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The Swamp

  • #110,141
  • Jun 30, 2023 9:11am Jun 30, 2023 9:11am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} lets see we can V shape return for month end rebalancing...
Ready for the ride?
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,142
  • Jun 30, 2023 9:13am Jun 30, 2023 9:13am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I had $1000 profit when it went down to 1.0897 I didn't take... now in DD,,,... greed got killed..
You need to give q bounces more respect. They can ADR X 2 or 3 in a day. Plus resume up trend. Stopping at 0835 was a clue on major support.. Not stopping at 0917 R is bulls. 1.0956+ is a stab in the heart.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,143
  • Jun 30, 2023 9:16am Jun 30, 2023 9:16am
I added 1.0925... both stop loss 1.0945
  • #110,144
  • Jun 30, 2023 9:22am Jun 30, 2023 9:22am
If looking to get in... 1.0917/18 is the place on a later retrace.. That may be all she gives back, if she does.
Shorts are in a trap
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,145
  • Jun 30, 2023 9:28am Jun 30, 2023 9:28am
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,146
  • Jun 30, 2023 9:34am Jun 30, 2023 9:34am
1.0818.6+ spread... Luck may stop it there or 0917. For little drawdown.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,147
  • Jun 30, 2023 9:36am Jun 30, 2023 9:36am
She is such a tease..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,148
  • Jun 30, 2023 9:44am Jun 30, 2023 9:44am
If in the game and long. You want the next h above 0917.. If short, you dont want that.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,149
  • Jun 30, 2023 10:10am Jun 30, 2023 10:10am
Quoting gatorinla
If in the game and long. You want the next h above 0917.. If short, you dont want that. {image}
No close above 0917 yet. 1.0910 may support or resist. The same with 1.0917. If your long you want 0917+ closes.. If short, you want to remain below 0910 and closing below. L-fix is above 1.0835. The L-Fix fair value this q close is above 1.0835.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,150
  • Jun 30, 2023 10:45am Jun 30, 2023 10:45am
Quoting Boulder
I added 1.0925... both stop loss 1.0945
I flat 2nd short here 1.0916.. still have 1.0908 short..either stop out or TP..
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  • #110,151
  • Jun 30, 2023 10:52am Jun 30, 2023 10:52am
Nothing else to do.. but wait... meantime ....enjoy the music,,,


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  • #110,152
  • Jun 30, 2023 11:01am Jun 30, 2023 11:01am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} No close above 0917 yet. 1.0910 may support or resist. The same with 1.0917. If your long you want 0917+ closes.. If short, you want to remain below 0910 and closing below. L-fix is above 1.0835. The L-Fix fair value this q close is above 1.0835.
A close above 0917 now.. Lets see..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,153
  • Jun 30, 2023 11:19am Jun 30, 2023 11:19am
Quoting Boulder
Nothing else to do.. but wait... meantime ....enjoy the music,,, https://youtu.be/4gFTcjAXEFg?t=2
What's for breakfast?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,154
  • Jun 30, 2023 2:32pm Jun 30, 2023 2:32pm
NC seem to be confused.. They were almost even. Maybe suggesting range. Slightly more shorts were closed.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,155
  • Edited 4:36pm Jun 30, 2023 4:19pm | Edited 4:36pm
June, 1/2 year, 1/4, Year 2022.
1.0827/58/77 has a lot of interest. If may be a support area. Today closed above 1.07 (2022) and 1.0835 (1/4 close). The new (1/4, 1/2) higher close at 1.09035. 1.0903 may end up being support like 0835 did earlier. They are also PP. So whenever it runs wherever up or down. It may be attracted to return here months later
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,156
  • Edited 11:15am Jul 1, 2023 11:02am | Edited 11:15am
Assuming Citi is right. The 1.08xx area looks to be a place to look to buy. It went as low as last 1.0835 Q close Friday. Later bouncing near 100 pips. Nobody knows if it will go back to 1.0793/0827. This latest Q close is 1.0903. 1.0903 may end up being a support when closed above. Or a R when closed below. Bears had a chance to take out 1.0835 and 1.07. It didnt happen. 1.0835 supported pa. Now many large pp's are in that area. 1.0827 + (see fib charts). Since reaching 1.0835 to the pip. PA has risen. Its is a little (1h) flaggish looking on the close. It may run down to 088x if using short term logic. It may run deeper and form a double bottom 1.0827 area. I dont know, both have some merit. It could just blow past those pp, last Q close, and the year close to the year pp 1.05xx. I suspect that may happen before 2023 ends. As things sit I think 1.0790/1.8xx support pushes this to 1.1171+. From there I would be looking for reasons to short. To the year pp 1.05xx or more.
Regarding the flag on the 1h. It may go straight up. Being July 4th Monday holiday. Its just another unknown. But its backed by that larger support area. It also made the flag. You will never know its a flag till its proven. This 1h flag/pennant is shaped like a bullish one would look. Just before a break north

The close is the R. It closed on the low, after the 1.083x bounce. Just a rise of 1 pip, and its back above the Q2 close at 1.0903.5. It may be the low.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,157
  • Jul 2, 2023 6:43pm Jul 2, 2023 6:43pm
Quoting gatorinla
Assuming Citi is right. The 1.08xx area looks to be a place to look to buy. It went as low as last 1.0835 Q close Friday. Later bouncing near 100 pips. Nobody knows if it will go back to 1.0793/0827. This latest Q close is 1.0903. 1.0903 may end up being a support when closed above. Or a R when closed below. Bears had a chance to take out 1.0835 and 1.07. It didnt happen. 1.0835 supported pa. Now many large pp's are in that area. 1.0827 + (see fib charts). Since reaching 1.0835 to the pip. PA has risen. Its is a little (1h) flaggish looking on the...
PA is near 1.0903.5 Q close. It did open above it. If above 1.0911 and 0917. I think it will rise. Closes below 1.0903.5 it may drop. Into those PP areas.. The 1h flag may have broken up.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,158
  • Jul 2, 2023 7:30pm Jul 2, 2023 7:30pm
Thursday. and Friday have some big red news
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,159
  • Jul 2, 2023 9:53pm Jul 2, 2023 9:53pm
another week support may be 0884/86. 0917 held last hour. To rises, that has to change

Quoting gatorinla
{quote} PA is near 1.0903.5 Q close. It did open above it. If above 1.0911 and 0917. I think it will rise. Closes below 1.0903.5 it may drop. Into those PP areas.. The 1h flag may have broken up. {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,160
  • Jul 3, 2023 1:25am Jul 3, 2023 1:25am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} day range high reached... I shorted 1.0908
I booked this short here 1.0890 with good profit
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