The Swamp

Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} add the last 24 weeks total pip movement, divide by 24. That's near the 6 month average movement, each week. 26 would be more accurate. on the month its a 2 year average (24 months). 24 periods on the day is close to a 1 month average. The amount of periods is arbitrary. a 20 sma is a good average. So for me, 20 to 26 should be close. It is what it is. Its just an average. Most moves are close to average. The -50 pip miss last week was much less than average. A anomaly, hitting 50 pips above is a anomaly. It happens, just not so much. Since...

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Quoting Ferna

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{quote} ok i calculated according to candle height. Don’t know if you include wigs. (27 March 181;5) + (3 A 185,1) + (10 A 244,6) + (17 A 90,7) + (24 A 133,2) + (1 M 150,2) + (8 M 205,8) + (15 M 144,9) +(22 M 129,8) = 1465,8 (29 May 144) + (5 J 120,3) + (12 J 237,5) + (19 J 168,1) + (26 J 141,4 ) + (3 J 140) + (10J 301,5) + (17 J 167,9) (24 J 206,3) = 1627 (31 J 133,6) + (7 A 136) + (14 A 115,1) + (21 A 164,6) + (28 A 173,4) + (4 S 123) = 846. Add the sums for 24 weeks -> 1465,8 + 1627 + 846 = 3938,8 Divide by 24 3938,8/24 = 164,1 3938,8/26 = 151,5...

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Quoting Ferna

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{quote} Oh sorry my english not so good. So last week = this week? I see about 122.8 pip movement this week/last week(4 September - 8 september). In my country we call last week only when we get to monday. I know there is some time discrepancies etc.. Or is the working week monday to saturday 'last week' in some countries? {image}

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Quoting Ferna

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{quote} ok i calculated according to candle height. Don’t know if you include wigs. (27 March 181;5) + (3 A 185,1) + (10 A 244,6) + (17 A 90,7) + (24 A 133,2) + (1 M 150,2) + (8 M 205,8) + (15 M 144,9) +(22 M 129,8) = 1465,8 (29 May 144) + (5 J 120,3) + (12 J 237,5) + (19 J 168,1) + (26 J 141,4 ) + (3 J 140) + (10J 301,5) + (17 J 167,9) (24 J 206,3) = 1627 (31 J 133,6) + (7 A 136) + (14 A 115,1) + (21 A 164,6) + (28 A 173,4) + (4 S 123) = 846. Add the sums for 24 weeks -> 1465,8 + 1627 + 846 = 3938,8 Divide by 24 3938,8/24 = 164,1 3938,8/26 = 151,5...

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Quoting imwim

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Forever young... Blood of Young Mice Extends Life in the Old... https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/27/h...ood-aging.html

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Quoting Boulder

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gap up {image}

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} I'm not calling for a short term bottom. PA is below key levels, pa did not close above 0717. If that be the high (next week), a average drop is 175 pips lower. If 0678 area is the low, add 175 to it. Whenever pa runs either way. 1/2 of 175 may be time to fade some. Against trend, odds start to decrease even more there. Plus your already behind the trend 8 ball. I think many get burned on a day, week, month move. FOMO on a trend turn. Next week if it was to rise 0750+. A trend can go much longer than my account. With the trend down....

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Quoting longfellow

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{quote} Billionaires already knew this. And it was a plot point on the tv show Silicon Valley. Also: {image}

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Quoting Piporro

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{quote} Vampires know it also...

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Quoting Boulder

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9/11 Monday Trading levels 1.0767 1.0742 1.0730 1.0710 - PP 1.0690 1.0678 1.0659 next print 1.0730 or 1.0690

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Quoting gatorinla

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{quote} Damn pp at 0710. I wanted to put s/l just under 01715. Wider could be 0709 i guess. Possible long 0715/17.6-0710. I would like the 4h to close 0740 in 2hs. Then retrace to 0715x/13 to enter.. ADR in the 0770s. ATM no 4h close above 0740, and nothing but a dream.. Atm some attraction to 0715x even w/o the 4h. ATM the larger trend is down. That 12h close gives bulls a slight pulse while above that 0678 bull trend. I may take a shot at 0715x.. Its below 0717.6.. I dont like that. That's why I want the tight stop..

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