The Swamp | Page 5703 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread
Attachments: The Swamp
Exit Attachments

The Swamp

  • #114,041
  • Dec 29, 2023 11:15am Dec 29, 2023 11:15am
Quoting ChoyFX
{quote} Can the bears break it today...? Few more hours left.
Of course it can. So far today has moved 40ish pips. It can also be support. It can be resistance if it can't hold as support.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 4 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,042
  • Dec 29, 2023 11:20am Dec 29, 2023 11:20am
Quoting gatorinla
S/P within strike distance of a ATH. Maybe a dt to form. It seems to be slipping.. That may boost usd. {image}
1 h, S and P lost its (eu like 1041), and fell.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 5 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,043
  • Dec 29, 2023 11:27am Dec 29, 2023 11:27am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Of course it can. So far today has moved 40ish pips. It can also be support. It can be resistance if it can't hold as support. {image}
  • #114,044
  • Dec 29, 2023 12:31pm Dec 29, 2023 12:31pm
Quoting Ferna
Found this site: https://www.barchart.com/stocks/indices/us-sectors but it doesn’t show the components. Apparently automobile industries are falling the most today. I noticed about a week ago that their inventories increased, and that some of them had 2 years time before car was sold. Alot of car salesman switched to sell used cars, instead of only new cars.
In a fall of new car demand. It may weigh more on Europe.
https://www.acea.auto/files/EU-US_au...ts_figures.pdf
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,045
  • Dec 29, 2023 12:34pm Dec 29, 2023 12:34pm
Quoting Ferna
REITs seem to be falling hard too. Don't know why. But seems the automobile industry might take a hit, Toyota gained however. Could be cause it is a cheaper car? {image} {image}
Look at a yen chart. But it may not be so black, and white. A weak yen does make the cars cheaper. But the ingredients to make the car may squeeze profit. Japan is a volcano with little natural resources to make a car. The ingredients are imported and purchased with usd. They have been stagnating for 40 years. Similar to what China will do on steroids.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,046
  • Dec 29, 2023 1:32pm Dec 29, 2023 1:32pm
Quoting Ferna
{quote} Interesting numbers i quote: " The other way around, the United States is the number one destination for EU-built cars, accounting for 29% of the total EU export value Don't know if these numbers are accurate. But this graph seems to suggest Cars are a big chunk of European exports. Will have to check volume statistics later and see if this was big sell-off or just a ghost movement between holidays. {image}
When car sales fall in house. Such as cars built domestically and sold domestically. Currency wise its mostly a wash. When the sales drop on imported ones, it hurts the exporting country currency more. Even though many EU cars are built in the u.s. its a wash. The % components in the car from the EU country. Can be a negative to the exporter when new car sales slip. Currency wise its less demand for the exporter. The less demand with all things equal, should increase the value of the import currency.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,047
  • Dec 29, 2023 1:43pm Dec 29, 2023 1:43pm
Quoting Ferna
{quote} Japan is the biggest investor in the world. They can live off dividends from the rest of the world for 100 years. They proably went kamikazi for 40 years to achieve that. All their debt is at 0% interest rate and is just rolled over, 50% owned by central bank, 25% owned by native investors/banks. Japan is dependant on that the rest of the world doesn't fall, cause then they are in deep shit. 10% of population over 80 years old. China will stagnate too? or japan stagnated so much worse then china will do? If car demand in U.S goes down, won't...
N0. The most expensive ingredient in heavy industrial manufacturing in energy. When some other country finds a way to fix energy cost. It may help those, if they have other ingredients. That's why Russia wants Ukraine. Ukraine has all the ingredients and a sea to move them. Ukraine could be similar to Germany in manufacturing.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,048
  • Dec 29, 2023 1:45pm Dec 29, 2023 1:45pm
1 poke 1041
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 6 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,049
  • Dec 29, 2023 1:55pm Dec 29, 2023 1:55pm
Quoting Ferna
{quote} It's back there again. Time running out.
Since you trade energy. Keep an eye on the Polar Vortex. It may be weakening. That could make Europe and the U.S. colder. Winter has been mild so far. That may change with a weaker Polar Vortex. It will be harder to keep the cold North. So the next few months may get less mild. Imported NG prices in Europe may be forced higher. Imported from the U.S. may help the USD versus energy importers.

The mild winter was better for the Eur/USD to rise. The opposite can be true on a energy rise.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,050
  • Dec 29, 2023 2:31pm Dec 29, 2023 2:31pm
Quoting Ferna
{quote} It's back there again. Time running out.
no rush. Sl in same place. Either it hits my stop or we go 11005.. that little poke through is promising for bears.
  • #114,051
  • Dec 29, 2023 3:43pm Dec 29, 2023 3:43pm
Quoting Ferna
{quote} This is something new to me, to learn. I haven’t been studying air pressures at this altitude. I presume it is stratospheric air pressures? At what air pressure range/altitude we talking? Is it measured by weather balloons?
You dont need to know how a combustion engine works. Just fill the tank, and drive
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,052
  • Dec 29, 2023 4:46pm Dec 29, 2023 4:46pm
gbp chf closed on the weak usd side. euro and aud on the possible stronger usd side. Of these the aud on the weak side of the eur/aud. USD/AUD .6823 may be a sell, as long as pa is below. .
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 10 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,053
  • Dec 30, 2023 4:17am Dec 30, 2023 4:17am
Quoting gatorinla
1 тычок 1041 {изображение}
Hello, tell a newbie what timeframe, I looked through everything, I just don’t understand
  • #114,054
  • Dec 30, 2023 10:33pm Dec 30, 2023 10:33pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} N0. The most expensive ingredient in heavy industrial manufacturing in energy. When some other country finds a way to fix energy cost. It may help those, if they have other ingredients. That's why Russia wants Ukraine. Ukraine has all the ingredients and a sea to move them. Ukraine could be similar to Germany in manufacturing.
im sorry but its not and never has been energy. people are the most expensive energy driver in all facets of civilization. maybe need to redo check on history up to current day. ive never had a machine ask for more money, or holidays or better food or living conditions or equal rights. not being picky here its a fact. maybe need to learn more about people. just a thought.
protein for breakfast !
  • #114,055
  • Edited 7:01am Jan 1, 2024 2:26am | Edited 7:01am
A 106-year-old who gardens every day gives her advice for living a long, healthy life...
https://www.businessinsider.com/cent...advice-2023-12

Disney's earliest Mickey and Minnie Mouse enter public domain as US copyright expires...
https://www.bbc.com/news/entertainment-arts-67833411
I am who I am
  • #114,056
  • Jan 1, 2024 6:46pm Jan 1, 2024 6:46pm
happy new year
short 1033
  • #114,057
  • Jan 1, 2024 6:49pm Jan 1, 2024 6:49pm
Quoting FT.Trader
happy new year short 1033
correction 1034
  • #114,058
  • Jan 1, 2024 7:02pm Jan 1, 2024 7:02pm
Quoting oochiwaawaa
{quote} im sorry but its not and never has been energy. people are the most expensive energy driver in all facets of civilization. maybe need to redo check on history up to current day. ive never had a machine ask for more money, or holidays or better food or living conditions or equal rights. not being picky here its a fact. maybe need to learn more about people. just a thought.
I take your never researched it before either. Well in my world labor depending on the industry is less than 5% the cost in heavy industrial manufacturing (cars being. a more finished retail product about 15% or less) . That leaves about 50%+ (very conservative) for energy. The remainder transportation/raw materials. But you seem to know better than people. Who actually worked in industrial industries. Just a fact. Turn off the lights, where are the people?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,059
  • Jan 1, 2024 7:05pm Jan 1, 2024 7:05pm
Quoting vitaliano
{quote} Hello, tell a newbie what timeframe, I looked through everything, I just don’t understand
Chose a time frame you like.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #114,060
  • Jan 1, 2024 9:44pm Jan 1, 2024 9:44pm
1010/17 has some support. 4h trend support at 1010. 1h 200 ema at 1017.The 200 ema wk at 1011. Beat them if you want lower. PA may bounce in this area.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 6 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
107 traders viewing now