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The Swamp

  • #109,781
  • Jun 14, 2023 1:31pm Jun 14, 2023 1:31pm
FOMC Press Conference June 14, 2023...
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I am who I am
  • #109,782
  • Edited 2:02pm Jun 14, 2023 1:45pm | Edited 2:02pm
it made it to near 1 to 9
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  • #109,783
  • Jun 14, 2023 2:24pm Jun 14, 2023 2:24pm
Bears need hold M15 trend stop 1.0846
  • #109,784
  • Jun 14, 2023 2:40pm Jun 14, 2023 2:40pm
Quoting Boulder
Bears need hold M15 trend stop 1.0846
The week, day, 4h, 1h, is bullish. The 30 min sitting at 0858. I have to wait for R, more so with 0855 attraction. That could form a DT 0865 ish. Or a b/o higher.
To go down, it may need to go to 0855/65 anytime again. Maybe Asia/European session. Sometime before LC. There is the support at 1.0792/0776.. That may force a bounce also. If one is sure it will break. A good R/R trade may be Short 0865 and hope for a DT. Hope 0792/77 breaks down. Then pass -0735/33 Tp 1.0691/93. Let it bounce. short the bounce where it ends 0735 or 0776/0792
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  • #109,785
  • Jun 14, 2023 3:01pm Jun 14, 2023 3:01pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The week, day, 4h, 1h, is bullish. The 30 min sitting at 0858. I have to wait for R, more so with 0855 attraction. That could form a DT 0865 ish. Or a b/o higher. To go down, it may need to go to 0855/65 anytime again. Maybe Asia/European session. Sometime before LC. There is the support at 1.0792/0776.. That may force a bounce also. If one is sure it will break. A good R/R trade may be Short 0865 and hope for a DT. Hope 0792/77 breaks down. Then pass -0735/33 Tp 1.0691/93. Let it bounce. short the bounce where it ends 0735 or 0776/0792
This could be 1 to almost 24 R/R.
This is the exact opposite trade I closed last week with the 0865 target tp. The entry now is last week's tp target. The tp now last week's entry.
Week average range fits. It needs 0865 ish to hold R. 0865 is a norm. Sometimes they do hold.
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  • #109,786
  • Jun 14, 2023 3:15pm Jun 14, 2023 3:15pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} This could be 1 to almost 24 R/R. This is the exact opposite trade I closed last week with the 0865 target tp. The entry now is last week's tp target. The tp now last week's entry. Week average range fits. It needs 0865 ish to hold R. 0865 is a norm. Sometimes they do hold. {image} {image}
I still have that pending long from last week at 0691.8
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  • #109,787
  • Jun 14, 2023 6:06pm Jun 14, 2023 6:06pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The week, day, 4h, 1h, is bullish. The 30 min sitting at 0858. I have to wait for R, more so with 0855 attraction. That could form a DT 0865 ish. Or a b/o higher.
The 6h is also bullish. The 8h at 1.0854.3, the 12h at 1.0895.9. are still bearish.
I cant trade every level on every system. Each one of these is more likely for pa to rise. So if the 8h or 12 closes above these posted. A retrace from the 12h may seem like its a down trend. But in reality, it may be the last chance to long. Before it goes up. The smaller time frames will be going bearish. As the larger ones have just confirmed the bulls. The 8h is in the area of 0865. This is a pivotal point in pa not using the dynamics. If the 12h turns bullish (1.0895.9+ close), A buy may be the retrace to 1.0792/0777... The same here concerning 1.0865 ish shorting. Start closing below 1.0792/0776.9. Helps confirm a fall. Nothing is absolute. Taking some profit helps.
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  • #109,788
  • Jun 14, 2023 7:18pm Jun 14, 2023 7:18pm
W/o any dynamic influence from ma's. If 0865 ish (8h 12 holding R) The leg down if it breaks all the dynamic support. Would be 1.0406 ish.
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  • #109,789
  • Jun 14, 2023 7:33pm Jun 14, 2023 7:33pm
Quoting gatorinla
W/o any dynamic influence from ma's. If 0865 ish (8h 12 holding R) The leg down if it breaks all the dynamic support. Would be 1.0406 ish. {image}
Very tight Bear/Bulls levels 1.0865ish.. Its pivotal.
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  • #109,790
  • Edited 7:49pm Jun 14, 2023 7:38pm | Edited 7:49pm
UJ back at 140.18
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  • #109,791
  • Jun 14, 2023 7:59pm Jun 14, 2023 7:59pm
Quoting gatorinla
UJ back at 140.18 {image}
I closed uj short.. It looks like the 4h will close above 140.18.. But it looks like it may come back later to 140.05
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  • #109,792
  • Jun 14, 2023 8:15pm Jun 14, 2023 8:15pm
kiwi may have a potential long for 80 pips setting up
.6148/51.. see chart
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  • #109,793
  • Jun 14, 2023 8:23pm Jun 14, 2023 8:23pm
Quoting gatorinla
kiwi may have a potential long for 80 pips setting up .6148/51.. see chart {image}
NZ
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  • #109,794
  • Jun 14, 2023 8:27pm Jun 14, 2023 8:27pm
AUD has less potential.. about 65 pips
The NZ is entry would be near adr..
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  • #109,795
  • Jun 14, 2023 8:39pm Jun 14, 2023 8:39pm
Quoting gatorinla
AUD has less potential.. about 65 pips The NZ is entry would be near adr.. {image}
1 min AUD had a nice pop near the entry.
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  • #109,796
  • Jun 14, 2023 8:41pm Jun 14, 2023 8:41pm
6/15 trading levels

1.0922
1.0881
1.0856

1.0806
1.0781
1.0740

next to print 1.0806 or 1.0856
  • #109,797
  • Jun 14, 2023 8:50pm Jun 14, 2023 8:50pm
Eu was posted earlier..
GU may have about 86pip potential. Its wild.. If it dont bounce.. Get out the way.. You have to have the stop reasonable to R/R. 2610 may support..
If these supports fail on the posted pairs.. The usd may be very strong. The yen has had the usd as a bull.
Those tp's are a normal retrace.. But not gospel;
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  • #109,798
  • Jun 15, 2023 12:00am Jun 15, 2023 12:00am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Very tight Bear/Bulls levels 1.0865ish.. Its pivotal. {image}
It often runs back to 0855.. It may have already been rejected from 0865. The lower level supported it. 0865 resisted it. One will give up. Lots of news in 8 hs
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  • #109,799
  • Jun 15, 2023 12:09am Jun 15, 2023 12:09am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It often runs back to 0855.. It may have already been rejected from 0865. The lower level supported it. 0865 resisted it. One will give up. Lots of news in 8 hs {image} {image} {image}
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  • #109,800
  • Jun 15, 2023 12:20am Jun 15, 2023 12:20am
not much option today.. I have a pending eu long 0792/85. Trying to catch the normal 0855 move. I may get burned.
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