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  • #109,841
  • Jun 16, 2023 9:19am Jun 16, 2023 9:19am
still hold shorts.. if bears can close 1.0935 below at M15 close.. I will add...
day range low today 1.0901
  • #109,842
  • Jun 16, 2023 9:21am Jun 16, 2023 9:21am
Quoting Boulder
still hold shorts.. if bears can close 1.0935 below at M15 close.. I will add... day range low today 1.0901
testing ..10 mins to go...
  • #109,843
  • Jun 16, 2023 9:30am Jun 16, 2023 9:30am
Quoting Boulder
still hold shorts.. if bears can close 1.0935 below at M15 close.. I will add... day range low today 1.0901
bears failed at M15 close...may try again...
  • #109,844
  • Jun 16, 2023 9:40am Jun 16, 2023 9:40am
Quoting Boulder
still hold shorts.. if bears can close 1.0935 below at M15 close.. I will add... day range low today 1.0901
I have one running.. will add if bears can reverse M15..
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  • #109,845
  • Jun 16, 2023 9:47am Jun 16, 2023 9:47am
Quoting Boulder
still hold shorts.. if bears can close 1.0935 below at M15 close.. I will add... day range low today 1.0901
Bears did it !!!...let see shoot for somewhere close to day range low...
I will add shorts at bouce as well
  • #109,846
  • Jun 16, 2023 9:54am Jun 16, 2023 9:54am
M30 at 1.0920..lets see bears can reverse that
  • #109,847
  • Edited 10:42am Jun 16, 2023 10:24am | Edited 10:42am
Quoting gatorinla
Just in case buys set Today only.. Not expecting a hit. {image}
canceling these.. I dont think its ready to take 0865 again. But maybe 0890x. Might be a long.
But it may just make 0924 support and rise.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #109,848
  • Jun 16, 2023 10:38am Jun 16, 2023 10:38am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} canceling these.. I dont think its ready to take 0865 again. But maybe 0890x. Might be a long. But it may just make 0924 support and rise.
There is an algo at 1.0864. Maybe it will weaken enough for it with some profit taken. I dont see it. But there is the algo. London fix being below 0942. So maybe it will. I dont have a trade atm. So I can wait. That's near the b/o point was. Old R makes new support.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #109,849
  • Jun 16, 2023 10:54am Jun 16, 2023 10:54am
Quoting Boulder
M30 at 1.0920..lets see bears can reverse that
if it retraces some Monday I may try one like this. I think it's bullish, with a close above 1.0942 today. I may be kicking myself in the ass if it closes below 0942 today..
If it would close below 1.0942, the rise may have been a anomaly. If so, 1.0787/92 may be next week.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #109,850
  • Jun 16, 2023 11:13am Jun 16, 2023 11:13am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I have one running.. will add if bears can reverse M15.. {image}
Not bounce high enough to add more shorts after trend reversed, I flat the trades here , try another day .
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  • #109,851
  • Jun 16, 2023 3:15pm Jun 16, 2023 3:15pm
NC wrong again. They closed more longs than shorts
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #109,852
  • Edited 10:18am Jun 17, 2023 10:03am | Edited 10:18am
Not a prediction, an observation. Momentum is up the past few weeks. The day closed a doji. Many will have 0942.x as a close. The close was actually 0935. Slightly below the Thursday close. But its also a week close below 1.0942. The doji is a indecision candle. It dont mean it will drop. But the week closed below 1.0942. That may be a rejection of 0942. The candle closing +0942 Thursday plus being above 0865 was a bullish b/o to me still. But if it can not take and hold 1.0942, the opposite reaction may develop. 1.0942 is a R. The week close may push pa back below 1.0865 45 35. It may test 1.0802 (Norm). There is support at 1.0792/88/76. Just being below these may be bearish for a 1.0691/93 test. If Tuesday closes below 1.0792. Then the high last week has a chance of being the top. None of this has happened. It may go straight up. But the chances of a retrace, because the week not closing above 1.0942 have increased.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #109,853
  • Jun 18, 2023 10:58am Jun 18, 2023 10:58am
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  • #109,854
  • Jun 18, 2023 9:50pm Jun 18, 2023 9:50pm
6/19 trading levels

1.0993
1.0969
1.0955

1.0926
1.0911
1.0888

next to orint 1.0955 or 1.0926
  • #109,855
  • Jun 18, 2023 11:59pm Jun 18, 2023 11:59pm
I deleted the earlier Kiwi post.
Pending Kiwi. Risk 0.025 per trade. At the 0.62 ish area. First tp 0.6225.
Risk ranging 1- 4 to 1 to 30+, unlikely but the option is 0.6280.
Second entry choice 0.5173.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #109,856
  • Jun 19, 2023 12:04am Jun 19, 2023 12:04am
Early eu options 1.09 and 1.0840. Not much $ behind them
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #109,857
  • Jun 19, 2023 12:24am Jun 19, 2023 12:24am
FX option expiries for Monday, 19 June 2023, at the 10am New York cut
EUR/USD

  1. 1.0900 EUR887.9mn
  2. 1.0840 EUR793.4mn

USD/CNY

  1. 7.1100 USD400mn

USD/CAD

  1. 1.3458 USD350mn

NZD/USD

  1. 0.6280 NZD379mn

those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #109,858
  • Jun 19, 2023 12:32am Jun 19, 2023 12:32am
Quoting gatorinla
I deleted the earlier Kiwi post. Pending Kiwi. Risk 0.025 per trade. At the 0.62 ish area. First tp 0.6225. Risk ranging 1- 4 to 1 to 30+, unlikely but the option is 0.6280. Second entry choice 0.5173. {image} {image}
I may have missed the boat on the Kiwi going to 0.6225. It still may hit 0.6201 later. That was where I was willing to take a shot, for the bounce to 0625. The 1.6201 area had 3 reasons It may support. Added with the option (6280) and the attraction to 6225. I figured it had a better than 50/50 shot. Added with a decent R/R. It was a cherry trade in the 0.62 area. It went to 0.6205 atm low. I missed by that much. But that's the game for the better trade. Enter the retrace at exhaustion.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #109,859
  • Jun 19, 2023 12:46am Jun 19, 2023 12:46am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I may have missed the boat on the Kiwi going to 0.6225. It still may hit 0.6201 later. That was where I was willing to take a shot, for the bounce to 0625. The 1.6201 area had 3 reasons It may support. Added with the option (6280) and the attraction to 6225. I figured it had a better than 50/50 shot. Added with a decent R/R. It was a cherry trade in the 0.62 area. It went to 0.6205 atm low. I missed by that much. But that's the game for the better trade. Enter the retrace at exhaustion. {image}
As for as the eu goes. I had it as bullish Thursday. But the week closing below 0942 has me thinking it will retrace. I may be 100 % wrong about a retrace. So at a minimal 0925. Is the usual for Monday until London closes. Since the week didnt close above 0942. This week it may run to 1.0890, 0865, 0802 and maybe test 1.0792. Above 1.0792 it will still be bullish to me. Just at a weaker state than above 0942 is. Below 1.0792 things may have changed for bulls. The Q ends in less than 2 weeks. We can expect some whipsaw moves while pa fights over 1.07 year close. June 30 is a mid year close. At and around 1.07 is where it may have started to pivot.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #109,860
  • Jun 19, 2023 1:02am Jun 19, 2023 1:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I may have missed the boat on the Kiwi going to 0.6225. It still may hit 0.6201 later. That was where I was willing to take a shot, for the bounce to 0625. The 1.6201 area had 3 reasons It may support. Added with the option (6280) and the attraction to 6225. I figured it had a better than 50/50 shot. Added with a decent R/R. It was a cherry trade in the 0.62 area. It went to 0.6205 atm low. I missed by that much. But that's the game for the better trade. Enter the retrace at exhaustion. {image}
The Kiwi went to 0627. 6225 +2. It may give the run to 6201 now. I didnt short.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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