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The Swamp

  • #110,101
  • Jun 29, 2023 6:28pm Jun 29, 2023 6:28pm
They have really been acting the tease with the options
  • #110,102
  • Jun 29, 2023 11:28pm Jun 29, 2023 11:28pm
Quoting axecap
{quote} added short at .0914....small amounts continuing to accumulate. its bearish for me over next 2 weeks
added again at .0871.....not a great entry...but still looks bearish from here
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #110,103
  • Jun 29, 2023 11:55pm Jun 29, 2023 11:55pm
Gator, what do you think...with end of month, quarter etc and JPY getting very close to the low limits before likely intervention, ......
maybe some profit taking/ leveling up today GJ and UJ showing a hint...maybe ?
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #110,104
  • Jun 30, 2023 1:14am Jun 30, 2023 1:14am
Pa at between 0917.1 and 0792.4. I'm curious about 1.0850.2 and or 0854.7.
PA is above the Q close at 0835. I put in some small sacrificial longs.
If it runs back above 0890+ now. That's no big deal. If it runs back above 0917.1.. It may be. If + 0956.2. I learn something. Its more than likely something to do with 0835. It has time for 1.07 today too. Above 0835 I wanted to see how 1.0850 and 0854 held. If at all.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,105
  • Jun 30, 2023 1:29am Jun 30, 2023 1:29am
I learned if it was not close to Q ending. The bounce may be more violent.
I dont know. PA seems to want 0935. Its special. Its the close last Q. Some tp may be in this area. That could cause a spike also.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,106
  • Jun 30, 2023 1:37am Jun 30, 2023 1:37am
Quoting axecap
Gator, what do you think...with end of month, quarter etc and JPY getting very close to the low limits before likely intervention, ...... maybe some profit taking/ leveling up today GJ and UJ showing a hint...maybe ?
Its above 144.03.. The b/o bullish side. Its above 144.60 support. Adr is 145.56
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,107
  • Jun 30, 2023 1:45am Jun 30, 2023 1:45am
Quoting gatorinla
I learned if it was not close to Q ending. The bounce may be more violent. I dont know. PA seems to want 0935. Its special. Its the close last Q. Some tp may be in this area. That could cause a spike also. {image}
Bears are tough. Not a lot of tp atm. Lets see how it is absorbed.
On a normal day 1.0890. This is not a normal day.
Not going back is further bearish, but it still needs to drop. Running back to 0890.. No big deal. Running back to 0756+ would be.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,108
  • Jun 30, 2023 1:52am Jun 30, 2023 1:52am
Quoting axecap
{quote} added again at .0871.....not a great entry...but still looks bearish from here
closed half of all shorts at 1.0841. will let the rest ride with trailing stops.
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #110,109
  • Jun 30, 2023 1:56am Jun 30, 2023 1:56am
0835.5. No "hot stove touch affect" atm. Just 7 pips. It may be a dud. Give it + 0.0003 pip more drop. See "its to be, or not to be."
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,110
  • Jun 30, 2023 2:04am Jun 30, 2023 2:04am
Looking here it did touch 0835.5.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,111
  • Jun 30, 2023 2:12am Jun 30, 2023 2:12am
yep,

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Its all just one persons opinion
  • #110,112
  • Jun 30, 2023 2:23am Jun 30, 2023 2:23am
just a 9 pip bounce ATM. I expected more reaction.


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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,113
  • Jun 30, 2023 2:48am Jun 30, 2023 2:48am
Quoting gatorinla
just a 9 pip bounce ATM. I expected more reaction. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8Yun-QfKfb0 {image}
I will long if bulls can reverse M15 trend, downtrend stop 1.0867 atm,,
sideline ,,
US inflation data in 3 hours.


6/30 Trading levels

Midpoint - 1.0863

1.0944
1.0908
1.0885

1.0841
1.0818
1.0782

1.0841 printed, next to print 1.0885 or 1.0818
  • #110,114
  • Jun 30, 2023 2:55am Jun 30, 2023 2:55am
DXY breaking out D1,
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Its all just one persons opinion
  • #110,115
  • Jun 30, 2023 3:30am Jun 30, 2023 3:30am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I will long if bulls can reverse M15 trend, downtrend stop 1.0867 atm,, sideline ,, US inflation data in 3 hours. 6/30 Trading levels Midpoint - 1.0863 1.0944 1.0908 1.0885 1.0841 1.0818 1.0782 1.0841 printed, next to print 1.0885 or 1.0818
PA is above 1.07 YC. PA is above 1.0835 QC. PA is above MC 0687. The test at hand is 1.0835. Momentum is testing the support at 1.0835. If its to break, or not is unknown.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,116
  • Jun 30, 2023 3:41am Jun 30, 2023 3:41am
A close at 1.0835 is a doji on the Quarter. It also makes this area a PP on the month. I dont know where it closes today. The last day of June. I do see the 1.1186 algo at R2 on the month. I'm using a close at 1.0835 here. A higher or lower close will change this some. So any close 1.0835+ today makes the 0835 a better place to support.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,117
  • Jun 30, 2023 4:06am Jun 30, 2023 4:06am
YPP was hit earlier this year. The high this year was a mid point. (3 pips less). It is very hard to make 1.07 today to close June. 1.07 is the last yc, its also a 6 month close.. Today is not only a quarter, its also mid year close (6 month). So if today is unable to take and close below 1.0835. It is just another reason to think the support may hold. Its not written in stone at all. Momentum is bearish lately. But bearish momentum is meeting large support. The outcome is unknown. Everyone has a plan until punched in the mouth.
This is last years fibs.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,118
  • Jun 30, 2023 4:16am Jun 30, 2023 4:16am
I may be wrong about 1.1186/slip. Citi has a similar view.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #110,119
  • Jun 30, 2023 5:19am Jun 30, 2023 5:19am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I will long if bulls can reverse M15 trend, downtrend stop 1.0867 atm,, sideline ,, US inflation data in 3 hours. 6/30 Trading levels Midpoint - 1.0863 1.0944 1.0908 1.0885 1.0841 1.0818 1.0782 1.0841 printed, next to print 1.0885 or 1.0818
ok.. M15 reversed... I risk some to long here before US news at 1.0868
day range high 1.0907
H1 trend stop 1.0901, H4 at 1.0963
  • #110,120
  • Jun 30, 2023 5:35am Jun 30, 2023 5:35am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} optionexy magnetic pull to 1.09???
0890,,, then?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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