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The Swamp

  • #111,021
  • Aug 3, 2023 11:59am Aug 3, 2023 11:59am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} flat last longs here 0957..sideline atm.. ,, may try again {image}
Actually I am done for the day... tomorrow NFP, I don't need risk my capital before that important event ,,,
  • #111,022
  • Edited 12:55pm Aug 3, 2023 12:40pm | Edited 12:55pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Actually I am done for the day... tomorrow NFP, I don't need risk my capital before that important event ,,,
With NFP tomorrow. It may rise to 9994/1044. MPP at 1015 R at 0980.. See if it bounces again maybe at 0931 later. Close wise for the week 0942 may be important. The Norm pattern may take it to 0995/99 but will likely not go more than a little above 1044 R. 1015 MPP is in that area. So it may be hard to reach 1044 again. To me 0980+ is extended, it may be quickly slapped down below 0980... later 0942 and so forth. The pattern set up below 0835..see earlier post. Before NFP it often pumps opposite of the news NFP news to follow.

In the pattern it in, 1047 is the high.. 0912 the low... 1080 is the middle.. Its also a R in its own right. So on a climb, if it seems to be topping and drifting down. Crossing below 0980 may be a good drop sign after. 1080 had been known for a while. Today's low at 0918 is fresh. Pa placed 1080 in the center. A PP point on the way it flowed. Long 1080 had been establish as a R
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #111,023
  • Aug 3, 2023 2:50pm Aug 3, 2023 2:50pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Today's low at 0918 is fresh. Pa placed 1080 in the center. A PP point on the way it flowed. Long 1080 had been establish as a R
It should be 0912
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #111,024
  • Aug 3, 2023 10:21pm Aug 3, 2023 10:21pm
8/4 Friday NFP trading levels

1.0990
1.0971
1.0959

1.0940 PP

1.0920
1.0908
1.0889

next to print 1.0971 or 1.0920
  • #111,025
  • Aug 4, 2023 3:55am Aug 4, 2023 3:55am
Hoping to close shorts at .0934 or as close as... before NFP, Still hsve ashort bias, but not as confident.
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #111,026
  • Aug 4, 2023 6:05am Aug 4, 2023 6:05am
Quoting axecap
Hoping to close shorts at .0934 or as close as... before NFP, Still hsve ashort bias, but not as confident.
I was thinking 0934 also. If it dont print 0931.8. That may be bullish some. I had hoped to short more pump. But pa didnt make 0999+
Time is getting short. I may not even get 0980
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #111,027
  • Aug 4, 2023 6:14am Aug 4, 2023 6:14am
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #111,028
  • Edited 7:17am Aug 4, 2023 7:01am | Edited 7:17am
As expected, after the better than expected ADP data, the market is set atm for a worse than expected NFP data (PA is currently under MAs on EURUSD)...

If PA on EURUSD is above 1.0951 at NFP time, the market will be set for a better than expected NFP data (PA above 5M-15M-30M MAs)...very unlikely will be a better than expected NFP data which have more often a very optimistic consensus...
I am who I am
  • #111,029
  • Aug 4, 2023 7:18am Aug 4, 2023 7:18am
I have a bearish bias. But July didnt take the close below 0942.3.. mpp at 1015. 1025 between 1.0942.3 and 1.1108.3. I see R at 0980 and 1044. If pa cant get back above 0980.. That's a hunting ground. Below 0942 is not bullish. Below those others is not bullish. The month was unable to seal the close. This quarter. this 1/2 year, 2023 is still open.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #111,030
  • Edited 7:31am Aug 4, 2023 7:21am | Edited 7:31am
current 1/4 1/2 2023 is fighting 0942.3 R
180/90 k probably
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #111,031
  • Aug 4, 2023 7:29am Aug 4, 2023 7:29am
.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #111,032
  • Aug 4, 2023 7:41am Aug 4, 2023 7:41am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote}With NFP tomorrow. It may rise to 9994/1044. MPP at 1015 R at 0980.. See if it bounces again maybe at 0931 later. Close wise for the week 0942 may be important. The Norm pattern may take it to 0995/99 but will likely not go more than a little above 1044 R. 1015 MPP is in that area. So it may be hard to reach 1044 again. To me 0980+ is extended, it may be quickly slapped down below 0980... later 0942 and so forth. The pattern set up below 0835..see earlier post. Before NFP it often pumps opposite of the...
If bulls cant take 0980. Pack up for Miami
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #111,033
  • Aug 4, 2023 7:42am Aug 4, 2023 7:42am
long...
  • #111,034
  • Aug 4, 2023 7:43am Aug 4, 2023 7:43am
Bulls are trying
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #111,035
  • Aug 4, 2023 7:49am Aug 4, 2023 7:49am
Quoting Boulder
long...
booked all longs,, try again....

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  • #111,036
  • Aug 4, 2023 7:52am Aug 4, 2023 7:52am
If today closes below 0980, long is probably a bad place. If pa retreats below 0942 now, long is probably a bad place. Norm can take pa to 0995+. But month pp is at 1015. The sister to 0980 is 1044. Thats my hunting range below 1044/+ a little slip/0995. I hope 0980 lets some rise continue. adr is 1011..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #111,037
  • Aug 4, 2023 7:52am Aug 4, 2023 7:52am
Quoting Boulder
8/4 Friday NFP trading levels 1.0990 1.0971 1.0959 1.0940 PP 1.0920 1.0908 1.0889 next to print 1.0971 or 1.0920
All R printed... next day range high 1.1008

8/4 Friday NFP trading levels

1.0990
1.0971
1.0959

1.0940 PP

1.0920
1.0908
1.0889
  • #111,038
  • Aug 4, 2023 7:54am Aug 4, 2023 7:54am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote}https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VXED2AVlbR0&t=43s {image}
Oh well Norm wants a beer.
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Yeah I should of taken it. I see my old Norm pattern. I'm not in any trade. Norm is well above the R at 0980. So Norm is against many things including trend. Norm is at 1.1000. So he is probably goin to fail. I put a short there just in case. ADR is at 0997, or 0871. 0997 is closer to Norm. Norm likes beer, so I'm in no position to argue. Because i have no position in this trade. It made it back to 0927 as expected. I reversed engineered off 0980. Not 1.10.. Doing it off 1.10 its about 1.0922. Pa low is 0919. 3 pips below the reversal. If Norm wants a beer, now would be a good time to order one. I dont have a position. Norm looks screwed. But I dont have a position. I can wait. Whether it happens or not. I got time. {quote}
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #111,039
  • Aug 4, 2023 7:55am Aug 4, 2023 7:55am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} booked all longs,, try again.... {image}
Out of my longs early..I will try longs again if this retraces back to 70s,,, ,,,
  • #111,040
  • Aug 4, 2023 7:57am Aug 4, 2023 7:57am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Out of my longs early..I will try longs again if this retraces back to 70s,,, ,,,
if bulls can hold 1.0985 at H1 close.. bulls take back H1...3 mins to go,,,
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