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Let's Trade Options

  • #19,061
  • Nov 5, 2023 1:09am Nov 5, 2023 1:09am
I "knew" this RUT breakout was coming, she was just waiting for the bond rout to flag. But I missed it. Had trades set, never filled, decided not to chase. I am emotionally scarred now. O well, life goes on. If rates continue to come in, RUT will likely grind up. I might take a shot on that possibility. But, there's a ton of issuance in USTs coming up in the remainder of Q4....$750bio, I think, so...there are tough times for bonds ahead. Maybe we could rally til mid-Novemeber?
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #19,062
  • Nov 5, 2023 6:11pm Nov 5, 2023 6:11pm
Quoting The Fool
bot SPX Nov10/13 4500 call calendars @ 55c
SPX weekly move @ 62 puts that at about 4420. I'll be looking to balance these calendars with diagonals to the downside Mon-Tues, also might roll down the 4500 call cldr if the week is looking red. Eyes on rates, that's the market....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #19,063
  • Nov 6, 2023 10:22am Nov 6, 2023 10:22am
Added to the following:

MTCH Nov10 30 CALL at $0.13, lowering the average to $0.19

That should make it decently profitable by Friday.....
  • #19,064
  • Nov 6, 2023 1:42pm Nov 6, 2023 1:42pm
Out of the following:

AMT Nov17 185 PUT at $2.75 up from $1.15 avg
  • #19,065
  • Nov 6, 2023 2:27pm Nov 6, 2023 2:27pm
Bid in for the following:

AWK Nov17 125 PUT at $0.95
  • #19,066
  • Nov 6, 2023 2:33pm Nov 6, 2023 2:33pm
In the following:

D Nov17 45 PUT at $0.60
  • #19,067
  • Nov 6, 2023 2:41pm Nov 6, 2023 2:41pm
In the following:

QCOM Nov17 119 PUT at $1.63
  • #19,068
  • Nov 6, 2023 2:45pm Nov 6, 2023 2:45pm
Quoting moneymaker2
Bid in for the following: AWK Nov17 125 PUT at $0.95
Removed Bid for AWK
  • #19,069
  • Nov 6, 2023 3:01pm Nov 6, 2023 3:01pm
I added 40-lot dbl diag XSP to the SPX 4500 call cldr, modeled as shown @ 4-lot SPX - 430/429 puts $ 442/443 calls....the trade will make money between 4260 and 4540, will do best on strong rally into Friday..
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #19,070
  • Nov 6, 2023 11:23pm Nov 6, 2023 11:23pm
Quoting The Fool
I added 40-lot dbl diag XSP to the SPX 4500 call cldr, modeled as shown @ 4-lot SPX - 430/429 puts $ 442/443 calls....the trade will make money between 4260 and 4540, will do best on strong rally into Friday..
...After last week's heavy lift, I kind of expect a consolidation week now. If I get the chance, I will roll some of the 4500 call cldrs down to 4420 +/-....need a good green day or two. Not looking too good, with rates on the rise again now. If I can do a nice deep roll for 2 bits, I will.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #19,071
  • Nov 6, 2023 11:31pm Nov 6, 2023 11:31pm
Next week, opex week, I'll do the SPX AM/PM cldrs....call side @40c, put side @ 70c, +/-......NVDA has ER 11/21....the week after opex week possibly a better breakout target....
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #19,072
  • Nov 7, 2023 8:53am Nov 7, 2023 8:53am
Out of the following:

WGO Nov17 62.5 PUT at $1.50 up from $0.75
  • #19,073
  • Nov 7, 2023 9:22am Nov 7, 2023 9:22am
Out of the following:

MTCH Nov10 30 CALL at $0.305 avg, up from $0.19

Probably more upside, but I don't know if I will be at my computer much the rest of the week. Still made good spending money...
  • #19,074
  • Nov 7, 2023 9:27am Nov 7, 2023 9:27am
Open positions now are:

AAP Nov10 57 PUT at $1.30

KBH Nov10 51 PUT at $0.85

D Nov17 45 PUT at $0.60

QCOM Nov17 119 PUT at $1.63
  • #19,075
  • Nov 7, 2023 12:53pm Nov 7, 2023 12:53pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote}...After last week's heavy lift, I kind of expect a consolidation week now. If I get the chance, I will roll some of the 4500 call cldrs down to 4420 +/-....need a good green day or two. Not looking too good, with rates on the rise again now. If I can do a nice deep roll for 2 bits, I will.
if SPX can grind above 4,400 by tomorrow, I might cash it out @ be and re-set a closer diagonal....4500 looking like a leap too far....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #19,076
  • Nov 7, 2023 1:54pm Nov 7, 2023 1:54pm
Added to the following:

KBH Nov10 51 PUT at $0.55 bringing average down to $0.65

AAP Nov10 57 PUT at $0.45 bringing average down to $0.663

QCOM Nov17 119 PUT at $1.10 bringing average down to $1.365

D Nov17 45 PUT at $0.45 bringing average down to $0.525

Didn't expect a couple of these to get hit, but it turned out good. We should see some downward movement on these to make some money with by Friday.
  • #19,077
  • Nov 7, 2023 8:36pm Nov 7, 2023 8:36pm
I'm going to look at the following in the morning to see if they will be a good play:

DHI Nov17 118/119/120 PUT see which would be the best based on premarket futures

EXPE Nov17 PUT for a little later in the week. It isn't the perfect setup with the indicators yet and is still a little expensive unless you get farther OTM strikes.

That looks like about it, though....
  • #19,078
  • Nov 8, 2023 10:08am Nov 8, 2023 10:08am
In the following:

DHI Nov17 118 PUT at $0.65
  • #19,079
  • Nov 8, 2023 10:23am Nov 8, 2023 10:23am
Hail Mary Bid in for today for the following:

EXPE Nov17 117 PUT at $1.50
  • #19,080
  • Nov 8, 2023 11:46am Nov 8, 2023 11:46am
SPX needs to print a red candle, after 7 straight green ones, so it can make a run thru the 4,400 call wall. Watching 1400 10y note auction results today. If the rate comes in further, Santa rally can keep building steam....I'm not looking but I bet you'd have to go back a ways to find 8 straight SPX green dailies....
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
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