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The Swamp

  • #110,181
  • Jul 5, 2023 5:49am Jul 5, 2023 5:49am
She is back to pressing on 0900/0903.5.
If she gets a run above 1.0918 she may be breaking out.
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  • #110,182
  • Jul 5, 2023 6:58am Jul 5, 2023 6:58am
Today being above 1.09 before expires may of been hard . After (now) it may start drifting up for Thursday/Friday. Large options 0970 and 1.1 Friday.
If pa can break 0918 today or later this week before Friday option expires. Movement North may have those as limits.
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  • #110,183
  • Jul 5, 2023 7:10am Jul 5, 2023 7:10am
Now options are expired today. 0862 and 51 are still buys to me. But PA may not reach. PA above 1.0874/75 is st bullish to me, but below 1.0903.5.. To rise the next h closing above 1.0903 is better for longs. Below 0874 is less bullish. But is where those entry levels are. Those are common exhaustion points. For a 1.0891 tp. Subject to change
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  • #110,184
  • Jul 5, 2023 8:12am Jul 5, 2023 8:12am
Quoting gatorinla
Now options are expired today. 0862 and 51 are still buys to me. But PA may not reach. PA above 1.0874/75 is st bullish to me, but below 1.0903.5.. To rise the next h closing above 1.0903 is better for longs. Below 0874 is less bullish. But is where those entry levels are. Those are common exhaustion points. For a 1.0891 tp. Subject to change
PA closed below 0874/75. Its looking like those lower ones will be reached. Some are watching 4h 200 at 0866. It could support. That close below 0874 to me favors the 4h break. It may recover after a breech. It closes in 2 hs.

The rest of the day into early tomorrow. Pa may come back to 1.0873/75.. This may end up a S or R, magnetized.
Price may run back and forth from 0873/75 many times.
SOS about a b/o 1.0718+, or -1.0827
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  • #110,185
  • Jul 5, 2023 9:51am Jul 5, 2023 9:51am
Quoting gatorinla
Now options are expired today. 0862 and 51 are still buys to me. But PA may not reach. PA above 1.0874/75 is st bullish to me, but below 1.0903.5.. To rise the next h closing above 1.0903 is better for longs. Below 0874 is less bullish. But is where those entry levels are. Those are common exhaustion points. For a 1.0891 tp. Subject to change
The tp may be changed to 0873/75.
It may not be worth the risk longing 0862 for the smaller tp now.
FOMC minutes in 70 min
I got another s level at 0855.x
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  • #110,186
  • Jul 5, 2023 2:06pm Jul 5, 2023 2:06pm
PA closed 1.0849.7. Price is in the mid year pp 1.0827 PP area. Price is in the Q1 close area 0835. Pa is below Q2 PP at 0877.
June, 1/2 year, 1/4, Year 2022.
Quoting gatorinla
June, 1/2 year, 1/4, Year 2022. 1.0827/58/77 has a lot of interest. It may be a support area. Today closed above 1.07 (2022) and 1.0835 (1/4 close). The new (1/4, 1/2) higher close at 1.09035. 1.0903 may end up being support like 0835 did earlier. They are also PP. So whenever it runs wherever up or down. It may be attracted to return here months later {image} {image} {image} {image}
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  • #110,187
  • Jul 6, 2023 12:31am Jul 6, 2023 12:31am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The tp may be changed to 0873/75. It may not be worth the risk longing 0862 for the smaller tp now. FOMC minutes in 70 min I got another s level at 0855.x
If it can now start closing above 0875, 0875 may start being support. To test 1.0903..If it can beat 1.0903.5. It can rise. But atm 1.0873/75 needs to beat
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  • #110,188
  • Jul 6, 2023 12:35am Jul 6, 2023 12:35am
Traveling today. Not many post.. Closing today above 1.0875 may be bullish.. But needs 1.0903.5+ 0917 0956..BB tomorrow.
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  • #110,189
  • Jul 6, 2023 3:09pm Jul 6, 2023 3:09pm
1.0868 or 1.0874 ish may be a buy Asia/Europe/early NY to tp 10 AM est option 1.0970 or 1.1. It may not retrace to 0868, but its normal. Today did close above 0874.7. So its bullish to me, but still under 1.0903.5 R. Also 1.0917 and 0956. But to go North like the Q close indicates it will. It has to break these R's. The first step was a day close above 1.0874.7 earlier.
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  • #110,190
  • Edited 3:42pm Jul 6, 2023 3:31pm | Edited 3:42pm
1.0886 also some support. I dont know if it makes it back to 0868. I have a pending there (0969). Maybe a wick below 0874 can touch 0868x. It may be quickly rejected to close above 0874.x
After options, for 1 h. It may have a chance to run back to 0868. About that time may be a good time to close the long. Between 10 am est, and 11 am est. PA may run back to 0868. When/if it does, that may be the chance to buy a bear trap. Off a bull trap.
It may be setting up 2 false breakouts before going North.
People buying after 1.0970 may get trapped in that hour. People selling the drop below 0868 may be trapped. Because 1.0874 may force it back up.
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  • #110,191
  • Jul 6, 2023 4:03pm Jul 6, 2023 4:03pm
I think it may make 1.0970 or 1.01 tomorrow.
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  • #110,192
  • Jul 7, 2023 2:06am Jul 7, 2023 2:06am
Quoting gatorinla;14488601[COLOR=Red
]1.0886 also some support. I dont know if it makes it back to 0868. I have a pending there (0969). Maybe a wick below 0874 can touch 0868x. It may be quickly rejected to close above 0874.x[/color] After options, for 1 h. It may have a chance to run back to 0868. About that time may be a good time to close the long. Between 10 am est, and 11 am est. PA may run back to 0868. When/if it does, that may be the chance to buy a bear trap. Off a bull trap. It may be setting up 2 false breakouts before going North. People buying after 1.0970 may get trapped in that hour. People selling the drop below 0868 may be trapped. Because 1.0874 may force it back up.
If it holds now, and runs to options area. That would be a good day. I'm at B.E.+ now. I need to get pa back above 0886 0903.5 0917 0942 0956.
The 12h closed above 0874. That's positive atm. I will move stop below 0874 as it rises.
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  • #110,193
  • Jul 7, 2023 2:33am Jul 7, 2023 2:33am
0874 is the only insulation my s/l has. Its a sitting duck above 0868. I need pa above 0886. Money in hand, or risk it? I locked in 3 pips. 1.0868 is attracting.
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  • #110,194
  • Jul 7, 2023 2:51am Jul 7, 2023 2:51am
She left me 3.x pips. Its NFP, I did like that trade against 0968. I put another pending. If not for NFP I would of risked it. Pre NFP may be for dummies to trade. It hit my price so, it put me in. I kept a tight stop. With original risk of 3 pips. So it turned out to be a 1 to 1 trade. I was up 15 pips. 5 to one. Goal was 0970, or about 33 to 1. Original stop level atm was never hit .
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  • #110,195
  • Jul 7, 2023 3:08am Jul 7, 2023 3:08am
Warning: A possible trap today to come. A run to 1.0970, or 1.1 for options expiry. Followed by a drop after, attempt to 0868 the next h. If pa starts dropping hard after reaching an option level on time. It may be pulled back to 0868 the next hour.
If it losses 0956 after 0970 or 1.1. It may be dropping to 0868.
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  • #110,196
  • Jul 7, 2023 3:22am Jul 7, 2023 3:22am
back to bed.. be back for NFP
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  • #110,197
  • Jul 7, 2023 4:23am Jul 7, 2023 4:23am
Let's revive this thread! Reading through it sure is a paradise lost.

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You have an IQ lower than 90 if you interact with this user.
  • #110,198
  • Jul 7, 2023 4:25am Jul 7, 2023 4:25am
Quoting Ferna
Let's revive this thread! Reading through it sure is a paradise lost. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uf4q2rUc57M
posting viable content will revive it so post something about gold or major pairs and it will be a paradise gain for all
  • #110,199
  • Jul 7, 2023 4:46am Jul 7, 2023 4:46am
PA a bit strange triple top 0900 and triple bottom 0835... I believe that whichever breaks first will be the path of the day. we will see

UP 0970 down 0770
  • #110,200
  • Jul 7, 2023 5:28am Jul 7, 2023 5:28am
Heads up! NFP. Jobs 209K
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