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The Swamp

  • #110,861
  • Jul 31, 2023 11:44am Jul 31, 2023 11:44am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Residual 1004 may develop resistance. LC being below it.. That's only 13 pips of elbow room. That is very tight. I figure 1004 will develop into R. But that 13 pip gap may be too tight. If its R.. PA should drop again to a new low today. If it get back below 0991 I assume it will make a LL if unable to take 1004 again {image}
Need the residual to become R. Last week closed above 1004, but below 1044
before after..
Since its month end, keep an open mind about -0942. Even 7 hours after market closes. During the Asian session.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,862
  • Jul 31, 2023 12:02pm Jul 31, 2023 12:02pm
Back to the farm
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,863
  • Jul 31, 2023 12:18pm Jul 31, 2023 12:18pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} who is going to give up first? M15 bulls at 1.1005 or H1 bears at 1.1040???? I still hold the shorts,,, saw two round $2000 profit I have not booked,,
Bears took over M15, reversed the trend,,
  • #110,864
  • Jul 31, 2023 3:24pm Jul 31, 2023 3:24pm
Hi Boulder, what source do you use for the option expire dates? The image you uploaded is easy to read and these have been helping me out lately. Thanks!

Quoting Boulder
bil option for the week,, {image}
  • #110,865
  • Jul 31, 2023 8:56pm Jul 31, 2023 8:56pm
Quoting gatorinla
Normal didnt work on the kiwi today + the last h closed above .6218. It did run past adr. My stops were not hit. I will close it when I can. With some money or stops will get it.. I dont like it closed above 6218.. I didnt want it to become support. Its best to look for a out.
i closed the kiwi.. I put another pending short at 0.6222. stop at 6230. Some R at 6218. I hope for a poke to 6222. followed by a quick drop.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,866
  • Jul 31, 2023 9:22pm Jul 31, 2023 9:22pm
8/1 trading levels

1.1064
1.1043
1.1030

1.1010 PP

1.0989
1.0976
1.0956

next to print 1.0976 or 1.1010
  • #110,867
  • Jul 31, 2023 9:39pm Jul 31, 2023 9:39pm
Quoting Boulder
8/1 trading levels 1.1064 1.1043 1.1030 1.1010 PP 1.0989 1.0976 1.0956 next to print 1.0976 or 1.1010
I closed some with aud news coming.
Pending short 1025.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,868
  • Aug 1, 2023 3:39am Aug 1, 2023 3:39am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I closed some with aud news coming. Pending short 1025.
It dropped deeper. Closing was the wrong decision. I left the pending. GBP 2862 another that may not get hit. But.. I did think the eu had a decent chance at 1025 again at the time, sometime before 9am est. I will short there if possible eu 1025+
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,869
  • Aug 1, 2023 3:49am Aug 1, 2023 3:49am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It dropped deeper. Closing was the wrong decision. I left the pending. GBP 2862 another that may not get hit. But.. I did think the eu had a decent chance at 1025 again at the time, sometime before 9am est. I will short there if possible eu 1025+ {image}
I am bearish biased for 1.0942. Its possible within adr to reach 1025, and hit 0947 adr today. That's close to 0942. since I closed. That's what I will do. If it runs to 1025, it would probably start the run before 8am est for the run at options. See option chart.
If it starts that run. GBP 2862 may be hit too.
I closed eu earlier in the lower 098x area. I missed out on about 13 pips atm. Bird in hand. 1025 made me be cautious. Those options are a little higher. I sold yesterday my bulk at 1035. I wasn't riding it back to 1035 for a goose egg. 1044 is a decent R, but allow some for slip in that zone.
I day close today below 1044 1004 0942 is bearish still to me. But if above 0942 its still a place pa could bounce.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,870
  • Aug 1, 2023 3:52am Aug 1, 2023 3:52am
Gator, have you got .0970 as strong resistance?
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #110,871
  • Aug 1, 2023 4:00am Aug 1, 2023 4:00am
Inserted Video

Its 2am somewhere
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,872
  • Aug 1, 2023 4:14am Aug 1, 2023 4:14am
Quoting axecap
Gator, have you got .0970 as strong resistance?
If you mean support, No. It can drop to 0942 and more. Some s3 day at 1056. But i already closed. I dont have the same view as someone holding the short. My bias is bearish. I said i closed too early. adr is about 78 pips.. If pa dont go to 1025. It places pa with a 092x handle (at adr). If it went to 1025 first. The average handle is closer to 0947. 096x is about 1/2 adr. I start to weigh the attraction to 1025 average to the adr 092x.. They are both average. If it goes to 1025 first, it raises 102x to 104x.
Earlier I had the bias for 0942, but if pa went to 1025 first. Adr could be 0947. 1/2 adr from that perspective is in the 098x area. Where i closed bulk.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,873
  • Aug 1, 2023 4:15am Aug 1, 2023 4:15am
Quoting gatorinla
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BzyQ6SWVaxU Its 2am somewhere
radar love..
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #110,874
  • Aug 1, 2023 4:16am Aug 1, 2023 4:16am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If mean support, No. It can drop to 0942 and more. Some s3 day at 1056. But i already closed. I dont have the same view as someone holding the short. My bias is bearish. I said i closed to early. adr is about 78 pips.. If pa dont go to 1025. It places pa with a 092x handle (at adr). If it went to 1025 first. The average handle is closer to 0947. 096x is about 1/2 adr. I start to weigh the attraction to 1025 average to the adr 092x.. They are both average. If it goes to 1025 first, it raises 102x to 104x.
yep meant support...broken now..just started tolook strong and i wondered why
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #110,875
  • Aug 1, 2023 4:19am Aug 1, 2023 4:19am
[quote=gatorinla;14518829]{quote} If mean support, No. It can drop to 0942 and more.
Have TP's sitting at .0944
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #110,876
  • Aug 1, 2023 4:25am Aug 1, 2023 4:25am
you missed a great ride on NU, Im still in to .6140 and got a scalp out of AU
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #110,877
  • Aug 1, 2023 4:26am Aug 1, 2023 4:26am
[quote=axecap;14518837]
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If mean support, No. It can drop to 0942 and more. Have TP's sitting at .0944
Mine were there also. I will regret not holding if it goes there first. I just took another road. I saw a chance it may run to 1025. No right or wrong. I just didnt want to give back all yesterday's work. If it went to 1025. Plus options could take it all back. I opted for the "bird in hand" and another bite at the apple. If it came to 1025/44
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,878
  • Aug 1, 2023 4:28am Aug 1, 2023 4:28am
Quoting axecap
you missed a great ride on NU, Im still in to .6140 and got a scalp out of AU
Yeah i had a great level.. it was like eu 1044
But its closer to adr atm... And it can run back to 0.6222 today. The R 6218... Bulls need closes above it.. I side with bears there.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,879
  • Aug 1, 2023 4:32am Aug 1, 2023 4:32am
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,880
  • Aug 1, 2023 4:33am Aug 1, 2023 4:33am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i closed the kiwi.. I put another pending short at 0.6222. stop at 6230. Some R at 6218. I hope for a poke to 6222. followed by a quick drop.
Kiwi; Still valid
When price gets close to week month or day average. Its time to think about closing. You had a near perfect entry with a near full average of profit.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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