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The Swamp

  • #110,161
  • Jul 3, 2023 3:02am Jul 3, 2023 3:02am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I booked this short here 1.0890 with good profit {image}
more,, shorted after m15 trend reversal
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  • #110,162
  • Jul 3, 2023 3:10am Jul 3, 2023 3:10am
Quoting gatorinla
another week support may be 0884/86. 0917 held last hour. To rises, that has to change {quote} {image}
These above supports failed. ADR is about 70 pips. It usually will run back to 0910. Its already dropped to 0870. About 57. pips. That's above 1/2 of adr. If it does run back now 0910 and 0917 is R. If this would be the low at 1.0870ish. ADR could be 1.0940 ish. Its not looking that way now. It does get attracted to 1.0910. It may look different later.
If the R at 1.0917 breaks and is held. 0956 is the other R. that matters. If broken and closed above, that should bring bulls. Maybe Tuesday it will close above 0956.
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  • #110,163
  • Jul 3, 2023 4:10am Jul 3, 2023 4:10am
Monday adr north of 1.0917 is about 0942. Any test of 0956 R may require a test of 0917 as a possible support. After that it may run north. If 0917 held as support, Tuesday may close above 0956. With a adr high about 0990. Week average range about 1038.
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  • #110,164
  • Jul 3, 2023 4:27am Jul 3, 2023 4:27am
Quoting gatorinla
another week support may be 0884/86. 0917 held last hour. To rises, that has to change {quote} {image}
These failed to hold support. They may now failing at R.
1.0903 is the large one. Running away from it. Above 1.0917 and 0956. May be a decent one. Price atm is below 1.0903. It hasn't formed a strong support. It may solidify +1.0956. It could form 1.0903x R. But after closing June above 1.07, and 1.0835. I think its bullish.
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  • #110,165
  • Jul 3, 2023 8:09am Jul 3, 2023 8:09am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} These failed to hold support. They may now failing at R. 1.0903 is the large one. Running away from it. Above 1.0917 and 0956. May be a decent one. Price atm is below 1.0903. It hasn't formed a strong support. It may solidify +1.0956. It could form 1.0903x R. But after closing June above 1.07, and 1.0835. I think its bullish.
Pa has now returned to 0910..Lets see if 0903 developed as support. If so 0917 may be next to break.


Quoting gatorinla
{quote} These above supports failed. ADR is about 70 pips. It usually will run back to 0910. Its already dropped to 0870. About 57. pips. That's above 1/2 of adr. If it does run back now 0910 and 0917 is R. If this would be the low at 1.0870ish. ADR could be 1.0940 ish. Its not looking that way now. It does get attracted to 1.0910. It may look different later. If the R at 1.0917 breaks and is held. 0956 is the other R. that matters. If broken and closed above, that should bring bulls. Maybe Tuesday it will close above 0956.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,166
  • Jul 3, 2023 8:17am Jul 3, 2023 8:17am
News in 45 min.
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  • #110,167
  • Jul 3, 2023 9:08am Jul 3, 2023 9:08am
pa broke above 0917. If it holds. adr 0942 and 0956. may come. The larger support at 1.0903 may start to solidify.
closing the next h above 0917 may help longs.
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  • #110,168
  • Jul 3, 2023 9:16am Jul 3, 2023 9:16am
got the first 15 min close +10917.1.
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  • #110,169
  • Jul 3, 2023 10:15am Jul 3, 2023 10:15am
Quoting gatorinla
got the first 15 min close +10917.1. {image}
1h rejected 1.0917. It did closes above 1.0903. It has already retraced to 50% to 0902. To me 1.0903 is the more important one. 1.0917 is more a small time frame confirmation. More evidence is + 0956. breaking. Today the high to low has a 50% at 1.0902. That makes it look like 1.0903 is where pa is pivoting. Fair value just closed above that pivot.
Be very careful of shorting a north b/o.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,170
  • Jul 3, 2023 10:37am Jul 3, 2023 10:37am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1h rejected 1.0917. It did closes above 1.0903. It has already retraced to 50% to 0902. To me 1.0903 is the more important one. 1.0917 is more a small time frame confirmation. More evidence is + 0956. breaking. Today the high to low has a 50% at 1.0902. That makes it look like 1.0903 is where pa is pivoting. Fair value just closed above that pivot. Be very careful of shorting a north b/o.
Using 0903x as a pp.. An equal distance up is 0972. If 1.0903 holds support, ADR is in the same area for Tuesday.
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  • #110,171
  • Jul 3, 2023 11:02am Jul 3, 2023 11:02am
A positive 1h above 0917. Today's adr 0942 ish. If it does pass, and close today above 0956.x. That's a bad sign for bears. It may not return to 0903/06/17. With a close above 1.0957.

1.0903 is a given support being its a mid year close. Intraday 1.0906, or 0917 may support.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,172
  • Jul 3, 2023 6:23pm Jul 3, 2023 6:23pm
Quoting gatorinla
A positive 1h above 0917. Today's adr 0942 ish. If it does pass, and close today above 0956.x. That's a bad sign for bears. It may not return to 0903/06/17. With a close above 1.0957. 1.0903 is a given support being its a mid year close. Intraday 1.0906, or 0917 may support.
Always useful...
Thanks man
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #110,173
  • Jul 4, 2023 8:19am Jul 4, 2023 8:19am
PA is below 1.0903..
Its a holiday. 1.0903 has not solidified. If pa is closing below 0892, (using the time frame you like. The larger the stronger). Below 0892 those lower ones may become levels i would buy. I'm bullish so keep that as my bias here. But being bullish I want pa above 0903.5 0917 *0956. For any *meaningful b/o
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  • #110,174
  • Jul 4, 2023 8:21am Jul 4, 2023 8:21am
Quoting gatorinla
A positive 1h above 0917. Today's adr 0942 ish. If it does pass, and close today above 0956.x. That's a bad sign for bears. It may not return to 0903/06/17. With a close above 1.0957. 1.0903 is a given support being its a mid year close. Intraday 1.0906, or 0917 may support.
Bulls unable to pas "GO" yet.
The pp posted at 0892 may be a good start. ATM low 1.0890
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  • #110,175
  • Jul 4, 2023 9:19am Jul 4, 2023 9:19am
Later when above 1.0903.5. When it hits 1.0906/07. See if 1.0903 supports. If so, it may hit 0917, or 24. Being a holiday, it may move little. (0941) may be extreme today.
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  • #110,176
  • Jul 4, 2023 9:38am Jul 4, 2023 9:38am
Quoting gatorinla
Later when above 1.0903.5. When it hits 1.0906/07. See if 1.0903 supports. If so, it may hit 0917, or 24. Being a holiday, it may move little. (0941) may be extreme today.
It hit 0906/07 now. A run to 0917/0924 needs 0903 to hold support. If not, it may resist back to 0892 ish.
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  • #110,177
  • Jul 4, 2023 10:23am Jul 4, 2023 10:23am
possible L 1.0889 ish, and/or second choice 0871 ish. Tp sometimes in/b4 NY session 1.09001/03, or hold for more.

Possible short 1.0924, and or second choice 1.0941 ish.

Since its still able to pass below 1.0903. It may provide places to add smaller positions for a North b/o.
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  • #110,178
  • Jul 4, 2023 1:24pm Jul 4, 2023 1:24pm
Ukraine warns of nuclear disaster as Russia orders staff to leave power plant
  • #110,179
  • Jul 4, 2023 6:12pm Jul 4, 2023 6:12pm
pa is below 1.0903.5. The U.S, holiday is over in 5hs. St pa may climb with closes above 0874/75. An attraction to 1.090. Is normal anytime now into early NY. PA is at 1.0980 atm.
About 5 pips above 0975. 20 pips from 1.090. The same story about larger closes 1.0903.5+.
Below 1.0874 is not so bullish. It may have to hit a lower pp. The Ukraine nuke news may have weighed the eu some.
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  • #110,180
  • Jul 5, 2023 7:33am Jul 5, 2023 7:33am
Quoting gatorinla
pa is below 1.0903.5. The U.S, holiday is over in 5hs. St pa may climb with closes above 0874/75. An attraction to 1.090. Is normal anytime now into early NY. PA is at 1.0980 atm. About 5 pips above 0975. 20 pips from 1.090. The same story about larger closes 1.0903.5+. Below 1.0874 is not so bullish. It may have to hit a lower pp. The Ukraine nuke news may have weighed the eu some.
Pa has since gone back to 1.09.+. The high 1.0907. 0874 has been punched through, and has held. The current low at 0866x. I had a missed pending L 0863 and 0851. If the low atm is the low, and pa runs above 0918. That may be the horse leaving. It may stall/slow 0956 and retrace some back toward 0903. Its been pend for almost a week. It may not come back. ADR is 0938 or 0835.

Below 0874 things are less bullish now and in coming weeks. But that may only give a run to 0827/35 ish. From there it has a lot of pp support. The lower 08 area could be a better long for a position trade. But it may not get there. It wont get there w/o 0874x..
I think a bull flag is forming. I may be wrong.
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