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GBP behavior 99.998 %

  • #1
  • First Post: May 28, 2007 2:36am May 28, 2007 2:36am
chivass88chi "maja" smallville-personal-laboratory
personal department of de Ja Vu engine
copy right code: de..javu...1441285j9u1lÄ9i717981169

\\\\\\\\\\*********************************************
*\\\\\\\\\\********************************************
T H E G B P / U S D B E H A V I O R O F
8 9 S M A C L O S E O N L Y
on hourly wave
*******************************************************
FX de Ja vu engine
research with

hourly data since month4 day30 / 2006
till 24 may 2007
with 9222 hourly candle data amount
on GBP/USD
I use the compared
data from some of european
dealer services

********************* the B I G result ***************

CLOSE above SMA BETWEEN 12 pip AND 321 PIP........ 93.7 %
CLOSE BELOW 89 SMA-close.......4303 times........ 46.6606 %
CLOSE ABOVE 89 SMA-close.......4919 times.......... 53.339 %
CLOSE LESS THAN 285 PIP below 89 SMA-C............... 100 %
CLOSE MORE THAN 285 PIP below 89 SMA-C................. 0 %
CLOSE more than 111 PIP ABOVE 89 SMA-Close ......... 10 %
CLOSE less then 100 PIP BELOW 89 SMA-Close .......... 90 %
CLOSE MORE THAN 313 PIP ABOVE 89 SMA -C ---ONCE ONLY
during the test

*************** end of the big result *****************

source code of VBA excel is used for data testing
if you want it.........
please make a asking
with ancient letter
for the complete software
for absolutely freeeeeeee..............................
with all species of Moving average

:-D

========================= here is the source code ==
========================= to proof it ==
========================= here is the source code ==
========================= please see the gif file ==
''''Private Sub CommandButton1_Click()
''''d = 0
''''c = 0
''''mark1 = TextBox1.Value
''''mark = mark1 / 10000
''''For Xx = 1 To 10000
''''Wawe = Cells(90 + Xx, 11).Value
''''If Wawe = "akhir" Then Exit For
''''c = c + 1
''''Next Xx
''''ProgressBar1.Value = 1
''''ProgressBar1.Min = 1
''''ProgressBar1.Max = c
''''ProgressBar1.Visible = True
''''prog = 1
''''For X = 1 To c
''''Wawe = Cells(90 + X, 11).Value
''''If Wawe > mark Then d = d + 1
''''ProgressBar1.Value = prog
''''prog = prog + 1
''''Next X
''''Label1.Caption = "close minus MA 89 > " & mark1 & "pip =" & d
''''Label2.Caption = "total data = " & c
''''Label3.Caption = (d / c) * 100 & " %"
''''End Sub
===============================end of source code
trading with artificial intelligence will be next
===============================end of source code
ask me for free
the historical data
when you need it
------------------
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: po-1.jpg Size: 101 KB
Attached File(s)
File Type: txt po-1 sample data history.txt   4 KB | 980 downloads
  • #2
  • Edited 4:28am May 28, 2007 4:15am | Edited 4:28am
That's pretty interesting. I allways wanted to see such data. Nice 1st post
  • #3
  • May 28, 2007 4:55am May 28, 2007 4:55am
Thank you Chivas,

How do you use this data in trading the Pound?
  • #4
  • Jul 26, 2007 9:08am Jul 26, 2007 9:08am
with this ??

Quoting chivas88chi
chivass88chi "maja" smallville-personal-laboratory
personal department of de Ja Vu engine
copy right code: de..javu...1441285j9u1lÄ9i717981169

\\\\\\\\\\*********************************************
*\\\\\\\\\\********************************************
T H E G B P / U S D B E H A V I O R O F
8 9 S M A C L O S E O N L Y
on hourly wave
*******************************************************
FX de Ja vu engine
research with

hourly data since month4 day30 / 2006
till 24 may 2007
with 9222 hourly candle data amount
on GBP/USD
I use the compared
data from some of european
dealer services

********************* the B I G result ***************

CLOSE above SMA BETWEEN 12 pip AND 321 PIP........ 93.7 %
CLOSE BELOW 89 SMA-close.......4303 times........ 46.6606 %
CLOSE ABOVE 89 SMA-close.......4919 times.......... 53.339 %
CLOSE LESS THAN 285 PIP below 89 SMA-C............... 100 %
CLOSE MORE THAN 285 PIP below 89 SMA-C................. 0 %
CLOSE more than 111 PIP ABOVE 89 SMA-Close ......... 10 %
CLOSE less then 100 PIP BELOW 89 SMA-Close .......... 90 %
CLOSE MORE THAN 313 PIP ABOVE 89 SMA -C ---ONCE ONLY
during the test

*************** end of the big result *****************

source code of VBA excel is used for data testing
if you want it.........
please make a asking
with ancient letter
for the complete software
for absolutely freeeeeeee..............................
with all species of Moving average

:-D

========================= here is the source code ==
========================= to proof it ==
========================= here is the source code ==
========================= please see the gif file ==
''''Private Sub CommandButton1_Click()
''''d = 0
''''c = 0
''''mark1 = TextBox1.Value
''''mark = mark1 / 10000
''''For Xx = 1 To 10000
''''Wawe = Cells(90 + Xx, 11).Value
''''If Wawe = "akhir" Then Exit For
''''c = c + 1
''''Next Xx
''''ProgressBar1.Value = 1
''''ProgressBar1.Min = 1
''''ProgressBar1.Max = c
''''ProgressBar1.Visible = True
''''prog = 1
''''For X = 1 To c
''''Wawe = Cells(90 + X, 11).Value
''''If Wawe > mark Then d = d + 1
''''ProgressBar1.Value = prog
''''prog = prog + 1
''''Next X
''''Label1.Caption = "close minus MA 89 > " & mark1 & "pip =" & d
''''Label2.Caption = "total data = " & c
''''Label3.Caption = (d / c) * 100 & " %"
''''End Sub
===============================end of source code
trading with artificial intelligence will be next
===============================end of source code
ask me for free
the historical data
when you need it
------------------
  • #5
  • Jul 26, 2007 9:44am Jul 26, 2007 9:44am
Dear All,

How to use these data in trading?
(As I am a newbie).

Thanks.
Living needs faith!
  • #6
  • Jul 26, 2007 9:49am Jul 26, 2007 9:49am
for any strategy
u can use this research
to complete your filter for your strategy



Quoting Faith
Dear All,

How to use these data in trading?
(As I am a newbie).

Thanks.
  • #7
  • Jul 27, 2007 6:48am Jul 27, 2007 6:48am
use as addition on chivas post at metatrader4 forum
please don't forget me
i am who make the fibo spin


Quoting chivas88chi
chivass88chi "maja" smallville-personal-laboratory
personal department of de Ja Vu engine
copy right code: de..javu...1441285j9u1lÄ9i717981169

\\\\\\\\\\*********************************************
*\\\\\\\\\\********************************************
T H E G B P / U S D B E H A V I O R O F
8 9 S M A C L O S E O N L Y
on hourly wave
*******************************************************
FX de Ja vu engine
research with

hourly data since month4 day30 / 2006
till 24 may 2007
with 9222 hourly candle data amount
on GBP/USD
I use the compared
data from some of european
dealer services

********************* the B I G result ***************

CLOSE above SMA BETWEEN 12 pip AND 321 PIP........ 93.7 %
CLOSE BELOW 89 SMA-close.......4303 times........ 46.6606 %
CLOSE ABOVE 89 SMA-close.......4919 times.......... 53.339 %
CLOSE LESS THAN 285 PIP below 89 SMA-C............... 100 %
CLOSE MORE THAN 285 PIP below 89 SMA-C................. 0 %
CLOSE more than 111 PIP ABOVE 89 SMA-Close ......... 10 %
CLOSE less then 100 PIP BELOW 89 SMA-Close .......... 90 %
CLOSE MORE THAN 313 PIP ABOVE 89 SMA -C ---ONCE ONLY
during the test

*************** end of the big result *****************

source code of VBA excel is used for data testing
if you want it.........
please make a asking
with ancient letter
for the complete software
for absolutely freeeeeeee..............................
with all species of Moving average

:-D

========================= here is the source code ==
========================= to proof it ==
========================= here is the source code ==
========================= please see the gif file ==
''''Private Sub CommandButton1_Click()
''''d = 0
''''c = 0
''''mark1 = TextBox1.Value
''''mark = mark1 / 10000
''''For Xx = 1 To 10000
''''Wawe = Cells(90 + Xx, 11).Value
''''If Wawe = "akhir" Then Exit For
''''c = c + 1
''''Next Xx
''''ProgressBar1.Value = 1
''''ProgressBar1.Min = 1
''''ProgressBar1.Max = c
''''ProgressBar1.Visible = True
''''prog = 1
''''For X = 1 To c
''''Wawe = Cells(90 + X, 11).Value
''''If Wawe > mark Then d = d + 1
''''ProgressBar1.Value = prog
''''prog = prog + 1
''''Next X
''''Label1.Caption = "close minus MA 89 > " & mark1 & "pip =" & d
''''Label2.Caption = "total data = " & c
''''Label3.Caption = (d / c) * 100 & " %"
''''End Sub
===============================end of source code
trading with artificial intelligence will be next
===============================end of source code
ask me for free
the historical data
when you need it
------------------
  • #8
  • Aug 3, 2007 9:34pm Aug 3, 2007 9:34pm
to complete this post plis cek out this link
http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=41467 beginner

Quoting chivas88chi
chivass88chi "maja" smallville-personal-laboratory
personal department of de Ja Vu engine
copy right code: de..javu...1441285j9u1lÄ9i717981169

\\\\\\\\\\*********************************************
*\\\\\\\\\\********************************************
T H E G B P / U S D B E H A V I O R O F
8 9 S M A C L O S E O N L Y
on hourly wave
*******************************************************
FX de Ja vu engine
research with

hourly data since month4 day30 / 2006
till 24 may 2007
with 9222 hourly candle data amount
on GBP/USD
I use the compared
data from some of european
dealer services

********************* the B I G result ***************

CLOSE above SMA BETWEEN 12 pip AND 321 PIP........ 93.7 %
CLOSE BELOW 89 SMA-close.......4303 times........ 46.6606 %
CLOSE ABOVE 89 SMA-close.......4919 times.......... 53.339 %
CLOSE LESS THAN 285 PIP below 89 SMA-C............... 100 %
CLOSE MORE THAN 285 PIP below 89 SMA-C................. 0 %
CLOSE more than 111 PIP ABOVE 89 SMA-Close ......... 10 %
CLOSE less then 100 PIP BELOW 89 SMA-Close .......... 90 %
CLOSE MORE THAN 313 PIP ABOVE 89 SMA -C ---ONCE ONLY
during the test

*************** end of the big result *****************

source code of VBA excel is used for data testing
if you want it.........
please make a asking
with ancient letter
for the complete software
for absolutely freeeeeeee..............................
with all species of Moving average

:-D

========================= here is the source code ==
========================= to proof it ==
========================= here is the source code ==
========================= please see the gif file ==
''''Private Sub CommandButton1_Click()
''''d = 0
''''c = 0
''''mark1 = TextBox1.Value
''''mark = mark1 / 10000
''''For Xx = 1 To 10000
''''Wawe = Cells(90 + Xx, 11).Value
''''If Wawe = "akhir" Then Exit For
''''c = c + 1
''''Next Xx
''''ProgressBar1.Value = 1
''''ProgressBar1.Min = 1
''''ProgressBar1.Max = c
''''ProgressBar1.Visible = True
''''prog = 1
''''For X = 1 To c
''''Wawe = Cells(90 + X, 11).Value
''''If Wawe > mark Then d = d + 1
''''ProgressBar1.Value = prog
''''prog = prog + 1
''''Next X
''''Label1.Caption = "close minus MA 89 > " & mark1 & "pip =" & d
''''Label2.Caption = "total data = " & c
''''Label3.Caption = (d / c) * 100 & " %"
''''End Sub
===============================end of source code
trading with artificial intelligence will be next
===============================end of source code
ask me for free
the historical data
when you need it
------------------
  • #9
  • Aug 4, 2007 1:38am Aug 4, 2007 1:38am
Trading should be simple, I feel lost now lol
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #10
  • Aug 6, 2007 1:05am Aug 6, 2007 1:05am
Quote
CLOSE more than 111 PIP ABOVE 89 SMA-Close ......... 10 %
is it result referring to the point from the close of the 1 hr bar to 89 SMA? i.e, 90 % of the close will be within 111 pips from 89 ema?


can you also post results for Eur/Usd?

Tks!
I'm just moving clouds today - tomorrow I'll try mountains.
  • #11
  • Aug 11, 2007 1:27am Aug 11, 2007 1:27am
---------nop...it could be...as u mean, + below the 89 ema(both with "or logic" probability is 90 % )
just use it as the filter of your strategy...okay
........................................................................
may be this can help you

for daily range expectation
http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=41467

for the GU behavior expectation
http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=31415

for simple and powerful strategy
http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=40019

about numbering signal
http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=33401



Quoting awsl
is it result referring to the point from the close of the 1 hr bar to 89 SMA? i.e, 90 % of the close will be within 111 pips from 89 ema?


can you also post results for Eur/Usd?

Tks!
  • #12
  • Aug 23, 2007 9:28am Aug 23, 2007 9:28am
i think chivas will post this...

the expectation daily range more than 53 pip for EU is 90%
the expectation daily range more than 73 pip for GU is 90%

cek this also
for daily range expectation
http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=41467

for the GU behavior expectation
http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=31415

for simple and powerful strategy
http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=40019

about numbering signal
http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=33401


Quoting chivas88chi
chivass88chi "maja" smallville-personal-laboratory
personal department of de Ja Vu engine
copy right code: de..javu...1441285j9u1lÄ9i717981169

\\\\\\\\\\*********************************************
*\\\\\\\\\\********************************************
T H E G B P / U S D B E H A V I O R O F
8 9 S M A C L O S E O N L Y
on hourly wave
*******************************************************
FX de Ja vu engine
research with

hourly data since month4 day30 / 2006
till 24 may 2007
with 9222 hourly candle data amount
on GBP/USD
I use the compared
data from some of european
dealer services

********************* the B I G result ***************

CLOSE above SMA BETWEEN 12 pip AND 321 PIP........ 93.7 %
CLOSE BELOW 89 SMA-close.......4303 times........ 46.6606 %
CLOSE ABOVE 89 SMA-close.......4919 times.......... 53.339 %
CLOSE LESS THAN 285 PIP below 89 SMA-C............... 100 %
CLOSE MORE THAN 285 PIP below 89 SMA-C................. 0 %
CLOSE more than 111 PIP ABOVE 89 SMA-Close ......... 10 %
CLOSE less then 100 PIP BELOW 89 SMA-Close .......... 90 %
CLOSE MORE THAN 313 PIP ABOVE 89 SMA -C ---ONCE ONLY
during the test

*************** end of the big result *****************

source code of VBA excel is used for data testing
if you want it.........
please make a asking
with ancient letter
for the complete software
for absolutely freeeeeeee..............................
with all species of Moving average

:-D

========================= here is the source code ==
========================= to proof it ==
========================= here is the source code ==
========================= please see the gif file ==
''''Private Sub CommandButton1_Click()
''''d = 0
''''c = 0
''''mark1 = TextBox1.Value
''''mark = mark1 / 10000
''''For Xx = 1 To 10000
''''Wawe = Cells(90 + Xx, 11).Value
''''If Wawe = "akhir" Then Exit For
''''c = c + 1
''''Next Xx
''''ProgressBar1.Value = 1
''''ProgressBar1.Min = 1
''''ProgressBar1.Max = c
''''ProgressBar1.Visible = True
''''prog = 1
''''For X = 1 To c
''''Wawe = Cells(90 + X, 11).Value
''''If Wawe > mark Then d = d + 1
''''ProgressBar1.Value = prog
''''prog = prog + 1
''''Next X
''''Label1.Caption = "close minus MA 89 > " & mark1 & "pip =" & d
''''Label2.Caption = "total data = " & c
''''Label3.Caption = (d / c) * 100 & " %"
''''End Sub
===============================end of source code
trading with artificial intelligence will be next
===============================end of source code
ask me for free
the historical data
when you need it
------------------
  • #13
  • Aug 24, 2007 1:40pm Aug 24, 2007 1:40pm
thx chivas ("regal").....

but why 89 sma?
100 sma is more favorite than 89 sma....

so.. what is the result if you are using 100 sma?

thx in advanve....
"Live is for living not for working"
  • #14
  • Aug 26, 2007 6:39pm Aug 26, 2007 6:39pm
as soon as possible

Quoting pips_warrior
thx chivas ("regal").....

but why 89 sma?
100 sma is more favorite than 89 sma....

so.. what is the result if you are using 100 sma?

thx in advanve....
  • #15
  • Aug 26, 2007 7:00pm Aug 26, 2007 7:00pm
You post this in the BEGINNERS FORUM?????


thanks for nothing.
  • #16
  • Oct 8, 2007 9:48am Oct 8, 2007 9:48am
use the last as the filter

based on this thread
i've backtest an strategy with 90% modelling quality
small drawdown
tight SL and larger TP
small consecutive loss
bigger consecutive win

to completed this thread
lets do further...!

EA from the beginning
by chivas88chi


dedicated to
Prof. DR Nadjadji Anwar MSc, Phd
surabaya institute of technology
bandung institute of technology
angel for true love



first: sorry about my english
second:..............this thread is..................

EA could mean a strategy tester
if applied in more than 5 minutes TF

suitable for:
newbie
beginner
programmer kiddie
very beginner
most newest of the newbies
someone who has good perceptual intelligence and bad analytical intelligence
like me......

first we must know the categorize of EA
in my version
EA is categorized as:


1. EA that use the probability
EA which is
believe that there are good probabilty of
a price breaktru

for example:

pivot EA

or something like this:

stastician have a good xx % probability
that the last high substract by today low
more than yy pips
for the last ten years in a pair

mostly doesn't use "time series forecast"
this EA use formula with variabel of previous data
like last hi, last lo etc

2. EA full indy , that use the indicator as executor
open or close depend on the signal
of the indicator
mostly use trailing stop and not prefer to use TP


3. EA that that use tight rule of TP and SL and
use indicator only to determine the direction of the chart
*********we will learn about this EA first*******************



4. EA that has learn ability / artificial inteligence EA, i call it as AI-EA, we will learn about this, after that.. :-)
the input is "output + input"
the output is multi layer weight matrix
process "input pattern" with "multi layer weight matrix = matrix" to produce "output pattern"

input pattern could be combination of indicator pattern, formula and previous price/bar/candle parameter/pattern
output pattern could be amount of reversal, produce about when the reversal happened
in the future within certain period,

this artificial inteligence EA
has an ability to show us when and how many reversal
that will happen during X period in the future

use some genetic algorithm coding
for example backpropagation, scale conjugate, fuzzy, or other "supervised neural network",

this EA choose their own combination of a few indicator and its period/parameter
and do some systematical trial and error to make the best combination
of formula or indy include its parameter that represent more then 80% accuracy of the price movement

the final output of the algoritm is multi matrix
it could be fundamental matrix or technical matrix

to train of this EA need a huge memory and more than ten years data, why?
example: 500 week to the past is needed to train the AI-EA for making 65 week ahead forecasting
:-( i don;t thing that's a cheap stuff



now first, i will show u how to make EA with certain TP
and SL and how to optimize them with
the risk management coding

cek this link out http://www.
to see the strategy tester report about the EA that we will build together

this EA on five minutes time frame
use 20 pips SL and 30 pips TP

about the ordersend syntax
cek out from the other article
its very simple

btw i will show yu about it after we learn about

CYCLE / LOOP AND CONDITIONAL CODING

this the most important thing
on my point of view
to build an EA


okay ,..............1...........
when u build an EA u have to check out
every variabel u have

make sure that every variable produce
a correct value
as u want


HOW TO DO THAT ???

u can use ---- PRINT ----- function
and check out your every output variable at the ---- JOURNAL tabs ------
on the mt4 strategy tester "dialog box"
lets see the visualization of your mt4 platform

see attached gif pic01


next......................2



//------------------coding start here copy and paste it
int start()
{
static int x;
x=1981;
Print(TimeDay(Time[0]));
Print(TimeDay(Time[1]));
Print(x," ini adalah statis variabel");

}
//-----------------coding ended here


at mq editor save as to
this directory


next....................3


C:\Program Files\MetaTrader - North Finance\experts
named it "learn1"
then compile it on the the mq editor with compile button

next..................4

open your "strategy tester" dialog box
at the mt4 window

set as the pic02 attached


next..................5


choose the "learn1" in the expert advisor menu
choose any pair
use short period less than 2 day on the date menu
check the recalculation menu only
use M1 TF

next..................6


now push the start button
wait about at least 1 minutes


next..................7


and click your "journal tab"
at the bottom of your "strategy tester" dialog box
check the pic03 attached


next.................8


watch every text or value that appear on this tab!


next.................9


i hope u understand how the mq language work
on the "standart chart enumeration"


next...............10


choose different on the model menu ( there are 3 option)
u will get different result of the "standart chart enumeration"
on the journal tabs


next..............11


now u can evaluate the next coding easily
and see more clear about the "standart chart scanning by the mq coding"
see the difference with the visual basic ? or C language ??



//------------------coding start here
int start()
{


if (TimeDay(Time[0])!=TimeDay(Time[1]))//jika data waktu bar now tidak sama dengan data sesudahnya maka.........
// if the enumeration find "date difference" between current bar and next bar
{
x=x+1;

if(x>25)
{
x=25;
}

// Print("cuk gak enak cuk dadi wong goblok"," yeahh");
Print(TimeDay(Time[0]));
Print(TimeDay(Time[1]));
// Print("");
Print(x," ini adalah statis variabel");

}

}
//-----------------coding ended here



see you next time
with the other real prove!

last thread:
may be this can help you

for daily range expectation
http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=41467

for the GU behavior expectation
http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=31415

for simple and powerful strategy
http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=40019

about numbering signal
http://forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=33401
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: pic01.gif Size: 29 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: pic02.jpg Size: 57 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: pic03.jpg Size: 89 KB
  • #17
  • Oct 8, 2007 10:09am Oct 8, 2007 10:09am
sorry next i'll make it easier for all of forexier okay !


Quoting saint_berzer
You post this in the BEGINNERS FORUM?????


thanks for nothing.
  • #18
  • Last Post: Oct 8, 2007 10:26am Oct 8, 2007 10:26am
I am going to move this to the Metatrader forum, because you are now showing us some MQ4. Don't let the newbies with ungrateful attitudes get you down. LOL
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