The Swamp

Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} Next h close is a 4 6 12h close. It's been indicating range on 1h. Closing below 0565 is more a bearish range, Above 0576 and 0594 may break out some. Break out may still get caught at 0610. A close above 0576 may spark a push. Since pa is managing to stay above 0565. A tight little range.

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} Also if it was to break out North. 0624 has some 6h R value. The following 6h may need to be above it to sustain. 8h 0651 12h 0698. 1070 is the 2022 close. That R may be tough. It's a possible turning point. If it can not close a 12h above it. The day at 0810. One step at a time. At hand is +0576 0594 or -0565.

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} Also if it was to break out North. 0624 has some 6h R value. The following 6h may need to be above it to sustain. 8h 0651 12h 0698. 1070 is the 2022 close. That R may be tough. It's a possible turning point. If it can not close a 12h above it. The day at 0810. One step at a time. At hand is +0576 0594 0610 0624 b/o or -0565 range or bearish.

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Quoting axecap

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{quote} I have .0627 as ADR

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} Also if it was to break out North. 0624 has some 6h R value. The following 6h may need to be above it to sustain. 8h 0651 12h 0698. 1070 is the 2022 close. That R may be tough. It's a possible turning point. If it can not close a 12h above it. The day at 0810. One step at a time. At hand is +0576 0594 0610 0624 b/o or -0565 range or bearish.

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Quoting axecap

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dollar weakness seems wrong given fundimentals and geopolitics....do you have a theory?

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Quoting gatorinla

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Bulls were able to close above 0594. Breaking the 4h dynamic trend. A possible long at 0582 may develop. The 6h sits at 0624. A large R at 0610. Some day traders may be looking to retrace to 0544x. But it has 0565 in the way. The inability to break 0582 leans bullish. PA being above 0865 and 0576 leans bullish. Bullish, but facing larger R 0610 and the 6h dynamic 0524.

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Quoting axecap

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dollar weakness seems wrong given fundimentals and geopolitics....do you have a theory?

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Quoting gatorinla

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What does break out mean? It dont mean it will run to the moon right away. It can retrace some, even its a bullish breakout. The 6h is still below 0824 atm. 0610 has no time. But the larger the better.

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Quoting gatorinla

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The trend is lower since the summer. I personally will jus look for a place to short, this bounce. I dont know if the shipped sailed at 0610. Its possible it can from any of these such as 0610 0628 068x 0700 080x. St 0565/76/82 may support. {image}

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} Lets see if there is a round 2 at R .. But if -0565 is lost, especially if todays closes below 0565. 052x will likely happen. But if pa remains to close above 0565 76 0610 with a 6H close above 0624. A rise is more likely. Being above each level is a to a degree more bullish. But any level is R. At any level pa can drop. Losing 0565 leans to bears. The trend is already bearish. This to me is just a retest of old support levels from below. Those levels should resist as short orders are piled near them. Others will be longing as these levels...

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} I posted 0624.. Best to make it 0625+

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} That close above 0565 and 0576 sets in motion another try at 0524.x 6h. Maybe some light support 0592, 0897, and 0603. That's pretty tight. That's a short runway. 0576 may give it the breathing room. But it may not drop so much either. The German open has red news. A few hs before the 12 h close. That may be enough time to gauge -+ 1.0624x for a 6h close. If it does break the 6h, and retraces some after.. Those same levels may support it better after a 6h close above 0624x {image}

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