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The Swamp

  • #111,261
  • Aug 10, 2023 4:05pm Aug 10, 2023 4:05pm
Quoting gatorinla
I think bears need to close Friday below 0951 and 0942. A average run to 1018-79 adr. can yield 0939. Therefore 1018 could fit. Will it is the unknown story. Another way is if 0980 held support. 0980+78=1058 Nobody knows if it will run to 1018. If it did, adr may be 40ish more pips. A run back from 1018, to 0939 is 79 pips. Almost double. I think the week close may attempt +1044 for bulls to run, or - 0951/42 for bears. I still have my bear reasons. I was tempted to hold shorts.. 1018 attracting, after reaching 0980, and reaching the lower adr made...
If it hits 0972 ish, then rises to 1018.x.. And later falls to close below 0951.x/42. I will call that a hit. Give or take 1000 pips. It may be close.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #111,262
  • Aug 10, 2023 5:02pm Aug 10, 2023 5:02pm
Quoting gatorinla
I think bears need to close Friday below 0951 and 0942. A average run to 1018-79 adr. can yield 0939. Therefore 1018 could fit. Will it is the unknown story. Another way is if 0980 held support. 0980+78=1058 Nobody knows if it will run to 1018. If it did, adr may be 40ish more pips. A run back from 1018, to 0939 is 79 pips. Almost double. I think the week close may attempt +1044 for bulls to run, or - 0951/42 for bears. I still have my bear reasons. I was tempted to hold shorts.. 1018 attracting, after reaching 0980, and reaching the lower adr made...
Edit/add: Bears also need to make a LL -0912. Not doing these steps will make pa bullish. Pa sits near 0980 atm. If you have a bullish bias. The stop may be a LL. Or a newer st support between 0980/LL
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #111,263
  • Aug 10, 2023 5:22pm Aug 10, 2023 5:22pm
8/11 Friday trading levels

1.1103
1.1063
1.1040

1.1002 PP

1.0965
1.0942
1.0905

next to print 1.1002 or 1.0965
  • #111,264
  • Aug 10, 2023 5:49pm Aug 10, 2023 5:49pm
I looking a 1.0912 and current pa at 0982. Is about 70 pips. 0982 +70 is about 1052. the upside and downside look about even. Bears need to take - 1.0951 and 0942 and make a LL. If not, Up will gain some momentum.
Both side have points to make. Pa may bounce at anytime now, w/o a LL, and not close below 0942/51. Be careful of pa whipsawing. If it rises to the normal 1018/20. If it runs past, be careful with shorts. It may be the week trying to take out 1044+
I bought a small position at 0983.. PA will either break with a LL. about 70 pips. or run to 1018. risking 70 to make 35 is something i dont like to do. I just want to have the mental skin in the game. 1018 is an average move. It has a little more chance generically than 0912. this is opposite of my bias. Its not a large trade with s/l below 0972.. (0968)
If pa should make it down to 092x/4x area I may buy. Against a stop with a LL.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #111,265
  • Aug 10, 2023 10:16pm Aug 10, 2023 10:16pm


Institutional Price Acton Cheat Sheet
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  • #111,266
  • Aug 10, 2023 11:03pm Aug 10, 2023 11:03pm
gbp may move eu some in 2 hs.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #111,267
  • Aug 11, 2023 3:26am Aug 11, 2023 3:26am
Try some longs here
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  • #111,268
  • Aug 11, 2023 3:37am Aug 11, 2023 3:37am
Quoting Boulder
8/11 Friday trading levels 1.1103 1.1063 1.1040 1.1002 PP 1.0965 1.0942 1.0905 next to print 1.1002 or 1.0965

8/11 Friday trading levels

1.1103
1.1063
1.1040

1.1002 PP

1.0965
1.0942
1.0905

1.1002 printed,,,next to print 1.1040 or 1.0965
  • #111,269
  • Aug 11, 2023 3:53am Aug 11, 2023 3:53am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} 8/11 Friday trading levels 1.1103 1.1063 1.1040 1.1002 PP 1.0965 1.0942 1.0905 1.1002 printed,,,next to print 1.1040 or 1.0965
Please give me 1040.
  • #111,270
  • Aug 11, 2023 3:57am Aug 11, 2023 3:57am
First step.. bulls need reverse M15 downtrend stop at 1.1009
  • #111,271
  • Aug 11, 2023 4:52am Aug 11, 2023 4:52am
FX option expiries for Aug 11 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.
- EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  1. 1.0800 593m
  2. 1.0900 1.2b
  3. 1.0950 1.9b
  4. 1.0980 1.3b
  5. 1.1000 1b
  6. 1.1025 733m
  7. 1.1100 995m

  • #111,272
  • Aug 11, 2023 4:59am Aug 11, 2023 4:59am
Quoting Boulder
Try some longs here {image}
Look like its a wrong move this morning for longs... I have stop loss at 1.0940 , lets see those heavy option can limit the drop there...
Big option volume sits between 1.0950 to 1.10
  • #111,273
  • Aug 11, 2023 5:57am Aug 11, 2023 5:57am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Look like its a wrong move this morning for longs... I have stop loss at 1.0940 , lets see those heavy option can limit the drop there... Big option volume sits between 1.0950 to 1.10
since H1 reversed to downtrend, I started to collect shorts too, I will scalp both directions
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  • #111,274
  • Aug 11, 2023 6:10am Aug 11, 2023 6:10am
Pa atm 1.0993
intermediate trends are down atm..

DownTrend stops

M15 @ 1.1005
M30 @ 1.1019
H1 @ 1.1040
H4 @ 1.1069
  • #111,275
  • Aug 11, 2023 6:46am Aug 11, 2023 6:46am
since it's Fryday I'm saving a bullet for 1.1080
  • #111,276
  • Aug 11, 2023 6:46am Aug 11, 2023 6:46am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} since H1 reversed to downtrend, I started to collect shorts too, I will scalp both directions {image}
Booked longs
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  • #111,277
  • Aug 11, 2023 7:10am Aug 11, 2023 7:10am
Quoting gatorinla
I looking a 1.0912 and current pa at 0982. Is about 70 pips. 0982 +70 is about 1052. the upside and downside look about even. Bears need to take - 1.0951 and 0942 and make a LL. If not, Up will gain some momentum. Both side have points to make. Pa may bounce at anytime now, w/o a LL, and not close below 0942/51. Be careful of pa whipsawing. If it rises to the normal 1018/20. If it runs past, be careful with shorts. It may be the week trying to take out 1044+ I bought a small position at 0983.. PA will either break with a LL. about 70 pips. or run...
I closed before news.. +20
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #111,278
  • Aug 11, 2023 7:12am Aug 11, 2023 7:12am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I closed before news.. +20
I am now working on shorts, if I am wrong, at least I follow my system. My stop loss at 1.1080
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  • #111,279
  • Aug 11, 2023 7:24am Aug 11, 2023 7:24am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I am now working on shorts, if I am wrong, at least I follow my system. My stop loss at 1.1080 {image}
Yeah. I'm a little spoked pa is have problems below 0942.
It may be grinding on it a while.
1.1025 looks like a center area.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #111,280
  • Aug 11, 2023 7:28am Aug 11, 2023 7:28am
i didn't like that it didn't test the 4 hr yesterday, setup a stop run for today
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