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The Swamp

  • #110,041
  • Jun 27, 2023 5:16am Jun 27, 2023 5:16am
placed a pending short 0955 day r/3. Anticipating 0917 or 0908.x. Its into the R at 0942+.
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  • #110,042
  • Jun 27, 2023 7:26am Jun 27, 2023 7:26am
Quoting gatorinla
placed a pending short 0955 day r/3. Anticipating 0917 or 0908.x. Its into the R at 0942+. {image}
I still think its bullish.. But it has a chance at 0908 or 0917.
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  • #110,043
  • Jun 27, 2023 7:31am Jun 27, 2023 7:31am
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Better than expected
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  • #110,044
  • Jun 27, 2023 7:53am Jun 27, 2023 7:53am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} ADR is about 0971. 0948/51 has some R also. The 20 plus pips to 0971 adr. Is the risk for 0917 or 0908.x. I think pa is bullish. I think it will be bullish with a June close above 0835. So to me, the bulls can sleep anytime. The heavy lifting is done. {image}
I should of waited for adr 0971.
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  • #110,045
  • Jun 27, 2023 8:00am Jun 27, 2023 8:00am
Its looking bullish. If its going back to 1.0917 or 1.0908. It should start settling soon.
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  • #110,046
  • Jun 27, 2023 8:27am Jun 27, 2023 8:27am
Its not settling yet. It still looks bullish. If its going to settle, it should start before 10 am cst. Bulls appear to have this. ADR atm has slowed/stopped it. ADR the other way is about 0902.. Within 0908..
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  • #110,047
  • Jun 27, 2023 8:29am Jun 27, 2023 8:29am
I look at this for topping.
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  • #110,048
  • Jun 27, 2023 8:46am Jun 27, 2023 8:46am
stop hit
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  • #110,049
  • Jun 27, 2023 8:50am Jun 27, 2023 8:50am
This was supposed to happen earlier.
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  • #110,050
  • Jun 27, 2023 8:56am Jun 27, 2023 8:56am
H4 downtrend stop at 1.0974.. testing atm,,, let see bears can hold at H4 close....3 hours to go
  • #110,051
  • Jun 27, 2023 8:59am Jun 27, 2023 8:59am
If this makes 0917 or 0910. Before the 10 AM cst close. I will call this a success. It may be unable to break 0917. It may get close to it. If it gets there, those big options are down there for tomorrow.
The EU is bullish to me. If pa closes today above 0917 thats bullish to me. If the month closes above 0835. That's bullish to me. Depending on the month close. The support May be 0835+ next month. That may line up 1.1186
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  • #110,052
  • Jun 27, 2023 9:12am Jun 27, 2023 9:12am
Quoting gatorinla
If this makes 0917 or 0910. Before the 10 AM cst close. I will call this a success. It may be unable to break 0917. It may get close to it. If it gets there, those big options are down there for tomorrow. The EU is bullish to me. If pa closes today above 0917 thats bullish to me. If the month closes above 0835. That's bullish to me. Depending on the month close. The support May be 0835+ next month. That may line up 1.1186
maybe tommorrow
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  • #110,053
  • Jun 27, 2023 9:19am Jun 27, 2023 9:19am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} maybe tommorrow {image}
I said tomorrow for the options. But today for 1.0917 or 0908. So Tuesday (today) may stay within adr from 0900/0910 Wednesdays options. That high area may set the high today. To allow pa return to 1.09/1.0910 option area.
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  • #110,054
  • Jun 27, 2023 11:48am Jun 27, 2023 11:48am
pa is at 0960.. Those large options 1.0900/0910. 1.0960 to 1.0910 is 50 pips. S/L (risk) can be figured from that 50 pip reward. That's what I did. I could add if giving the chance. When pa starts to close below 0948. It may drop.. 0948/49 may support for scalps
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  • #110,055
  • Jun 27, 2023 11:53am Jun 27, 2023 11:53am
If today closes above 1.0917. That could help those options support. It may also lesson the chance of reaching those options at 1.0900/10. Since 1.0917 may become a stronger support.

If today closes between 0917 and 0948. Later getting sustained closes above 0949. Don't get in the bull's way
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  • #110,056
  • Jun 27, 2023 12:10pm Jun 27, 2023 12:10pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} maybe tommorrow {image}
I see those options. I went short because of them. But damn I want to be long. I hope those options let me in.
Inserted Video
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  • #110,057
  • Jun 27, 2023 8:19pm Jun 27, 2023 8:19pm
4h closed below 0956. Now lets see if it can below 1.0948. Hopefully 1.0900/1.0910 during NY morning.
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  • #110,058
  • Jun 27, 2023 8:55pm Jun 27, 2023 8:55pm
I usually dont long below 0917 type numbers. 1.0901/0902 had some pivotal day support. That may be the low if pa gets below 0917. I dont want to see it running below 1.0900 to far, and holding a long.
I'm counting on a bounce back to 0948 and above 0956 after options expire.
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  • #110,059
  • Jun 28, 2023 3:14am Jun 28, 2023 3:14am
Quoting gatorinla
I usually dont long below 0917 type numbers. 1.0901/0902 had some pivotal day support. That may be the low if pa gets below 0917. I dont want to see it running below 1.0900 to far, and holding a long. I'm counting on a bounce back to 0948 and above 0956 after options expire.
+ 0956 closing after a rejection under, I usually look to long. Those options are stopping me. I'm fearful the options wont be hit. Its very bullish to me.
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  • #110,060
  • Jun 28, 2023 3:23am Jun 28, 2023 3:23am
Looking for the option 1.09/1.0910 bounce. Getting down there looks hard to do. Getting below 0917 looks hard.
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