls take 0939/40. Where bear kick em in the balls back to 0894. Eventually one will blink. Plan 2 if bulls make it back to 1041 is about the same concerning 0894..
waiting for another bite.
I just had a short signal 0962.x. I dont know if it can make LC today. But it may make 0939ish off this signal. Possible buy 0939ish. I cant short now here, being Thursday before NFP. Historically a pump on a broken R day. I can short 1041 since its larger.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,152
  • Jan 4, 2024 3:50am Jan 4, 2024 3:50am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} waiting for another bite. I just had a short signal 0962.x. I dont know if it can make LC today. But it may make 0939ish off this signal. Possible buy 0939ish. I cant short now here, being Thursday before NFP. Historically a pump on a broken R day. I can short 1041 since its larger.
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Like this?......
  • #114,153
  • Jan 4, 2024 3:51am Jan 4, 2024 3:51am
pending buy 0942x.. My hope is 0939 holds..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,154
  • Jan 4, 2024 4:23am Jan 4, 2024 4:23am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} {image} Like this?......
Its got a range b/o candle. It's not real impressive. So it may be a buy at the b/o.
another to follow
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,155
  • Jan 4, 2024 4:27am Jan 4, 2024 4:27am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Its got a range b/o candle. It's not real impressive. So it may be a buy at the b/o. another to follow {image}
I'm more willing to take this one against a better support.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,156
  • Jan 4, 2024 4:31am Jan 4, 2024 4:31am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I'm more willing to take this one against a better support. {image}
You can see it better on a 4h candle. I do hope 0939 holds.. But it may hit 0930.. 0930 being below 0939 can screw me..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,157
  • Jan 4, 2024 4:39am Jan 4, 2024 4:39am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} You can see it better on a 4h candle. I do hope 0939 holds.. But it may hit 0930.. 0930 being below 0939 can screw me.. {image}
Euro likes 35, i.e. 1.0935. 1.0835 etc
  • #114,158
  • Jan 4, 2024 4:39am Jan 4, 2024 4:39am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} You can see it better on a 4h candle. I do hope 0939 holds.. But it may hit 0930.. 0930 being below 0939 can screw me.. {image}
Day wise I think 1041 was the b/o. The candle was not impressive. The second in red was nice. Now if it returns to the scene of the crime in the NFP pump. It has some dynamic confluence + a fib + some special sauce to help R.
1033 may attract too.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,159
  • Jan 4, 2024 4:44am Jan 4, 2024 4:44am
Quoting LoneTrader1
{quote} Euro likes 35, i.e. 1.0935. 1.0835 etc
sub divided must of given you 0885 yesterday.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,160
  • Jan 4, 2024 4:52am Jan 4, 2024 4:52am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Day wise I think 1041 was the b/o. The candle was not impressive. The second in red was nice. Now if it returns to the scene of the crime in the NFP pump. It has some dynamic confluence + a fib + some special sauce to help R. 1033 may attract too. {image}
year may be ready to fall.. 6 month and quarter look different. The 1 year returned to the scene of the crime. That may allow a LL fall.
2022 b/o, 2023 returned to the break. Break acts like R. 2024 may drop.
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