Yesterday Chinese stocks continued to sell off as government officials have made a series of recent moves to curb rampant equity speculation. The JPY crosses dealt a bit lower as traders looked to curb risk, but we did not see the type plunge lower that we have seen historically (reference the February sell off). Without any type of significant risk reduction materializing yesterday, today’s theme was continued strength in the JPY crosses as EUR/JPY traded to new all-time highs. The pair is facing some resistance into 164.50, where there are likely option related offers. The Shanghai Composite is again trading lower for the third day in a row, now down over 5% on the day. If we see a bounce in Chinese equities in the near term we could see another short squeeze higher in the JPY crosses. This would largely be due to those traders looking for the “risk reduction” trade, the selling of risky assets (i.e., carry trade positions) to lower portfolio risk and generate liquidity, covering their JPY cross shorts.
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BAM BAM BOOM! -bravado
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BAM BAM BOOM! -bravado