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The Swamp

  • #113,101
  • Nov 15, 2023 8:14pm Nov 15, 2023 8:14pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} WK chart seems to like this path. The original week candle used is circled. It, and 10$. Will get you a coffee at Starbucks. Does it mean anything now? I dont know. PA sometimes reverses at numbers like 0889. I had a reversal signal there on a 4-6-8-12h. The day was close to a signal. The last time I had one on a 4h. PA dropped 140 pips. That dont mean it will this time. I had hopes it would had closed below 0874 QR1, and 0862 (0835) yesterday. It did not close below. 0839.8 is on this chart. 0835 may be more meaningful. PA closed above...
update
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #113,102
  • Nov 15, 2023 8:50pm Nov 15, 2023 8:50pm
Quoting FT.Trader
{quote} 3 bar trade triangle on the Daily is complete. I'm looking for the EURUSD to retrace to the low of the last 30 mins of trade of the London Close (LC) and then retrace and take out the day low. That's the only trade I'm looking to take in the overnight market. If EURUSD take out low first...trade invalid.
Trade invalid.Cancelled
  • #113,103
  • Nov 15, 2023 8:57pm Nov 15, 2023 8:57pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} update {image} {image}
0755 looks like the next stop on the retrace.
  • #113,104
  • Nov 15, 2023 9:20pm Nov 15, 2023 9:20pm
Quoting FT.Trader
{quote} 0755 looks like the next stop on the retrace.
A friend has a pending buy at 0755, with a stop at 0720. Yeah its on that chart.
I see it. I have a but in this. The algo is at 0706. The year 2022 close at 0700. The level below 0755 at 0696. Anyway 0835 could develop some support when above.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #113,105
  • Nov 15, 2023 9:47pm Nov 15, 2023 9:47pm
Quoting FT.Trader
{quote} 0755 looks like the next stop on the retrace.
All I have with the breaks tell me its bullish. I explained 0889. The dynamic 4h 6 12 indicated retrace. On the year chart 0887.5 is a 1/4 of R1. Starting at 0700 (see chart). I did/do have a good chance of a run to 1.0 this year. Timing wise we are 6 weeks out. Turn wise 0862/0959 is the golden place. The algo at 0765 was met. The one at 0406 is not. If it could manage to get below 0700 and 0649. That is a likely run to 0406. But the run up did break bear trend levels. Damned if you do, damned if you dont. I collected shorts on the rise.
I eat crow, or steak.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #113,106
  • Edited 1:42am Nov 16, 2023 12:46am | Edited 1:42am
I'm watchiing NIKKEI 225 Futures and USDJPY closely. I think the answer is in those 2 markets and the Euro. The Nekkei is currently challenging it's summer high due to a strong usdjpy. These will determine the direction of the Last Quarter and Possibly the first couple of weeks next year.
  • #113,107
  • Nov 16, 2023 12:52am Nov 16, 2023 12:52am
We are currently testing the 20 week SMA on the Keltner Channel this week.
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  • #113,108
  • Nov 16, 2023 2:44am Nov 16, 2023 2:44am
Long 0850
  • #113,109
  • Nov 16, 2023 2:51am Nov 16, 2023 2:51am
Quoting FT.Trader
Long 0850
Its below 0862 again. That may become R. We both know it likes to run to 0865. Plus it is bullish after breaking a bunch of bull levels. On days where it cant make those normal 0865 type runs. It tends to be opposite. In a good starting trend such as a downtrend. It may miss 0865 type levels days for days.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #113,110
  • Nov 16, 2023 2:54am Nov 16, 2023 2:54am
Added some more shorts at 0854
You have an IQ lower than 90 if you interact with this user.
  • #113,111
  • Nov 16, 2023 3:07am Nov 16, 2023 3:07am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Its below 0862 again. That may become R. We both know it likes to run to 0865. Plus it is bullish after breaking a bunch of bull levels. On days where it cant make those normal 0865 type runs. It tends to be opposite. In a good starting trend such as a downtrend. It may miss 0865 type levels days for days.
I didnt add. Bears missed 0823 yesterday. Another reason to think about bulls. So far since. She hasn't made a HH. If she misses a 0865 layup. Remains to be seen. That should be an easy one, if its to remain Northbound.
PA did make that flagpole. Is his a flag, or not. Crow or steak
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #113,112
  • Nov 16, 2023 3:23am Nov 16, 2023 3:23am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Its below 0862 again. That may become R. We both know it likes to run to 0865. Plus it is bullish after breaking a bunch of bull levels. On days where it cant make those normal 0865 type runs. It tends to be opposite. In a good starting trend such as a downtrend. It may miss 0865 type levels days for days.
I'm looking to retrace back up to the 30 min bar of the London close. On my futures chart yesterday's VWAP at the NY open was 1 pip lower than the high of the 30 min LC bar. My target is just below there.
  • #113,113
  • Nov 16, 2023 3:31am Nov 16, 2023 3:31am
Quoting FT.Trader
{quote} I'm looking to retrace back up to the 30 min bar of the London close. On my futures chart yesterday's VWAP at the NY open was 1 pip lower than the high of the 30 min LC bar. My target is just below there.
It should be a layup for a bull to reach 0865. The bulls should bring flowers. Its near a sure thing, in a bull trend. With this below average range. If not..... I have to think, the dynamics have a better chance to be right. 0862 being a measurement for closes. 1 adr being about 70 pips. Bulls could still hit 0865, and dynamics may be right. Not reaching 0865 is weakness, with the dynamics .
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #113,114
  • Nov 16, 2023 3:39am Nov 16, 2023 3:39am
Quoting FT.Trader
{quote} I'm looking to retrace back up to the 30 min bar of the London close. On my futures chart yesterday's VWAP at the NY open was 1 pip lower than the high of the 30 min LC bar. My target is just below there.
My estimate for EURUSD is 08687. I'll be out before there. Just a small trade.
  • #113,115
  • Nov 16, 2023 3:48am Nov 16, 2023 3:48am
Is it a pole, with a flag forming? 0865 is not a ticker parade event. 0865 should happen, like it does most days. But if it dont, it's another cog in a possible fall. 0862/0959 is where that may happen. I add 0983 because it has past interest there. Not reaching 0865, is just a miss in a bigger picture. A miss alone is not a big deal. This should be a easy one, unless 0862 stops it.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #113,116
  • Nov 16, 2023 3:59am Nov 16, 2023 3:59am
Last support that I have is the 200 SMA channel on the 15 min chart
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  • #113,117
  • Nov 16, 2023 4:11am Nov 16, 2023 4:11am
Yesterday's close was below a few levels. I think are important. Between 0862/0959. I look for a reason it may fall, or rise. Knowing in the larger picture 0862/0959 is bear hunting ground. The trend since 04xx brought it to here. If its going to fall. It will show weakness. It may be little things to start. Like the stop at 0889. The close yesterday not above Tuesday. Not making a HH. Closing below 0862. Later missing a LC. Things like this to start. 0406 is a attractive to me. Its mid month. The upper averaged month range is 0946. 0946 falls in the golden area of 0862/0959. That's 100 pips higher than atm. The other end of that month range is 0457 atm. In a average month one will be reached.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #113,118
  • Nov 16, 2023 4:14am Nov 16, 2023 4:14am
I am now short but bought some for TP at 0863. Asian high was 0856. London should, as a matter of fact, hit at least 10 pips above that high.
  • #113,119
  • Nov 16, 2023 4:15am Nov 16, 2023 4:15am
the 12h just closed -0862.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #113,120
  • Nov 16, 2023 4:18am Nov 16, 2023 4:18am
Coming up...It's on the FF calander. I should be able to get out with a profit when one of the cleptocrats speaks.
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